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NBA Picks – Tonight’s Best Bets – Thurs, 6th Feb

February 6, 2025

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*These NBA tips and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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DALLAS @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

Boston Celtics have failed to cover in 18 of their last 19 games as favorites after a win.
Boston Celtics have won 9 of their last 10 games vs. Dallas Mavericks.
7 of Dallas Mavericks’ last 8 games have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DAL	26	25	14-10	12-15
BOS	36	15	16-9	20-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DAL	115.3	113.4	+1.9	228.7
BOS	117.2	108.4	+8.8	225.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
BOS	UNDER
-10.0	229.5

TOP 3 ROI BETS

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Boston – have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Dallas – have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Boston – have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)

PLAYER TRENDS

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PREVIEW

The Mavericks and Celtics meet for the second time this season, with Boston having taken the first matchup 122-107 at American Airlines Center on January 25.

The Celtics have won five straight home games against the Mavericks and will look to extend that streak.

Boston comes into this contest riding a four-game winning streak after a 112-105 victory over Cleveland, while Dallas fell 118-116 to Philadelphia despite Kyrie Irving’s 34-point, nine-rebound performance.

The Mavericks have now lost eight straight games without P.J. Washington, who remains out. In lineup news, Anthony Davis is questionable to make his franchise debut for Dallas, while Boston’s Jrue Holiday is also listed as questionable.

PICK – BOSTON -10.0

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HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA

TEAM TRENDS

Minnesota Timberwolves have failed to cover in 11 of their last 13 home games.
Houston Rockets have won 7 straight road games when playing with a rest advantage.
Houston Rockets’ last 5 games vs. Western opponents have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
HOU	32	18	15-8	17-9
MIN	28	23	13-12	15-11

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
HOU	113.4	108.6	+4.8	222.0
MIN	111.4	108.0	+3.4	219.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
MIN	OVER
+1.5	214.5

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Houston – have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 32 away games (+15.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Houston – have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Houston – have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

HOU – Jalen Green has made 4+ threes in 7 straight games vs. Western Conference opponents.
MIN – Jaden McDaniels has made 2+ threes in 4 straight home games.
HOU – Alperen Sengun has a double-double in 3 straight games vs. Minnesota Timberwolves.
MIN – Rudy Gobert has a double-double in 6 straight home games.
HOU – Amen Thompson has 8+ assists in 2 straight games.
HOU – Amen Thompson has 21+ points in 4 straight games vs. teams with a winning record.
MIN – Rudy Gobert has 16+ points in 3 of his last 4 games.
HOU – Jalen Green has 25+ points in 7 straight games vs. Western Conference opponents.
MIN – Naz Reid has 22+ points in 2 straight games.
MIN – Anthony Edwards has 6+ rebounds in 4 straight games.
MIN – Jaden McDaniels has 8+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 home games.
MIN – Rudy Gobert has 13+ rebounds in 3 straight games.
Houston Rockets have won the first quarter in 6 of their last 7 road games.

PREVIEW

The Timberwolves and Rockets meet for the third time this season, with each team securing a road win in the first two matchups. Fred VanVleet has been a key contributor in the series, averaging 22.5 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 9.0 assists.

Minnesota comes into this game after a 127-108 victory over Chicago, fueled by Anthony Edwards’ 49-point, nine-rebound, six-triple performance and Naz Reid’s 22-point, 10-rebound, six-assist outing. The Timberwolves have won eight of their last nine games when Edwards scores 30+ points.

Houston suffered a 99-97 loss to Brooklyn despite Alperen Sengun’s dominant 24-point, 20-rebound effort. The Rockets have now dropped four straight games.

PICK – MINNESOTA +1.5

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ORLANDO @ DENVER

TEAM TRENDS

The home team has covered in each of DEN’s last 9 games.
DEN have won 23 of their last 24 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
6 of DEN’s last 7 home games have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ORL	25	27	15-9	10-18
DEN	32	19	16-8	16-11

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
ORL	104.1	105.5	-1.4	209.6
DEN	121.0	116.5	+4.5	237.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
DEN	OVER
-8.0	221.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

DEN – Michael Porter Jr. has made 3+ threes in 5 straight games vs. ORL.
ORL – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2+ threes in 4 straight games vs. DEN.
DEN – Nikola Jokic has made 2+ threes in 7 straight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
ORL – Franz Wagner has 4+ assists in 9 of his last 11 games as an underdog.
DEN – Jamal Murray has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games.
DEN – Nikola Jokic has 13+ assists in 3 straight games as a favorite vs. East teams.
DEN – Nikola Jokic has 32+ points in 5 of his last 6 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
ORL – Franz Wagner has 30+ points in 4 straight games vs. teams with a winning record.
ORL – Paolo Banchero has 20+ points in 11 straight road games vs. teams with a winning record.
DEN – Michael Porter Jr. has 20+ points in 3 straight home games.
DEN – Christian Braun has 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games.
DEN – Jamal Murray has 4+ rebounds in 6 straight home games vs. ORL.
DEN – Michael Porter Jr. has 6+ rebounds in 8 straight games vs. teams with a losing record.
DEN – Christian Braun has 6+ rebounds in 3 straight games.
ORL – Goga Bitadze has 8+ rebounds in 16 of his last 21 games.

PREVIEW

Orlando wrap up a six-game road trip with a visit to Denver in their second matchup of the season.

The Nuggets claimed the first meeting 113-100 at Kia Center on January 19, powered by Nikola Jokic’s 20-point, 14-rebound, 10-assist triple-double.

Denver comes into this game following a dominant 144-119 victory over New Orleans, fueled by Michael Porter Jr.’s 39-point, 12-rebound effort, Jokic’s 38-point, 10-assist performance, and Christian Braun’s 23-point, nine-rebound, three-steal outing. The Nuggets have now won four straight.

Orlando snapped an eight-game losing streak against Western Conference opponents with a 130-111 win over Sacramento, led by Franz Wagner’s 31-point, five-triple display.

PICK – OVER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS

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GOLDEN STATE @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

TEAM TRENDS

7 of the last 8 games between GSW and LAL have gone over.
LAL have won 7 of their last 8 games.
LAL have won the first quarter in 4 straight games.
GSW have covered in 5 straight games following a loss.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
GS	25	25	15-13	10-12
LAL	29	19	16-6	13-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
GS	111.5	111.8	-0.3	223.3
LAL	112.4	112.0	+0.4	224.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
LAL	UNDER
-7.0	221.5

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PLAYER TRENDS

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PREVIEW

The Warriors and Lakers meet for the third time this season at Crypto.com Arena, with the Lakers leading the series 2-0 after a pair of road wins.

Both teams enter this contest following major trade deadline moves, with the Warriors acquiring Jimmy Butler and the Lakers making a blockbuster deal for Luka Doncic, though Doncic remains sidelined.

Los Angeles comes off a commanding 122-97 win over the Clippers, fueled by LeBron James’ 26-point, eight-rebound, nine-assist, three-steal performance and Austin Reaves’ 20-point, six-rebound, nine-assist outing. The Lakers have won nine of their last 10 when James and Reaves combine for 45+ points.

Golden State fell 131-128 to Utah despite Stephen Curry’s 32-point, seven-assist, six-triple display and Brandin Podziemski’s career-high 29-point effort.

PICK – LA LAKERS -7.0

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SACRAMENTO @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

POR have covered in 10 straight games.
POR have won 9 of their last 10 games.
SAC have won the first quarter in 6 straight games vs. POR.
7 of SAC’s last 7 games vs. Western opponents have gone over.
POR have won the first half in 7 of their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
SAC	25	25	13-13	12-12
POR	22	29	14-13	8-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
SAC	116.3	115.5	+0.8	231.8
POR	109.1	114.1	-5.0	223.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
SAC	OVER
+1.0	229.5

TOP 3 ROI BETS

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Portland – have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+21.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Portland – have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Portland – have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 49 games (+12.86 Units / 26% ROI)

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

POR – Anfernee Simons has 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 games vs. SAC.
SAC – Zach LaVine has made 3+ threes in 7 of his last 8 games vs. POR.
SAC – Domantas Sabonis has 7+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games vs. POR.
SAC – DeMar DeRozan has 4+ rebounds in 14 of his last 15 games vs. POR.
SAC – Domantas Sabonis has the first basket in 4 of the last 6 games vs. POR.
SAC – Zach LaVine has 26+ points in 5 of his last 6 games vs. POR.
POR – Deandre Ayton has 21+ points in 6 straight home games vs. SAC.
SAC – DeMar DeRozan has 20+ points in 10 straight games vs. POR.
POR – Deandre Ayton has 10+ rebounds in 10 of his last 11 games vs. SAC.
POR – Deni Avdija has 9+ rebounds in 3 straight home games vs. SAC.

PREVIEW

The Kings and Portland face off at Moda Center for their third meeting this season, with each team previously winning at home. This trend extends to their last five matchups, all won by the host.

Portland comes off a dominant 112-89 win over Indiana, marking its ninth victory in 10 games. The Trail Blazers’ defense held the Pacers to just 37.5% shooting while Deandre Ayton continued his strong play with 18 points and 12 rebounds.

Sacramento fell 130-111 to Orlando at home, struggling defensively while Zach LaVine had an underwhelming franchise debut with 13 points on 4-13 shooting. The Kings have now lost three of their last four.

PICK – OVER 229.5 TOTAL POINTS

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INDIANA @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

IND have won 7 of their last 8 games as road underdogs.
7 of the last 8 games between IND and LAC have gone over.
LAC have won the first quarter in 7 straight home games vs. IND.
IND have covered in 4 straight games following a loss.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
IND	28	21	14-7	13-13
LAC	28	22	17-9	11-13

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
IND	115.6	115.0	+0.6	230.6
LAC	110.0	107.5	+2.5	217.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
IND	OVER
+8.5	227.5

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PLAYER TRENDS

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PREVIEW

The Pacers and Clippers meet for the first time this season after last year’s series ended in a split, with both teams winning on the road. Kawhi Leonard played a key role in that series, averaging 27.0 points.

The Clippers enter this matchup after a disappointing 122-97 loss to the Lakers, where James Harden struggled with a seven-point outing on 2-12 shooting. That defeat marked their third loss in five home games.

The Pacers had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 112-89 loss to Portland, where Tyrese Haliburton was held scoreless for just the second time this season.

PICK – INDIANA +8.5

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