Expert NBA Tips and Player Prop Betting Picks

7 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 13/1/19

January 13, 2020

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 26-17

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

PORTLAND @ CHARLOTTE

Well, that was an easy cover for Jordan Clarkson who poured in 23 points, the most he has scored since being acquired by the Jazz with 22 attempts on the floor.

It was painless and a stress-free night for those who followed me in on Clarkson after losing by .5 in my last prop with Derek Rose left stranded on 20 – let’s keep rolling from here.

The Portland Trail Blazers are having an embarrassing year, owners of a devastating 16-24 record, whilst just recording 2 wins in their past 8 outings.

Before taking the road for 3 straight against Houston, Dallas and OKC – they need to ensure they chalk up a W against Charlotte who are amidst a 4 game losing streak.
Such a game presents Damian Lillard with the chance for 30+.

Matched-up against the Hornets backcourt, Lillard should be too strong offensively against Rozier, Graham and Bacon all of which are coming off high minutes in a back to back.

Lillard is coming off 50% on the floor against the Bucks en route 26 points but his FT’s of 3 were well below his season average of 7 which I think he rectifies against the Hornets.

DP’S PICK – DAMIAN LILLARD Over 25.5

DP’S LATE MAIL

CHICAGO @ BOSTON

It’s a late play, but the right play.

Enes Kanter will suit up in the starting unit, soak up 30+ minutes and will front up hard on the board against the Bulls’ young C in Daniel Gafford.

DP’S PICK – ENES KANTER OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS – WIN

PARLAYS

PARLAY 1

NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT – NEW ORLEANS +3.5
OKC @ MINNESOTA – OKC WIN
ORLANDO @ SACRAMENTO – ORLANDO +2.5

ODDS – $6.31 – WIN

PARLAY 2

OKC @ MINNESOTA – OVER 217.0
CHARLOTTE @ PORTLAND – OVER 215.0

ODDS – $3.64 – WIN

TREND BETS

NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT

PELICANS TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
8-1-1 ATS in last 10 games overall.
4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.

PISTONS TRENDS

16-34-1 ATS in last 51 games overall.
2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
1-7 ATS in last 8 home games.
1-9 ATS in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

TREND BET – NEW ORLEANS +3.5 – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your NBA pick.

NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PELICANS TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
8-1-1 ATS in last 10 games overall.
4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
Over is 8-0 in last 8 overall.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.

PISTONS TRENDS

16-34-1 ATS in last 51 games overall.
2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
1-7 ATS in last 8 home games.
1-9 ATS in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games vs teams with losing road record.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Detroit.
Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

10.12.19
NOR
DET
103 : 105

PLAYER TRENDS

Andre Drummond has 18+ rebounds in 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 games. (17.5)
Lonzo Ball has 9+ assists in the Pelicans’ last 3 road games. (TBC)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
NOR	14	26	7-12	7-14
DET	14	26	8-12	6-14

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
NOR	113.1	117.1	-4.0	230.2
DET	108.2	111.1	-2.9	219.3

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
NOR	OVER	NOR
+3.5	224.5	117-110 1OT

OUR PICK – NEW ORLEANS +3.5

PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

76ERS TRENDS

2-5-2 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
1-4-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams over .500.
1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
0-4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams over .500.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

PACERS TRENDS

9-3-1 ATS in last 13 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a home underdog.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
Under is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs teams over .500.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

01.01.20	IND	PHI	115 : 97
01.12.19	PHI	IND	119 : 116

PLAYER TRENDS

Tobias Harris has 18 points or less in his last 4 games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. (20.5)
Ben Simmons has 11 assists in 3 of the 76ers’ last 4 road games. (8.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
PHI	25	15	18-2	7-13
IND	24	15	15-5	9-10

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
PHI	109.3	105.8	+3.5	215.1
IND	109.6	106.5	+3.1	216.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
IND	OVER	IND
-2.0	213.5	101-95

OUR PICK – INDIANA WIN

CHICAGO @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BULLS TRENDS

8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
7-2-1 ATS in last 10 road games.
1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
0-4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams over .500.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 games v teams above .600.

CELTICS TRENDS

1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Bulls are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
Bulls are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Boston.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

05.01.20
CHI
BOS
104 : 111

PLAYER TRENDS

Lauri Markkanen has 18+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games against Atlantic Division teams. (16.5)
Gordon Hayward has 18+ points in the Celtics’ last 3 home games. (15.5)
Jayson Tatum has 26+ points in the Celtics’ last 3 games against Central Division teams. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
CHI	14	26	7-14	7-12
BOS	26	11	15-3	11-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
CHI	105.9	107.7	-1.8	213.6
BOS	111.4	104.4	+7.0	215.8

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
CHI	UNDER	BOS
+10.5	216.5	113-101

OUR PICK – UNDER 216.5

OKLAHOMA CITY @ MINNESOTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

THUNDER TRENDS

7-0 ATS in last 7 games after a straight up loss of 10+ points.
4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
10-1 ATS in last 11 road games.
20-8 ATS in last 28 games overall.
3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Over is 11-1 in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a favorite.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
3-9 ATS in last 12 home games.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams over .500.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
Under is 9-4 in last 13 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

07.12.19
OKC
MIN
139 : 127

(122 : 122)

PLAYER TRENDS

Dennis Schroder has 21+ points in the Thunder’s last 4 games against Northwest Division teams. (18.5)
Danilo Gallinari has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against Western Conference teams. (18.5)
Steven Adams has 15+ rebounds in the Thunder’s last 3 road games. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
OKC	22	17	13-7	9-10
MIN	15	23	6-11	9-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
OKC	108.9	107.4	+1.5	216.3
MIN	111.8	114.7	-2.9	226.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
OKC	OVER	OKC
-3.0	218.0	117-104

OUR PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY WIN & OVER 218.0

CHARLOTTE @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HORNETS TRENDS

9-2 ATS in last 11 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
Over is 7-3 in last 10 games as an underdog.

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
1-4-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
0-4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
Over is 30-13-1 in last 44 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Hornets are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Hornets are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Portland.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

PLAYER TRENDS

Damian Lillard has 28+ points in the Blazers’ last 9 games as home favourites against Eastern Conference teams. (25.5)
C.J. McCollum has 23+ points in the Blazers’ last 5 home games against Southeast Division teams. (21.5)
Terry Rozier has 23+ points in 5 of the Hornets’ last 6 games. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
CHA	15	27	7-13	8-14
POR	16	24	8-10	8-14

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
CHA	104.0	110.7	-6.7	214.7
POR	111.5	113.9	-2.4	225.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
CHA	OVER	POR
+9.5	215.0	115-112

OUR PICK – OVER 215.0

ORLANDO @ SACRAMENTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
7-3-1 ATS in last 11 road games.
13-3 ATS in last 16 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
Under is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
Under is 35-17 in last 52 vs teams below .400.

KINGS TRENDS

4-9 ATS in last 13 games overall.
2-9 ATS in last 11 home games.
1-7 ATS in last 8 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
Under is 10-2 in last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Magic are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Magic are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Buddy Hield has 23+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 home games against Eastern Conference teams. (20.5)
Harrison Barnes has 17+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 games at Golden 1 Center. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ORL	18	21	13-8	5-13
SAC	15	24	8-11	7-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
ORL	103.5	103.3	+0.2	206.8
SAC	106.2	109.0	-2.8	215.2

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
ORL	UNDER	ORL
+2.5	214.5	114-112

OUR PICK – ORLANDO +2.5

CLEVELAND @ LA LAKERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
4-11 ATS in last 15 vs teams over .500.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Under is 9-2 in last 11 vs teams over .500.
Over is 9-4 in last 13 road games.

LAKERS TRENDS

3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
10-2-1 ATS in last 13 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
8-3-1 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .500.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
Under is 38-14 in last 52 games as a home favorite.
Under is 40-17-1 in last 58 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

FIRST MEETING

PLAYER TRENDS

Kevin Love has 21+ points in his last 4 road games against Pacific Division teams. (17.5)
LeBron James has 31+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games against Central Division teams. (TBC)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS