FREE NBA PICKS – 1/8/20

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 53-29 

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.

LA LAKERS VS TORONTO

This fixture is set up beautifully for the Raptors to snatch one with the Lakers entering on a quick back up after going the full 48 minutes against the Clippers.

Such is the advantage of ‘fresh legs’, Pascal Siakam will be the main benefactor with not only his outside shooting but more importantly his transition running in fast-break points.

Last time these two sides met, Siakam returned 25 points (on 25 shot attempts) which is not an ideal return but it was predominantly his poor shooting from 3 that diminished his FG %.

DP’S PICK – PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 21.5 POINTS

NBA PARLAY

• OKLAHOMA CITY VS UTAH – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
• DENVER VS MIAMI – DENVER +1.5
• LA LAKERS VS TORONTO – TORONTO +4.0

ODDS – $6.86

TREND BET

OKLAHOMA CITY VS UTAH

OKLAHOMA CITY

• Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 37-16 in last 53 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

UTAH

• Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

MATCHUP

• Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

DENVER VS MIAMI

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

• Heat are 8-19 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Nikola Jokic has 23+ points in the Nuggets’ last 6 day games. (19.5)
• Jimmy Butler has 22+ points in 5 of his last 7 games against the Nuggets. (18.5)
• Duncan Robinson has 17+ points in 6 of the Heat’s last 7  games against Western opponents. (12.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

The single matchup between these two back in November brought a one-sided 20 point win to the Nuggets.

Both rank in the bottom 4  in the league in pace of play, so the Unders looks good, but the better play is on the Nuggets, who’ve covered the line in 13 of their last 19 games against the Heat.

PICK  – DENVER +1.5

OKLAHOMA CITY VS UTAH

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

• Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
• Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Danilo Gallinari has 18 points or less in 7 of his last 8 games against the Jazz. (18.5)
• Steven Adams has 11+ points in 6 of the Thunder’s last 7 games against the Jazz. (10.5)
• Steven Adams has 10+ rebounds in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 games against the Jazz. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

There were a number of shootouts in Day 2 of the return, but this one will likely follow the Day 1 trend of Unders.

The absence of Bogdanovic saw the Jazz go back to their defensive mindset, only letting through 44 points to New Orleans in the 2nd half after being down 12 at the main break. Tonight they get OKC, who play their first game in the bubble.

These two have met twice this season, and both outings failed to reach the 200 points mark (194 & 195 total points). We expect a very different Utah team tonight, and expect this one to end under the 216.5 total points line.

PICK  – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS

NEW ORLEANS VS LA CLIPPERS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

• Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Derrick Favors has 11+ points in each of his last 7 games against the Clippers. (8.5)
• Jrue Holiday has 7+ assists in 9 of his last 10 games against the Clippers. (6.5)
• Paul George has 5 rebounds or less in 8 of his last 10 games. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

New Orleans lost its opening bubble game 106-104 to the Jazz on Thursday night, while the Clippers opened their schedule with a 103-101 loss to the Lakers on the same night.

Like Overs here.

PICK  – OVER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS

PLAYER PROP

PHILADELPHIA VS INDIANA

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

• 76ers are 6-13 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
• Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Ben Simmons has 17+ points in 13 of his last 16 games. (15.5)
• Ben Simmons has 9+ nine rebounds in 7 of the 76ers’ last 10 games against the Pacers. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

Tricky one this one.

Although the Pacers have had the edge over the the 76ers in recent outings, covering 13 of the last 19, they will be without their 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder, Domantas Sabonis (plantar fasciitis), who is out indefinitely.

The 76ers are 19th in the league in pace of play, while the Pacers are 23rd. So expect a slower affair tonight.

PICK  – NO BET

IF YOU MUST  – UNDER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS

LA LAKERS VS TORONTO

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

• Lakers are 7-18-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
• Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Kyle Lowry has 6+ rebounds in his last 4 games against the Lakers. (4.5)
• Anthony Davis has 30+ points in 4 of the Lakers’ last 5 games. (25.5)
• Fred VanVleet has 22+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Raptors as underdogs against Western opponents. (15.5)
• Pascal Siakam has 4+ assists in 5 of the Raptors’ last 6 games. (3.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

The Lakers looked good in their opener against the Clippers, but relied very heavily on Anthony Davis against a Clippers frontcourt sans Montrezl Harrell.

Toronto line up for their first bubble outing, but they’ve got a young talented team headlined by Siakam, Norman Powell and OG Anunoby to go with the old heads of Kyle Lowry and Marc Gasol.

They’ll be determined to start strong to lock away the 2nd seed and face either the Magic or Nets in the opening week of the playoffs.

The Raptors in an upset.

PICK  – TORONTO +4.0