NBA – Playoff NBA 1st Round Picks – Sat, 3rd May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.


LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS @ DENVER NUGGETS

Ball Arena, Denver, CO

West 1st Round – Game 7 (Series tied 3-3)

Team & Totals Trends:

  • The Nuggets have won 9 of their last 10 Western Conference First Round home games
  • 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 WC First Round home games have gone under the total
  • The Clippers have won the 1st half in 11 of their last 13 games
  • The Clippers have failed to cover in each of their last 3 games

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 50 32 30-11 20-21
DEN 50 32 26-15 24-17

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
LAC 112.9 108.2 +4.7 221.1
DEN 120.8 116.9 +3.9 237.7

Here is the full updated season series table:

SEASON SERIES
\[su\_table]

DATE RESULT
Oct 27, 2024 DEN 104 @ LAC 109
Dec 2, 2024 LAC 126 @ DEN 122
Dec 14, 2024 DEN 120 @ LAC 98
Jan 9, 2025 DEN 126 @ LAC 103
GAME 1 LAC 110 @ DEN 112 (OT)
GAME 2 LAC 105 @ DEN 102
GAME 3 DEN 83 @ LAC 117
GAME 4 DEN 101 @ LAC 99
GAME 5 LAC 115 @ DEN 131
GAME 6 DEN 105 @ LAC 111
[/su_table]

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER DEN
-1.5 205.5 120-101
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

Player Trends:

  • Michael Porter Jr. has hit 2+ threes in 10 of his last 11 WC First Round home games
  • Kawhi Leonard has 4+ assists in 5 straight closeout games
  • Nikola Jokic has 12+ assists in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 home games
  • Jamal Murray has 6+ assists in 7 straight home games
  • Christian Braun has 2+ assists in 10 of his last 11 home games
  • Jamal Murray has 20+ points in 9 straight WC First Round home games
  • Aaron Gordon has 23+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games vs. West teams
  • Ivica Zubac has 16+ points in 7 straight road games vs. West teams
  • Kawhi Leonard has 27+ points in 3 straight elimination games
  • Norman Powell has 17+ points in 5 of his last 6 elimination games
  • Nikola Jokic has 30+ points in 3 straight elimination games
  • Kawhi Leonard has 9+ rebounds in 4 straight games
  • Christian Braun has 6+ rebounds in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games
  • Ivica Zubac has 12+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. winning teams
  • Jokic has 14+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 Game 7s
  • Porter Jr. has 4+ rebounds in 12 straight games after playing <30 mins
  • Aaron Gordon has 4+ rebounds in 12 straight home games vs. Clippers

Everything is on the line as the Clippers and Nuggets face off in Game 7 of their Western First Round series at Ball Arena.

The Clippers forced a decisive game with a 111-105 win at Intuit Dome on Thursday, leveling the series at 3-3.

Capitalizing on Denver’s mistakes proved crucial, with the Clippers holding a 23-10 advantage in points off turnovers. L.A. also had the edge at the free throw line, hitting 13-of-15 (86.7%) compared to Denver’s 6-of-9 (66.7%). James Harden led the way with 28 points, 6 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Kawhi Leonard added 27 points and 10 boards.

Nikola Jokic paced the Nuggets with 25 points, 8 assists, and 3 steals, but Denver will need more all-around execution at home. The Clippers have now won 8 of their last 9 games when Harden scores 25 or more

PICK – UNDER 205.5 TOTAL POINTS