NBA- Tonight’s Christmas Day Picks – Wed, 25th Dec

nba christmas day picks
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*These NBA tips and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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SAN ANTONIO @ NEW YORK

Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Spurs have lost their last 16 road games vs. Eastern teams with a winning record.
  • The last 4 games between the Spurs and Knicks have gone overs.
  • The Knicks have won the 1st half in 8 of their last 9 home games.
  • The Knicks have covered the line in their last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 15 14 11-7 4-7
NYK 19 10 9-4 10-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 111.6 112.7 -1.1 224.3
NYK 117.3 109.9 +7.4 227.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAS OVER
+9.5 223.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Chris Paul has scored 11+ points in his last 8 games vs. the Knicks.
  • Victor Wembanyama has a double-double in 4 of his last 5 games with the Spurs as underdogs.
  • Josh Hart has a double-double in 7 of the Knicks’ last 9 home games vs. Western teams.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 4+ assists in the Knicks’ last 6 games.
  • Victor Wembanyama has scored 26+ points in his last 8 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • Devin Vassell has scored 21+ points in 8 of his last 9 road games.

PREVIEW

Set to meet for the first time this season, the Spurs and Knicks will face off at Madison Square Garden on Christmas Day.

The Knicks hold a four-game home winning streak against the Spurs, including a 126-105 victory in last season’s series, which went with home court. Most recently, New York defeated Toronto 139-125, led by Karl-Anthony Towns’ 31-point, 10-rebound, seven-assist outing and OG Anunoby’s 31-point performance. The Knicks have now won six straight when Towns scores 20+.

San Antonio fell 111-106 to Philadelphia on Monday despite Victor Wembanyama’s 26-point, eight-block, six-triple display, marking their 25th loss in 28 road games against Eastern Conference teams.

PICK – SAN ANTONIO +9.5

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MINNESOTA @ DALLAS

American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 10 games have gone unders.
  • The Mavericks have won 10 of their last 12 games.
  • The Mavericks have covered the line in 5 of their last 6 games vs. the Timberwolves.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 14 14 8-6 6-8
DAL 19 10 10-4 9-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 109.3 107.2 +2.1 216.5
DAL 118.8 112.0 +6.8 230.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN UNDER
+5.5 220.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Luka Doncic has a double-double in 6 of his last 7 games.
  • Luka Doncic has 8+ assists in 6 of his last 8 games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • Klay Thompson has scored 15+ points in 18 of his last 19 home games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • Julius Randle has scored 26+ points in his last 4 road games vs. the Mavericks.
  • Kyrie Irving has scored 30+ points in 7 of his last 9 games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • Anthony Edwards has 6+ rebounds in the Timberwolves’ last 4 games vs. the Mavericks.

PREVIEW

The Mavericks will host the Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Christmas Day, concluding a four-game homestand. This marks their second meeting this season, with Dallas winning the first 120-114 at Target Center on October 29 behind Kyrie Irving’s 35-point, six-triple display.

The Mavericks dominated Portland 132-108 at home, led by Luka Doncic’s 27-point, seven-rebound, seven-assist performance. Dallas has now won six of its last seven home games.

Minnesota fell 117-104 to Atlanta at State Farm Arena on Monday despite Julius Randle’s 19-point, 13-rebound, seven-assist effort. The Timberwolves have lost three straight, dropping to 14-14.

PICK – DALLAS ML

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PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON

TD Garden, Boston, MA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Celtics have covered the line in 9 of their last 10 games after a loss.
  • The Celtics have won 17 of their last 18 games vs. Atlantic teams.
  • 7 of the Celtics’ last 8 Christmas Day games have gone overs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 10 17 5-9 5-8
BOS 22 7 11-4 11-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 105.9 110.4 -4.5 216.3
BOS 119.1 109.6 +9.5 228.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER
-9.5 222.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Joel Embiid has 6+ assists in his last 5 road games vs. Atlantic Division teams.
  • Tyrese Maxey has scored 27+ points in his last 6 games with the 76ers as road underdogs vs. Eastern teams.
  • Paul George has scored 21+ points in 10 of his last 12 games vs. the Celtics.
  • Joel Embiid has 10+ rebounds in 30 of his last 38 games vs. the Celtics.
  • Guerschon Yabusele has scored 15+ points in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record.

PREVIEW

Atlantic Division rivals, the 76ers and Celtics will meet at TD Garden on Christmas Day.

This is their first matchup of 2024-25 after Boston won last season’s series 3-1, including two home victories. Most recently, Boston blew a 15-point lead to fall 108-104 against Orlando at Kia Center despite Jaylen Brown’s 35-point, nine-rebound effort. Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, and Jrue Holiday are all questionable as Boston looks to extend a 17-1 division record.

Philadelphia defeated San Antonio 111-106 behind Tyrese Maxey’s 32-point, 10-rebound display following Joel Embiid’s ejection. The 76ers are 4-1 when Maxey scores 25+.

PICK – OVER 222.5 TOTAL POINTS

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LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Lakers’ last 11 games vs. Western teams have gone unders.
  • The Warriors have lost 4 of their last 5 games as favorites.
  • The Lakers have covered the line in 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 16 13 9-4 7-9
GSW 15 13 7-6 8-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 111.2 113.8 -2.6 225.0
GSW 112.8 110.8 +2.0 223.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW OVER
-3.5 223.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Stephen Curry has 7+ assists in the Warriors’ last 4 home games vs. the Lakers.
  • Draymond Green has a double-double in 3 of the Warriors’ last 4 games vs. the Lakers.
  • Stephen Curry has scored 31+ points in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games vs. the Lakers.
  • Jonathan Kuminga has scored 20+ points in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 home games.
  • Andrew Wiggins has scored 15+ points in 16 of his last 19 home games vs. the Lakers.
  • Draymond Green has 9+ rebounds in 5 of the Warriors’ last 7 games vs. the Lakers.

PREVIEW

Separated by 0.5 games in the Western standings, the Lakers and Warriors will meet at Chase Center on Christmas Day.

This marks their first matchup of 2024-25 after the Warriors claimed last season’s series 3-1, though the Lakers split their two road games. Stephen Curry was pivotal in that series, averaging 33.0 points.

Golden State fell 111-105 to Indiana at home despite Jonathan Kuminga’s 26-point, eight-rebound effort, extending their four-game division losing streak. Meanwhile, the Lakers lost 117-114 to Detroit despite LeBron James’ triple-double. Both James and Anthony Davis are listed as questionable.

PICK – GOLDEN STATE ML

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DENVER @ PHOENIX

Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

TEAM TRENDS

  • 7 of the Suns’ last 8 home games vs. Western teams have gone unders.
  • The Suns have lost 7 of their last 8 Christmas Day games.
  • The Nuggets have won the 1st quarter in 7 of their last 8 games vs. the Suns.
  • The Suns have lost both halves in their last 3 games.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the line in 7 of their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 16 11 8-4 8-7
PHX 14 14 9-6 5-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 119.8 116.3 +3.5 236.1
PHX 113.4 115.1 -1.7 228.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER
-1.5 233.5

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Jusuf Nurkic has scored 13+ points in 7 of his last 8 home games vs. the Nuggets.
  • Bradley Beal has scored 24+ points in his last 4 home games vs. the Nuggets.
  • Jusuf Nurkic has 12+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games vs. former teams.
  • Kevin Durant has 8+ rebounds in the Suns’ last 3 games vs. the Nuggets.
  • Bradley Beal has 5+ assists in his last 4 home games vs. the Nuggets.
  • Nikola Jokic has 11+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 4 road games vs. the Suns.
  • Aaron Gordon has scored 16+ points in 6 of his last 9 road games.

PREVIEW

Playing the second leg of a home-and-home, the Nuggets will face the Suns at Footprint Center on Christmas Day.

Denver dominated Monday’s meeting 117-90 at Ball Arena, taking a 1-0 lead in the four-game series. The Nuggets excelled in two-point shooting, hitting 61.2% (30-49) compared to the Suns’ 40.0% (20-50). Nikola Jokic led Denver with 32 points and seven assists, while Jamal Murray remains questionable.

Kevin Durant paced Phoenix with 23 points and nine rebounds, though Devin Booker (out) was missed. The Nuggets have won five of their last six, while the Suns have dropped six of eight.

PICK – DENVER -1.5

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