FREE NBA PICKS TONIGHT
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 55-32
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
BOSTON VS PHILADELPHIA
Welcome back to the Playoffs, Joel. It’s your time.
There’s no doubt my mind that Embiid will come out with fire in his belly Game 1.
Last time these two sides met, Embiid was 1-11 on the floor. He will remember that. But let’s not take away his performance in the game prior where he torched Theis for 38 and 13.
It all falls on Joel, at both ends of the floor. He is one of the most versatile offensive players in the bubble and we’ll soon witness how great he can be.
DP’S PICK – JOEL EMBIID OVER 25.5 POINTS
TREND BETS
LA CLIPPERS VS DALLAS
LA CLIPPERS
- Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
DALLAS
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
MATCHUP
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
TREND BET – LA CLIPPERS -5.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
DENVER VS UTAH
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.08.20 | DEN | UTA | 134 : 132 (105 : 105) |
| 06.02.20 | UTA | DEN | 95 : 98 |
| 31.01.20 | DEN | UTA | 106 : 100 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Rudy Gobert has 16+ points in the Jazz’s last 5 games against the Nuggets. (15.5)
- Paul Millsap has 5 rebounds or less in his last 5 games against the Jazz. (6.5)
- Jamal Murray has 21+ points in his last four games against the Jazz. (19.5)
- Jerami Grant has 18+ points in 4 of his last 5 games. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 46 | 27 | 26-11 | 20-16 |
| UTA | 44 | 28 | 23-12 | 21-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| DEN | 111.3 | 109.2 | +2.1 | 220.5 |
| UTA | 111.3 | 108.8 | +2.5 | 220.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | UNDER | DEN |
| +4.5 | 216.5 | 135-125 (1OT) |
The 6th-seed Jazz went 3-5 in the bubble will be led by Donovan Mitchell tonight (24.0 ppg). On Thursday, Utah raced out to a 17-point lead after one quarter and cruised to a 118-112 win over San Antonio.
The Nuggets won 46 games during the regular season and have had to deal with lots of injuries in the bubble. Michael Porter has had a breakout in the Bubble, averaging 22.0 ppg and 8.6 rpg.
These two know each other well and rank in the bottom five in pace.
Regular season matchup totals were 206, 193 and 210.
PICKS – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
TORONTO VS BROOKLYN
SEASON SERIES
| 13.02.20 | BKN | TOR | 101 : 91 |
| 09.02.20 | TOR | BKN | 119 : 118 |
| 05.01.20 | BKN | TOR | 102 : 121 |
| 15.12.19 | TOR | BKN | 110 : 102 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Caris LeVert has 3 rebounds or less in 11 of his 12 games against the Raptors. (5.5)
- Jarrett Allen has 14+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. (11.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 8+ assists in 14 of his last 20 games against the Nets. (6.5)
- Joe Harris has 19+ points in his last 3 games. (15.5)
- Fred VanVleet has 22+ points in the Raptors’ last 3 games against the Nets. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 53 | 19 | 26-10 | 27-9 |
| BKN | 35 | 37 | 20-16 | 15-21 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| TOR | 112.8 | 106.5 | +6.3 | 219.3 |
| BKN | 111.8 | 112.3 | -0.5 | 224.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | UNDER | TOR |
| -9.5 | 222.5 | 134-110 |
On Nets finished the regular season 35-37 and rank 7th in the East standings. The Nets were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers 134-133 in their final seeding game.
Toronto finished 2nd in the East with a 53-19 record. The Raptors won their final 4 seeding games and 6 of the 8 since the restart, their only loss to the Celtics. In their most recent game, they defeated Denver 117-109 and finished 18 games in front of Brooklyn in the Atlantic standings.
Like the Unders here.
PICK – UNDER 222.5 TOTAL POINTS
BOSTON VS PHILADELPHIA
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- 76ers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 02.02.20 | BOS | PHI | 116 : 95 |
| 10.01.20 | PHI | BOS | 109 : 98 |
| 13.12.19 | BOS | PHI | 109 : 115 |
| 24.10.19 | PHI | BOS | 107 : 93 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
-
Gordon Hayward has 7+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games. (6.5)
-
Jaylen Brown has 20+ points in 10 of his last 13 games. (18.5)
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Tobias Harris has 22+ points in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 games against Atlantic opponents. (20.5)
-
Al Horford has 5+ assists in 5 of his last 7 games with Ben Simmons out. (4.5)
-
Josh Richardson has 14+ points in his last 3 games against the Celtics. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 48 | 24 | 26-10 | 22-14 |
| PHI | 43 | 30 | 31-4 | 12-26 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| BOS | 113.7 | 107.3 | +6.4 | 221.0 |
| PHI | 110.7 | 108.4 | +2.3 | 219.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | OVER | BOS |
| -5.5 | 218.5 | 109-101 |
Philadelphia finished the regular 43-30 and were 4-4 during their seeding games, defeating the Rockets 134-96 in the final game of the regular season, a game in which many of the starters sat for both teams.
Boston finished the season 48-24 and in 3rd place in East. Since the restart, Boston are 6-2 and lost its final game of the season 96-90 to the Wizards. However, the Celtics had already clinched 3rd spot place in the conference and the starters were rested.
Should be a very competitive, physical series.
PICK – BOSTON -5.5
LA CLIPPERS VS DALLAS
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.08.20 | DAL | LAC | 111 : 126 |
| 22.01.20 | DAL | LAC | 107 : 110 |
| 27.11.19 | DAL | LAC | 99 : 114 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Kawhi Leonard has 7 rebounds or less in his last 9 games. (7.5)
- Ivica Zubac has 12+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games. (8.5)
- Lou Williams has 21+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 games as favorites against the Mavericks. (17.5)
- Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in the Mavericks’ last 3 night games at AdventHealth Arena. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 49 | 23 | 27-9 | 22-14 |
| DAL | 43 | 32 | 20-18 | 23-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| LAC | 116.3 | 109.9 | +6.4 | 226.2 |
| DAL | 117.0 | 112.1 | +4.9 | 229.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | OVER | LAC |
| -5.5 | 230.0 | 118-110 |
Dallas finished it’s regular season 43-32 and lost each of it’s last two games, finishing 3-5 in the bubble and 7th in the West.
The Clippers finished the regular 49-23 and were 5-3 in the bubble. The Clippers defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 107-103 in their final game. LA finished 2nd to the Lakers in the West.
Overs has hit in 5 of the Clippers last 6 and 4 of the Mavericks last 5.
Each team has 4 players that are averaging over 20 ppg and both teams with the exception of the final game or two of eight seeding games scored 110+ points since the restart.
PICK – LA CLIPPERS -5.5
