NBA – Tonight’s NBA 1st Round Picks – Thurs, 1st May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.


NEW YORK KNICKS @ DETROIT PISTONS

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

East 1st Round – Game 6 (New York leads 3-2)

Team Trends:

  • The Pistons have lost their last 9 playoff home games
  • 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 playoff home games have gone over
  • The Knicks have won the 1st quarter in their last 10 road games vs. Detroit
  • The Pistons have failed to cover in their last 4 games following a win

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 51 31 27-14 24-17
DET 44 38 22-19 22-19

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
NY 115.8 111.7 +4.1 227.5
DET 115.5 113.6 +1.9 229.1

Here is the full updated season series table:

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Nov 2, 2024 NYK 128 @ DET 98
Dec 8, 2024 DET 120 @ NYK 111
Jan 14, 2025 DET 124 @ NYK 119
Apr 11, 2025 NYK 106 @ DET 115
GAME 1 DET 112 @ NYK 123
GAME 2 DET 100 @ NYK 94
GAME 3 NYK 118 @ DET 116
GAME 4 NYK 94 @ DET 93
GAME 5 DET 106 @ NYK 103

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NY OVER
+1.5 213.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

Player Props:

  • Mikal Bridges has made 2+ threes in 10 of his last 11 Conference First Round games
  • OG Anunoby has made 2+ threes in 7 of his last 8 games as a road underdog with the Knicks
  • Jalen Duren has 4+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games as a home favorite
  • Jalen Brunson has 10+ assists in his last 4 First Round games as an underdog
  • Cade Cunningham has 10+ assists in 5 of his last 6 home games vs. East opponents
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 25+ in his last 5 road games
  • OG Anunoby has scored 22+ in 5 of his last 6 road games
  • Jalen Brunson has scored 30+ in 8 of his last 9 First Round games
  • Josh Hart has 10+ points in 9 of his last 10 vs. the Pistons
  • Jalen Duren has scored 15+ in 6 of his last 8 home games vs. East opponents
  • Cade Cunningham has scored 25+ in his last 6 games as a favorite
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has 10+ points in 12 straight as a favorite vs. the Knicks
  • Tobias Harris has scored 17+ in 4 straight as a favorite vs. the Knicks
  • Jalen Duren has 13+ rebounds in his last 5 home games vs. East opponents
  • Ausar Thompson has 4+ rebounds in 12 straight as a home favorite vs. East
  • Mikal Bridges has 4+ rebounds in 7 straight playoff road games
  • Josh Hart has 9+ rebounds in his last 3 road games
  • Cade Cunningham has 8+ rebounds in 3 of his last 4
  • Tobias Harris has 8+ rebounds in 3 of his last 4
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 4+ assists in 6 of his last 8 at Little Caesars Arena

Facing elimination once again, the Pistons will host the Knicks in Game 6 of their Eastern First Round series at Little Caesars Arena. Detroit kept their season alive with a gritty 106-103 win at Madison Square Garden in Game 5, cutting the series deficit to 3-2.

A major factor in the Pistons’ win was their aggressiveness at the line, converting 26-of-36 free throws (72.2%) compared to the Knicks’ 16-of-27 (59.3%). Cade Cunningham led the way with 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Jalen Brunson struggled for New York, shooting just 4-of-16 from the field.

Despite the win, the Pistons are still searching for their first home playoff victory since 2008, having lost both games at Little Caesars Arena earlier in the series. They’ll need to reverse that trend to force a decisive Game 7.

PICK – NEW YORK +1.5


DENVER NUGGETS @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

West 1st Round – Game 6 (Denver leads 3-2)

Team Trends:

  • The underdogs have covered in 7 of the last 8 playoff games between the Nuggets and Clippers
  • The Clippers have won 14 of their last 16 home games
  • 6 of the last 7 playoff games between these teams have gone under

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 50 32 26-15 24-17
LAC 50 32 30-11 20-21

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
DEN 120.8 116.9 +3.9 237.7
LAC 112.9 108.2 +4.7 221.1

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Oct 27, 2024 DEN 104 @ LAC 109
Dec 2, 2024 LAC 126 @ DEN 122
Dec 14, 2024 DEN 120 @ LAC 98
Jan 9, 2025 DEN 126 @ LAC 103
GAME 1 LAC 110 @ DEN 112 (OT)
GAME 2 LAC 105 @ DEN 102
GAME 3 DEN 83 @ LAC 117
GAME 4 DEN 101 @ LAC 99
GAME 5 LAC 115 @ DEN 131

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER
+6.5 212.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

Player Props:

  • Nikola Jokic has made 2+ threes in each of his last 5 road games vs. the Clippers
  • Jokic has a triple-double in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. the Clippers
  • Jokic has 12+ assists in 3 of his last 4 playoff games as an underdog vs. the Clippers
  • James Harden has 10+ assists in 4 of his last 5 home games
  • Jamal Murray has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games vs. the Clippers
  • Kawhi Leonard has scored 20+ in 20 straight games
  • Norman Powell has scored 20+ in 3 straight home games
  • Michael Porter Jr. has scored 17+ in 6 of his last 7 road games
  • Jokic has scored 25+ in 9 of his last 10 playoff series closeout games
  • Jamal Murray has scored 21+ in 10 of his last 11 as an underdog vs. the Clippers
  • Ivica Zubac has scored 16+ in 10 straight games
  • Aaron Gordon has scored 15+ in 6 of his last 7 First Round games as an underdog
  • Kawhi Leonard has 10+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 home games vs. winning teams
  • Jokic has 14+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 playoff closeout games
  • Christian Braun has recorded at least 1 steal in 10 straight games vs. the Clippers

Staring down elimination, the Clippers will return home to Intuit Dome for Game 6 of their Western First Round series against the Nuggets on Thursday night. Denver took a 3-2 series lead with a 131-115 win in Game 5, powered by an awesome performance from beyond the arc.

The Nuggets shot a red-hot 51.5% from deep (17-of-33), outpacing the Clippers’ 37.9% (11-of-29) and creating the key separation. Jamal Murray led the charge with a season-high 43 points, 7 assists, 3 steals, and 8 threes on 17-of-26 shooting. Kawhi Leonard delivered a strong all-around performance for the Clippers, finishing with 20 points, 9 rebounds, and a career-high 11 assists.

Denver has now won 15 of their last 16 games when Murray shoots 60% or better from the field. The Clippers will need to regroup at home to force a Game 7 and extend their postseason run.

PICK – DENVER +6.5


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