FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*These NBA Playoff picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 62-39
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
MIAMI VS MILWAUKEE
When Batman has his back against the wall, it’s often Robin that shows up out of no where.
Game 3. Down 2-0. The Bucks need Batman & Robin to explode and combine as one or this series this done.
Middleton, surprisingly, is hooping right now despite the series scoreline and his bubble form. He just needs to stay out of foul trouble. Capish?
Thus far, Middleton has shown us that he is undeniably the Bucks most lethal threat from 15+ feet. He too, can take it inside, evident by his 12 FT attempts in Game 2.
I don’t expect another bagel from 3, he managed to knock 4 down in game 1. We’ll meet in the middle tomorrow and get 2 because after all, he has a license to shoot it.
High volume, high shot count.
Overs.
DP’S PICK – KHRIS MIDDLETON OVER 22.5 POINTS – WIN
MIAMI VS MILWAUKEE
MIAMI LEAD 2-0
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Brook Lopez has 16+ points in the Bucks’ last four games against the Heat. (14.5)
- Goran Dragic has 23+ points in the Heat’s last 4 games. (19.5)
- Eric Bledsoe has 10 points or less in 4 of his last 5 games against the Heat. (13.5)
- Wesley Matthews has 2+ three-pointers in 11 of his last 14 playoff games. (1.5)
- Giannis has 7+ assists in 3 of the Bucks’ last 4 games in the Bubble. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
TREND BET
MIAMI
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall.
MILWAUKEE
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 11-3 in Bucks last 14 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
MATCHUP
- Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
TREND BET – MIAMI +5.5 & UNDER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 2 | MIL | MIA | 114 : 116 |
| GAME 1 | MIL | MIA | 104 : 115 |
| 07.08.20 | MIL | MIA | 130 : 116 |
| 03.03.20 | MIA | MIL | 105 : 89 |
| 27.10.19 | MIL | MIA | 126 : 131 (121 : 121) |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 44 | 29 | 29-7 | 15-22 |
| MIL | 56 | 17 | 30-5 | 26-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| MIA | 112.0 | 109.1 | +2.9 | 221.1 |
| MIL | 118.7 | 108.6 | +10.1 | 227.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | UNDER | MIA |
| +5.5 | 223.5 | 115-100 |
The Heat have gone 4-1 in the season against the Bucks and still come into this one as +5.5 dogs.
The Bucks, who finished the regular season #1 at 56-17, are in danger, and the Heat are looking like sure things with more desperation, elite defense and just too many scoring options with 7 players in double-digit points in Game 2.
Part of the Bucks preparation for Game 3 should be finding a way to shoot better from 3-point range. The Bucks shot 28% (7 of 25) in Game 2, while Miami shot 37.8% from behind the arc (17 of 45).
We can’t find a reason to go against the Heat at +5.5. The prospect of seeing the East leading Bucks trailing 0-3 has us thinking they must surely correct and get a game back tonight. But…… the Heat are legit.
PICK – MIAMI +5.5
LA LAKERS VS HOUSTON
SERIES OPENER
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 8+ rebounds in his last 5 games against the Lakers. (6.5)
- Robert Covington has 14+ points in the Rockets’ last 4 games. (12.5)
- P.J. Tucker has 3 three-pointers in the Rockets’ last 4 playoff games as underdogs. (1.5)
- Eric Gordon has 18+ points in 4 of the Rockets’ last 5 games. (17.5)
- Kyle Kuzma has 18+ points in 5 of the Lakers’ last 6 games against the Rockets. (12.5)
- LeBron James has 30+ points in the Lakers’ last 3 games. (28.5)
- Anthony Davis has 4+ assists in 7 of his last 9 games with the Lakers as favorites. (3.5)
- James Harden has 34+ points in 8 of the Rockets’ last 11 games against the Lakers. (31.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.08.20 | HOU | LAL | 113 : 97 |
| 07.02.20 | LAL | HOU | 111 : 121 |
| 19.01.20 | HOU | LAL | 115 : 124 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 52 | 19 | 25-10 | 27-9 |
| HOU | 44 | 28 | 24-12 | 20-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| LAL | 113.4 | 107.6 | +5.8 | 221.0 |
| HOU | 117.8 | 114.8 | +3.0 | 232.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | OVER | HOU |
| -6.5 | 223.5 | 112-97 |
The Rockets just barely fell over the line against the Thunder, and there are many questions that they will need to answer in this series if they are a chance to worry the Lakers.
Harden’s offensive troubles in the playoffs have to be honest, not been surprising.
The Rockets advanced to the 2nd round after a 104-102 Game 7 win over the Thunder on Wednesday. They went through despite a poor performance from Harden, who had 17 points on 4-for-15 shooting from the floor and just 1-for-9 on 3-pointers.
The West top seed Lakers haven’t played since Saturday, when they eliminated Portland in a 131-122 win in Game 5.
Davis leads the Lakers in scoring at 29.3 points per game and is shooting 57.3 percent from the floor in the playoffs. He also averages 9.4 rebounds. James is putting up 27.4 points, 10.2 rebounds and a league-high 10.2 assists in the postseason.
Some are saying the Lakers will be rusty with a few days off.
PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS
