Expert NBA Basketball Picks

FREE NBA PICKS – 18/1/21

January 18, 2021

FREE NBA TIPS TONIGHT

*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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Access to all Parlays, Parisi’s Player Prop, Trend Bets & Player Trends!

BEST BETS

PARLAY 1

MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA – ATLANTA -7.0
GOLDEN STATE @ LA LAKERS – LA LAKERS WIN

PARLAY ODDS – 2.37

PARLAY 2

DETROIT @ MIAMI – DETROIT +6.5
DALLAS @ TORONTO – TORONTO WIN

PARLAY ODDS – 3.05

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE AT THE MOMENT)

PLAYER PROP

MILWAUKEE @ BROOKLYN – JAMES HARDEN 8+ ASTS
SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND – DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 32.5 PTS
MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA – JOHN COLLINS UNDER 18.5 PTS

PARLAY ODDS – 6.85

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE AT THE MOMENT)

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

ORLANDO @ NEW YORK

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Nikola Vucevic has the first basket in 3 of the Magic’s last 5 road games.
RJ Barrett has 19+ points in 5 of the Knicks’ last 6 games against Eastern teams. (17.5)
Nikola Vucevic has 25+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games against the Knicks. (22.5)
Elfrid Payton has 7+ assists in his last 4 games after playing less than 30 minutes the previous day. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET

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ORLANDO

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.

NEW YORK

4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 0 days rest.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

MATCHUP

Magic are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

TREND BET –

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Magic are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ORL	6	7	3-3	3-4
NY	6	8	2-4	4-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
ORL	106.1	112.2	-6.1	218.3
NY	101.3	104.1	-2.8	205.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
NY	UNDER	NY
+1.0	206.5	91-84

After starting the season 4-0, the Magic have fallen in a hole, going 2-7 over their last 9, those 2 wins both against Cleveland.

The Magic rank near the bottom of the league in scoring at 106.1 ppg. On Saturday, they allowed Brooklyn to shoot 54% from the field during a 122-115 road loss.

The Knicks are two games below .500 overall and rank second worst in the league in scoring at 101.0 ppg. New York spoiled Kemba Walker’s season debut during a 105-75 road win on Sunday.

Gonna be ugly.

PICK – NEW YORK +1.0

WASHINGTON @ CLEVELAND

—> POSTPONED

MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Malik Beasley has 24+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 3 games. (20.5)
D’Angelo Russell has 25+ points in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 games. (23.5)
Trae Young has 36+ points in the Hawks’ last 3 games against the Timberwolves. (28.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Timberwolves are 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIN	3	8	2-4	1-4
ATL	5	7	2-3	3-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIN	108.6	118.7	-10.1	227.3
ATL	111.4	110.3	+1.1	221.7

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
ATL	OVER	ATL
-7.0	226.5	108-97

The Timberwolves have lost eight of their last nine and rank 27th in the league in scoring defense, giving up a hefty 118.7 ppg. On Wednesday, they were outscored by 21 points during the fourth quarter in a 118-107 home loss against Memphis.

On Saturday, the Hawks were outscored by 13 points during the second half of a 112-106 road loss to the Blazers.

Karl-Anthony Towns has tested positive for COVID and will not play tonight.

Should be Hawks comortably.

PICK – ATLANTA -7.0

DETROIT @ MIAMI

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

Jerami Grant has 24+ points in the Pistons’ last 4 road games. (22.5)
Mason Plumlee has 8+ rebounds in 9 of the Pistons’ last 12 games. (6.5)
Blake Griffin has 5+ assists in the Pistons’ last 5 games. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET

[restrict subscription=1]

DETROIT

Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Over is 9-2 in last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

MIAMI

Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Over is 20-6 in last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MATCHUP

Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Pistons are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DET	3	9	2-5	1-4
MIA	4	7	3-3	1-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DET	109.1	113.7	-4.6	222.8
MIA	110.0	114.5	-4.5	224.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
DET	OVER	MIA
+6.5	217.5	113-107

The Pistons have lost 9 of their first 12 and have the worst record in the league. On Saturday, they outscored the Heat by 19 points during the third quarter of a 120-100 road win.

The Heat have lost 7 of their first 11 games and their NBA Finals run is quickly becoming a distant memory. During Saturday’s home loss they turned the ball over 23 times and were never in the game.

Jimmy Butler (COVID protocol) will sit again, and their are a handful of questionables for the Heat squad.

PICK – DETROIT +6.5

SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

[restrict subscription=1]

DeMar DeRozan has 25+ points in 7 of his last 10 games against the Blazers. (20.5)
Patty Mills has scored 15+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against Northwest teams. (12.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Spurs are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland.
Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 35-17 in the last 52 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
SAS	7	6	2-4	5-2
POR	8	5	4-3	4-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
SAS	110.1	110.2	-0.1	220.3
POR	115.7	115.2	+0.5	230.9

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
SAS	UNDER	SAS
-1.5	225.5	125-104

San Antonio looks for its second straight W after improving to 7-6 after a 102-91 win over Houston to end a four-game losing streak at home.

The Blazers look for their second straight W also after a 112-106 win on Saturday over Atlanta.

McCollum (foot) is a big loss for the Blazers tonight, and it might just be the difference.

PICK – SAN ANTONIO -1.5

PHOENIX @ MEMPHIS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Suns are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Memphis.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
PHX	7	4	3-1	4-3
MEM	6	6	2-5	4-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
PHX	110.5	106.7	+3.8	217.2
MEM	106.5	107.6	-1.1	214.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
PHX	UNDER	MEM
-3.0	223.0	108-104

Phoenix has had each of its last three games postponed. The Suns were defeated by Washington 128-107 in their most recent outing.

Memphis looks for its fifth straight win after improving to 6-6 following its 106-104 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers.

Jaren Jackson and Valunciunas and are out for the Grizzlies.

PICK – PHOENIX -3.0

MILWAUKEE @ BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

Jrue Holiday has the first basket in 3 of the Bucks’ last 4 games against Eastern teams.
Jrue Holiday has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Nets. (16.5)
Giannis Antetokounmpo has 12+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games against Atlantic teams. (11.5)
Kevin Durant has 6+ assists in his last 5 home games against the Bucks. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

Bucks are 27-10-1 ATS in the last 38 meetings.
Bucks are 16-4-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Brooklyn.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIL	9	4	6-1	3-3
BKN	8	6	6-4	2-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIL	120.2	109.5	+10.7	229.7
BKN	118.9	113.1	+5.8	232.0

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIL	UNDER	BKN
-2.0	237.5	125-123

The Bucks improved to 9-4 after a 112-109 win over the Mavs.

Brooklyn are 8-6 following a 122-115 win on over Orlando. Harden debuted for the Nets on Saturday and scored a double-double with 32 points, 14 assists and 12 rebounds, while Durant was the leading scorer with 42 points.

Tough one here, but will be fun to watch. Milwaukee the more stable outfit.

PICK – MILWAUKEE -2.0

DALLAS @ TORONTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

[restrict subscription=1]

Chris Boucher has 20+ points in the Raptors’ last 3 games. (16.5)
Kyle Lowry has 19+ points in his last 4 games against the Mavericks. (17.5)
Fred VanVleet has 21+ points in 6 of the Raptors’ last 8 games as favorites. (19.5)
Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET

[restrict subscription=1]

DALLAS

4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

TORONTO

3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.

MATCHUP

Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

TREND BET – DALLAS ATS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DAL	6	6	2-2	4-4
TOR	4	8	3-2	1-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DAL	108.7	106.1	+2.6	214.8
TOR	111.5	112.2	-0.7	223.7

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
TOR	UNDER	TOR
-3.5	220.5	116-93

Toronto looks for its third straight W on Monday when hosting Dallas. The Raptors improved to 4-8 after a 116-113 win over the Charlotte on Saturday.

Last night the Mavs lost 117-101 against the Bulls. Doncic tried to carry Dallas with 36 pts, 16 rbs and 15 asts, but couldn’t get them over the line.

Toronto should market correct tonight.

PICK – TORONTO -3.5

HOUSTON @ CHICAGO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

Zach LaVine has scored 32+ points in 5 of the Bulls’ last 6 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (26.5)
Coby White has scored 19+ points in 8 of the Bulls’ last 10 games at United Center. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

Rockets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
HOU	4	7	3-3	1-4
CHI	5	8	1-3	4-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
HOU	109.3	111.5	-2.2	220.8
CHI	116.8	120.0	-3.2	236.8

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
CHI	UNDER	CHI
+2.5	224.5	125-120

Houston split a road series with the Spurs winning the first by four, then falling in the rematch 103-91.

The Bulls scored a 117-101 win over Dallas night night, and their offense has been much improved, averaging 116.8 ppg ranking 4th in the NBA in scoring offense. Their defense has been a different story, allowing 121.6 ppg and ranking 29th in scoring defense.

John Wall (knee) will sit again for the Rockets, while Oladipo makes his debut for Houston.

PICK – CHICAGO +2.5

GOLDEN STATE @ LA LAKERS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

Andrew Wiggins has 23+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against the Lakers. (18.5)
Kelly Oubre Jr. has 17+ points in 4 of his last 5 games at STAPLES Center. (13.5)
Anthony Davis has 26+ points in his last 10 home games against the Warriors. (24.5)
Dennis Schroder has 5+ assists in his last 3 games against the Warriors. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS