*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
West 1st Round – Game 1
Team Trends
- Thunder have won 9 straight vs. Grizzlies
- Grizzlies’ last 12 of 14 games as road underdogs have gone over
- Grizzlies have lost the 1st quarter in 9 straight Round 1 road games
- Thunder have failed to cover in 8 of last 11 playoff games as home favs off a win
- 12 of Grizzlies’ last 14 as road dogs have gone over
- Thunder 1Q Winner: Grizzlies 0-9 in Round 1 road games
- Thunder 3-8 ATS as home favs off a win
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 48 | 34 | 26-15 | 22-19 |
| OKC | 68 | 14 | 35-6 | 32-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| MEM | 121.7 | 116.9 | +4.8 | 238.6 |
| OKC | 120.5 | 107.6 | +12.9 | 228.1 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Dec 30, 2024 | MEM 106 @ OKC 130 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | OKC 125 @ MEM 112 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | OKC 120 @ MEM 103 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | MEM 104 @ OKC 125 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| MEM | OVER | |
| +13.5 | 229.5 |
The playoffs tip off for the Thunder and Grizzlies on at Paycom Center.
These two last faced off in the postseason during the 2013-14 first round, where the Thunder emerged with a 120-109 win in Game 7.
Across three total playoff series, Oklahoma City leads 2-1. In this season’s regular season meetings, the Thunder dominated with a 4-0 sweep, winning each game by an average of 18.8 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge with 36.3 points and 7.3 assists per game, while Jalen Williams chipped in with 19.8 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 6.8 assists.
Memphis struggled offensively, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Desmond Bane combined to shoot just 35.6% from the field over the series.
PICK – OVER 229.5 TOTAL POINTS
ORLANDO MAGIC @ BOSTON CELTICS
TD Garden, Boston, MA
East 1st Round – Game 1
Team Trends
- Home team has covered in each of the last 7 games between the Magic and Celtics
- Favourites have won each of the Magic’s last 11 playoff games
- Each of the Celtics’ last 6 playoff games have gone under the total
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 41 | 41 | 22-19 | 19-22 |
| BOS | 61 | 21 | 28-13 | 33-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| ORL | 105.4 | 105.5 | -0.1 | 210.9 |
| BOS | 116.3 | 107.2 | +9.1 | 223.5 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Dec 24, 2024 | BOS 104 @ ORL 108 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ORL 94 @ BOS 121 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | BOS 76 @ ORL 96 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| ORL | UNDER | |
| +13.5 | 205.5 |
These teams last met in the postseason during the 2009-10 Eastern Finals, where Boston advanced to the NBA Finals in six games.
Across three playoff matchups overall, Orlando holds a 2-1 series edge. This season, the Magic claimed the regular season series 2-1—but it’s worth noting Jayson Tatum sat out both of Boston’s losses.
In his lone appearance, he dropped 30 points in a 121-94 home win back in January. Heading into the series, the Celtics are monitoring Jaylen Brown, who’s managing a knee issue but is still expected to be in the lineup.
PICK – ORLANDO +13.5
MIAMI HEAT @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
East 1st Round – Game 1
Team Trends & Game Props:
- Heat have won the 1st half in 7 straight games as underdogs
- Cavaliers have won 9 straight when playing with a rest advantage
- 6 of the Heat’s last 7 games have gone over
- Heat Covered the line in 6 straight as underdogs
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 37 | 45 | 19-22 | 17-23 |
| CLE | 64 | 18 | 34-7 | 30-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| MIA | 110.6 | 110.0 | +0.6 | 220.6 |
| CLE | 121.9 | 112.4 | +9.5 | 234.3 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Dec 9, 2024 | CLE 113 @ MIA 122 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CLE 126 @ MIA 106 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MIA 107 @ CLE 112 |
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| MIA | OVER | |
| +12.5 | 215.0 |
The postseason kicks off for Cleveland and Miami at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.
Miami earned their spot via the play-in tournament, making history as the first 10th seed to reach the playoffs.
This series marks the first-ever postseason meeting between the two franchises. In the regular season, Cleveland took the upper hand with a 2-1 series win. Donovan Mitchell led the charge in both victories, averaging 30.0 points, though he was limited to just 12 points on 31.3% shooting in the lone loss.
Evan Mobley also played a pivotal role in the Cavs’ wins, averaging 19.0 points and 14.0 boards. For the Heat, Tyler Herro starred in their 122-113 win on December 8, finishing with 34 points and seven assists.
PICK – OVER 215.0 TOTAL POINTS
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS
Toyota Center, Houston, TX
West 1st Round – Game 1
Team Trends & Game Props:
- Warriors have won 6 straight road games
- Warriors have won the 1st quarter in 6 straight
- Warriors have covered the line in 6 straight road games vs. Rockets
- Last 4 games between these teams have gone under
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| GS | 48 | 34 | 24-17 | 24-17 |
| HOU | 52 | 30 | 29-12 | 23-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| GS | 113.8 | 110.5 | +3.3 | 224.3 |
| HOU | 114.3 | 109.8 | +4.5 | 224.1 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HOU 93 @ GSW 99 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | GSW 90 @ HOU 91 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GSW 105 @ HOU 98 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | HOU 106 @ GSW 96 |
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| GSW | UNDER | |
| +1.5 | 213.5 |
The playoffs get underway for the Rockets and Warriors at Toyota Center.
These two have plenty of postseason history, having met four times between 2015 and 2019 with the Warriors winning all four series, including a dramatic seven-game battle in the 2018 Western Finals en route to a title.
This season, the five-game regular season series leaned Golden State’s way at 3-2. However, the Rockets did grab a 91-90 win in the NBA Cup Quarter-final, ending a 15-game losing streak against the Warriors. Alperen Sengun was a major contributor in Houston’s victories, averaging 22.5 points and 12.5 rebounds.
Stephen Curry struggled in Golden State’s losses, averaging just 11.0 points on 33.3% shooting.
PICK – GOLDEN STATE +1.5
