NBA TRENDS & FREE PICKS – 18/2/21

FREE NBA PREDICTIONS TONIGHT

*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


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2x PARLAYS

TONIGHT'S PARLAY
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PARLAY

  • TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE – OVER 231.5 TOTAL PTS
  • BROOKLYN @ LA LAKERS – UNDER 237.5 TOTAL PTS

ODDS – 3.66

I recommend to buy some points (take alternate lines) on these markets if you’d like some extra security.


PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO – JIMMY BUTLER 8+ ASTS
  • BROOKLYN @ LA LAKERS – JAMES HARDEN 25+ PTS

ODDS – 3.10

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE DURING COVID-TIMES)

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

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TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Bryn Forbes has 14+ points in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games as favorites. (13.5)
  • Bobby Portis has 16+ points in the Bucks’ last 4 home games. (12.5)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 8+ assists in his last 4 games against the Raptors. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TREND BET
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MILWAUKEE

  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 overall.

TORONTO

  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 road games.
  • Over is 9-1 in last 10 overall.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 13 15 6-6 7-9
MIL 16 12 9-3 7-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 114.3 112.1 +2.2 226.4
MIL 120.5 113.0 +7.5 233.5

SEASON SERIES

17.02.21 MIL TOR 113 : 124
28.01.21 TOR MIL 108 : 115

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER TOR
+6.5 231.5 110-96

The Raptors have won 6 of their last 9 games after outscoring Milwaukee by 11 points during the 2nd half of a 124-113 road win on Tuesday.

The Raptors and Bucks have split the two previous meetings this season.

MATCH FACTS –

  • Toronto have 8 won 8 of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Bucks.
  • The Bucks have won the 1st half in 31 of their last 36 games at Fiserv Forum.

PICK – OVER 231.5 TOTAL PTS


BROOKLYN @ LA LAKERS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Kyrie Irving has 30+ points in his last 3 games against the Lakers at STAPLES. (27.5)
  • Dennis Schroder has 19+ points in 5 of the Lakers’ last 6 home games. (16.5)
  • Kyle Kuzma has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Lakers’ last 5 games. (7.5)
  • James Harden has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 games against West teams. (7.5)
  • LeBron James has 11+ rebounds in the Lakers’ last 3 games as favorites against the Nets. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 18 12 11-5 7-7
LAL 22 7 9-4 13-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BKN 121.7 117.9 +3.8 239.6
LAL 112.9 105.8 +7.1 218.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
+1.5 237.5 109-98

Brooklyn are on a 4-game win streak and rank 1st in the NBA in scoring at a lofty 121.7 ppg. On Tuesday, the Nets pulled back a 24-point deficit (without Durant and Irving) to score a 128-124 road win over the favorite Phoenix.

The Lakers have won 8 of their last 10 games, and will be without Davis (achilles/calf) for a decent stretch. On Tuesday, Los Angeles scored a 112-104 road win over Minnesota.

Signs point to Overs outside of these main trends

  • Lakers – Under is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Brooklyn – Under is 7-1-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.

Perhaps expect the Nets and Lakers to take a little extra off the clock to size each other up on each set.

MATCH FACT – 21 of the Nets’ last 24 games have gone Over the total points line.

PICK – UNDER 237.5 TOTAL PTS


MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Buddy Hield has 21+ points in the Kings’ last 3 home games against the Heat. (17.5)
  • Jimmy Butler has 22+ points in his last 3 games against the Kings. (20.5)
  • De’Aaron Fox has 8+ assists in his last 3 games. (7.5)
  • Bam Adebayo has a double-double in 8 of the Heat’s last 9 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 11 17 7-7 4-10
SAC 12 15 7-10 5-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 106.6 110.1 -3.5 216.7
SAC 113.9 119.3 -5.4 233.2

SEASON SERIES

31.01.21 MIA SAC 105 : 104
 Spread Points   Result
SAC UNDER MIA
+2.0 223.5 118-110

Sacramento are 5-5 over their last 10, but have lost 4-straight coming into tonight. Their last outing was a 136-125 loss at home again Brooklyn.

The Heat gave one away last night against the Warriors. Leading by as much as 10 points in the last quarter, Miami coughed up that lead and went into OT, where they eventually lost 120-112. This takes their road record to 4-10, and we just can’t back them tonight coming off a back-to-back.

Miami are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs teams above .500.

Just 8 of the Heats 28 games have gone above the 223.5 total points line, while 20 of the Kings 27 games have gone Overs.

MATCHUP FACT – Sacramento have won the 1st half in their last 3 games against Miami.

PICK – SACRAMENTO +2.0