NBA Playoff Picks – Night 6

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*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.


Tonight’s NBA Parlay

  • Philadelphia @ Miami – Philadelphia -2.0WIN
  • Golden State @ San Antonio – Golden State -3.0WIN

Tonight’s NBA Playoff Picks

Philadelphia @ Miami

  • Eastern Conference – Game 3
  • Series Tied 1-1

H2H Trends – 

Philadelphia are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
Philadelphia are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Season Series

GAME 2 Philadelphia Miami 103 : 113
GAME 1 Philadelphia Miami 130 : 103
09.03.18 Miami Philadelphia 108 : 99
28.02.18 Miami Philadelphia 102 : 101
15.02.18 Philadelphia Miami 104 : 102
03.02.18 Philadelphia Miami 103 : 97

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Philadelphia 52 30 30-11 22-19
Miami 44 38 26-15 18-23

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Philadelphia 109.8 105.3 +4.5
Miami 103.4 102.9 +0.5

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 Philadelphia  Under  Philadelphia
 -2.0  217.5  128-108

After their first loss in over a month, the 76ers, still without All-Star center Embiid (orbital fracture), will try to take back home court advantage when they visit the Heat for Game 3.

D-Wade showed glimpses of his old self last out with 28 points on 11-of-16 shooting,  “It’s just in my DNA,” Wade told the media. “I love the stage.”

After making 18-of-28 3-pointers in Game 1, Philadelphia was 7-of-36 in Game 2, and if they are hoping to win this one with lights out shooting, they’ll be in trouble.

Will take another vintage Wade performance to get over the line tonight, and we’re not sure how many he has left. Can’t look past the 76ers at the moneyline.

Best Bet  = Philadelphia WIN


Portland @ New Orleans

  • Western Conference – Game 3 
  • New Orleans Lead 2-0

H2H Trends

Portland are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Season Series

GAME 2 Portland New Orleans 102 : 111
GAME 1 Portland New Orleans 95 : 97
28.03.18 New Orleans Portland 103 : 107
13.01.18 New Orleans Portland 119 : 113
03.12.17 Portland New Orleans 116 : 123
25.10.17 Portland New Orleans 103 : 93

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Portland 49 33 28-13 21-20
New Orleans 48 34 24-17 24-17

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Portland 105.6 103.0 +2.6
New Orleans 111.7 110.4 +1.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 New Orleans  Under  New Orleans
 -3.5  216.0  119-102

The Pelicans look for a 3-0 lead tonight after taking Game 2 as heavy underdogs in Portland on the back of Jrue Holiday with 33 points. Now back at home, you’d have to suggest that the swagger will be turned up to 11.

Portland Coach Stotts stated “It’s easy math – we’ve got to go and win two in New Orleans, and I feel we’re very capable of winning both games.”

The worry for the Blazers is the Nurkic leg injury, listed day to day. We’ll take the Pelicans tonight at the moneyline, should be close though.

Also like the unders.

Best Bet  = New Orleans WIN


Golden State @ San Antonio

  • Western Conference – Game 3
  • Golden State Lead 2-0 

H2H Trends – 

Golden State are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
Golden State are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Antonio.

Season Series  –

GAME 2 Golden State San Antonio 116 : 101
GAME 1 Golden State San Antonio 113 : 92
20.03.18 San Antonio Golden State 89 : 75
09.03.18 Golden State San Antonio 110 : 107
11.02.18 Golden State San Antonio 122 : 105
03.11.17 San Antonio Golden State 92 : 112

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Golden State 58 24 29-12 29-12
San Antonio 47 35 33-8 14-27

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Golden State 113.5 107.5 +6.0
San Antonio 102.7 99.8 +2.9

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 Golden State  Over  Golden State
 -3.0  206.0  110-97

The Spurs dropped the first two by an average of 18 points and will find it hard going to pull their way back into this series, even being back on home turf at AT&T.

Without Kawhi (what’s the deal here anyway?) not much of a chance was given to the Spurs, and that’s basically how it’s playing out.

Durant has shifted to 5th gear with Steph on the sidelines, and the Warriors are basically just too good at the high and middle level to be worried in this series.

Sweep.

Best Bet  =  Golden State -3.0 and Over 206.0

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