NBA Playoffs Picks – Night 3

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*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Tonight’s NBA Playoff Picks

Miami @ Philadelphia

Eastern Conference – Game 2

H2H Trends – 

Miami are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

Season Series

GAME 1 Philadelphia Miami 130 : 103
09.03.18 Miami Philadelphia 108 : 99
28.02.18 Miami Philadelphia 102 : 101
15.02.18 Philadelphia Miami 104 : 102
03.02.18 Philadelphia Miami 103 : 97

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Philadelphia 52 30 30-11 22-19
Miami 44 38 26-15 18-23

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Philadelphia 109.8 105.3 +4.5
Miami 103.4 102.9 +0.5

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 Philadelphia  Over  Miami
 -6.5  216.0  113-103

The 76ers keep on impressing and are looking unbeatable on home court. They have only lost twice on home court since Christmas Day. Embiid has already been ruled out with Philly still yet to drop a game without their All-Star big man.

The Heat have their own issues with their big man in Whiteside. Only putting up 2 points in Game 1, he was basically non existent in 12 minutes which has been an ongoing trend all season. With Embiid missing, Whiteside becomes a liability against a small lineup.

Keep riding the Philly train.

Best Bet  = Philadelphia -6.5

San Antonio @ Golden State

Eastern Conference – Game 1 

H2H Trends – 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
San Antonio are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Season Series  –

GAME 1 Golden State San Antonio 113 : 92
20.03.18 San Antonio Golden State 89 : 75
09.03.18 Golden State San Antonio 110 : 107
11.02.18 Golden State San Antonio 122 : 105
03.11.17 San Antonio Golden State 92 : 112

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Golden State 58 24 29-12 29-12
San Antonio 47 35 33-8 14-27

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Golden State 113.5 107.5 +6.0
San Antonio 102.7 99.8 +2.9

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 Golden State  Over  Golden State
 -9.5  205.5  116-101

With Kawahi still MIA, the Spurs have no real chance of causing an upset at Oracle. Their road record has been non-Spurs like dropping the last 9.

The Warriors have only lost one of their last 9 against the Spurs where the lineup boasted all bench players aside from Draymond. It’s safe to say the trend will continue with the Over also looking convincing.

Best Bet  =  Golden State -9.5

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