Tonight’s NBA Playoff Picks – Round 2 – Sat, 11th May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.


OKLAHOMA CITY @ DALLAS

WESTERN CONFERENCE 2ND ROUND – GAME 3

SERIES TIED 1-1

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs vs Western opponents.
  • The Thunder have covered their last 6 playoff road games vs the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks’ last 5 home games vs the Thunder have gone Overs.
  • The Thunder have won the first half in their last 5 games after losing as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16
OKC 57 25 33-8 24-17

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5
OKC 120.1 112.7 +7.4 232.8

SEASON MATCHUPS

OKLAHOMA CITY 3-1

GAME 2 OKC DAL 110:119
GAME 1 OKC DAL 117:95
15.04.24 OKC DAL 135:86
15.03.24 OKC DAL 126:119
11.02.24 DAL OKC 146:111
03.12.23 DAL OKC 120:126

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC OVER DAL
+2.5 218.0 105-101

THE RUB

In Game 3 of the Western Semis, the Thunder face the Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Saturday afternoon.

After a 119-110 win in Game 2 at Paycom Center, the Mavericks evened the series at 1-1. The game was decided by the three-point shooting, with Dallas hitting 48.6% from beyond the arc compared to Oklahoma City’s 33.3%.

Luka Doncic led Dallas with 29 points, 10 rebounds, 7 assists, 3 steals, and 5 triples. P.J. Washington matched his career-high with 29 points, 11 rebounds, and seven triples.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stood out for Oklahoma City, delivering 33 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists. Now, the Mavericks aim to build on their impressive 9-2 record from their last 11 home games.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic has 2+ steals in the Mavericks’ last 7 Western Semifinals games.
  • Kyrie Irving has 5+ rebounds in 17 of his last 19 home games.
  • Kyrie Irving has 6+ assists in his last 5 home games against the Thunder.
  • Daniel Gafford has scored 13+ points in his last 4 games against the Thunder.
  • Luguentz Dort has scored 14+ points in 6 of the Thunder’s last 7 games as road underdogs.
  • Kyrie Irving has scored 26+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games.
  • Daniel Gafford has 9+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games against the Thunder.
  • Chet Holmgren has a double-double in the Thunder’s last 2 road games against the Mavericks.

PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY +2.5


BOSTON @ CLEVELAND

EASTERN CONFERENCE 2ND ROUND – GAME 3

SERIES TIED 1-1

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last 8 Eastern Semifinals home games.
  • The Celtics’ last 4 playoff road games have gone Unders.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover their last 3 playoff games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.
  • The Celtics have won the first half in their last 12 games as road favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 64 18 37-4 27-14
CLE 48 34 26-15 22-19

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 120.6 109.2 +11.4 229.8
CLE 112.6 110.2 +2.4 222.8

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 2-1

GAME 2 BOS CLE 94:118
GAME 1 BOS CLE 120:95
06.03.24 CLE BOS 105:104
15.12.23 BOS CLE 116:107
13.12.23 BOS CLE 120:113

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER BOS
-8.0 211.0 106-93

THE RUB

In Game 3 of the Eastern Semis, Boston take on Cleveland at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Saturday night.

Following an uppset 118-94 victory in Game 2 at TD Garden, the Cavaliers leveled the series at 1-1 with a dominant performance.

Cleveland’s sharpshooting from beyond the arc was a key factor, shooting 46.4% on three-pointers compared to Boston’s 22.9%. Additionally, their dominance in the paint was evident, outscoring the Celtics 60-44.

Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland with 29 points, 7 rebounds, 8 assists, and 5 triples, while Evan Mobley added 21 points and 10 rebounds.

Jayson Tatum provided 25 points and 6 assists.

The Cavaliers enter this matchup with an undefeated 4-0 record at home during these playoffs.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaylen Brown has 2+ steals in each of his last 6 road games vs Eastern opponents.
  • Jayson Tatum has a double-double in 8 of the Celtics’ last 9 playoff road games.
  • Jaylen Brown has 7+ rebounds in each of the Celtics’ last 5 Game 3s when tied 1-1.
  • Max Strus has scored 14+ points in his last 4 Eastern Semifinals home games.
  • Jrue Holiday has scored 14+ points in 10 of his last 12 playoff road games.
  • Donovan Mitchell has scored 34+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games vs the Celtics.
  • Darius Garland has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 home games vs the Celtics.
  • Evan Mobley has 2+ blocks in 6 of the Cavaliers’ last 7 games.

PICK – OVER 211.0 TOTAL PTS