It’s the Conference Finals tonight, here are our NBA picks for tonight’s games.
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Western Conference Finals – Game 1
Golden State @ Houston
- Western Conference Final – Game 1
H2H Trends
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Golden State are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Season Series
| 21.01.18 | Houston | Golden State | 116 : 108 |
| 05.01.18 | Houston | Golden State | 114 : 124 |
| 18.10.17 | Golden State | Houston | 121 : 122 |
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | AWAY |
| Houston | 65 | 17 | 34-7 | 31-10 |
| Golden State | 58 | 24 | 29-12 | 29-12 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Houston | 112.4 | 103.9 | +8.5 |
| Golden State | 113.5 | 107.5 | +6.0 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Golden State | Under | Golden State |
| +1.5 | 225.0 | 119-106 |
It’s the match-up we’ve been waiting for, and the winner of this Series will walk into the NBA Finals as firm favorites.
The Warriors enter the Conference Finals as -200 favorites against the Rockets, with experience in Playoffs certainly firming their favoritism.
Ranking 1st and 2nd in ppg and offensive efficiency has pushed the Total Points Line to 223.5, with the Unders 7-3 over the last 10 meetings, and 5-1 over the last 6 at Toyota Center. SO don’t expect this one to be a shootout, especially in the heat of a Game 1.
The Rockets are averaging 40 3-point attempts per game with the Warriors averaging 30, this likely to lift with the return of Curry, however this Series will not be won from beyond the arc and it’s Houston’s lack of ball movement that should be their concern, averaging only 20.6 assists compared to the Warriors 28.8 through the Playoffs.
The Curry vs Paul match-up will be where our eyes are drawn, with a bit of bad blood likely to result in a fair bit of jawing.
Golden State at -102 might be the best price we’ll see all Series for the Warriors, so take it with confidence.
Cool heads wins out tonight.
Best Bet = Golden State +1.5
