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DALLAS @ MINNESOTA
WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS
DALLAS LEAD 3-1
TEAM TRENDS
- The Mavericks have won their last 4 games as underdogs.
- The Mavericks have covered 10 of their last 11 road games after losing as favorites.
- The Mavericks’ last 4 Western Conference Finals road games have gone Overs.
- The Timberwolves have won the first half in their last 9 home games vs. the Mavericks.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 56 | 26 | 30-11 | 26-15 |
| DAL | 50 | 32 | 25-16 | 25-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| MIN | 113 | 106.5 | +6.5 | 219.5 |
| DAL | 117.9 | 115.6 | +2.3 | 233.5 |
SEASON MATCHUPS
MINNESOTA 3-1
| GAME 4 | DAL | MIN | 100:105 |
| GAME 3 | DAL | MIN | 116:107 |
| GAME 2 | MIN | DAL | 108:109 |
| GAME 1 | MIN | DAL | 105:108 |
| 01.02.24 | MIN | DAL | 121:87 |
| 08.01.24 | DAL | MIN | 115:108 |
| 29.12.23 | MIN | DAL | 118:110 |
| 15.12.23 | DAL | MIN | 101:119 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| DAL | OVER | DAL |
| +5.0 | 209.0 | 124-103 |
THE RUB
Still facing elimination, the Timberwolves will host the Mavericks in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals at Target Center on Thursday night.
The Timberwolves avoided a sweep with a 105-100 victory at American Airlines Center on Tuesday. The key difference was Minnesota’s efficiency inside the three-point line, shooting 28-50 (56.0%) on two-point field goals compared to Dallas’ 20-41 (48.8%).
Anthony Edwards led Minnesota with 29 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists, while Karl-Anthony Towns added 25 points. Luka Doncic was Dallas’ top performer with 28 points, 15 rebounds, and 10 assists, despite shooting 7-21 from the field.
Notably, the Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last five home games, while the Mavericks have won four straight on the road. Dereck Lively II is questionable to suit up.
PLAYER TRENDS
- P.J. Washington has 1+ blocks in his last 6 road games vs. Timberwolves.
- Luka Doncic has a triple-double in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 7 games.
- Rudy Gobert has scored 16+ points in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 home games vs. Mavericks.
- Luka Doncic has scored 32+ points in 6 of his last 7 vs. Timberwolves.
- Anthony Edwards has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 games.
- Karl-Anthony Towns has 3+ assists in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 home games.
- Kyrie Irving has 5+ assists in 5 of his last 6 road games vs. Timberwolves.
- Karl-Anthony Towns has a double-double in 6 of his last 7 playoff games facing elimination.
- Rudy Gobert has 2+ blocks in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 home games vs. Mavericks.
- Anthony Edwards has 2+ steals in 9 of the Timberwolves’ last 11 playoff home games.
- Mike Conley has scored 14+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 3 games.
- Jaden McDaniels has 4+ rebounds in the Timberwolves’ last 3 home games.
- Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in his last 3 playoff series closeout games.
- Kyrie Irving has scored 27+ points in 7 of his last 9 vs. Timberwolves.
- Kyrie Irving has 2+ steals in 8 of his last 11 road appearances.
PICK – OVER 209.0 TOTAL PTS
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