FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 65-41
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
TORONTO @ BOSTON
Marc Gasol isn’t getting the minutes he once was in this series because Nick Nurse is finding crafty ways to fill the 5.
Whilst Ibaka hasn’t necessarily been the benefactor of this, more so OG, Ibaka enters Game 7 will the freshest of legs to stretch the Boston Celtics and drag out Theis from his rim-protecting best.
In this series, Ibaka has toppled 12+ in 4 of 6 games on 22 minutes per game and with the Raptors starters logging significant minutes this series they are going to need Ibaka’s finesse to help advance.
Ibaka is a lethal threat from deep, connecting on 49.4% of all attempts which includes a bagel in game 3. I think the 7-footer is going to play an enormous role off the bench cruise his way past 12 points.
DP’S PICK – SERGE IBAKA OVER 11.5 POINTS – WIN
LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER
LA CLIPPERS LEAD 3-1
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 26+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games. (24.5)
- Kawhi Leonard has 6+ assists in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 games. (5.5)
- Jamal Murray has made 3+ three-pointers in the Nuggets’ last 3 games. (2.5)
- Kawhi Leonard has 10+ rebounds in the Clippers’ last 3 games. (8.5)
- Montrezl Harrell has scored 14+ points in 9 of his last 13 games against the Nuggets. (11.5)
- Paul George has made 4+ three-pointers in 4 of the Clippers’ last 6 games as favorites against the Nuggets. (3.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
TREND BET
LA CLIPPERS
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 overall.
DENVER
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 overall.
MATCHUP
- Under is 40-18-1 in the last 59 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 40-18-1 in the last 59 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
GAME 4 | DEN | LAC | 85 : 96 |
GAME 3 | DEN | LAC | 107 : 113 |
GAME 2 | LAC | DEN | 101 : 110 |
GAME 1 | LAC | DEN | 120 : 97 |
13.08.20 | DEN | LAC | 111 : 124 |
29.02.20 | LAC | DEN | 132 : 103 |
13.01.20 | DEN | LAC | 114 : 104 |
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
LAC | 49 | 23 | 27-9 | 22-14 |
DEN | 46 | 27 | 26-11 | 20-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
LAC | 116.3 | 109.9 | +6.4 | 226.2 |
DEN | 111.3 | 109.2 | +2.1 | 220.5 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
LAC | UNDER | DEN |
-7.5 | 216.5 | 111-105 |
The Clips took a 3-1 lead against the Nuggets in a 96-85 Game 4 victory. Kawhi had 30 points, 11 rebounds, 9 assists and 4 steals. Leonard has at 30+ points in 6 straight playoff games, averaging 29.2 ppg in the postseason.
LA’s defense played a key role, limiting the Nuggets to 39.7% shooting.
Montrezl Harrell added 15 points and Lou Williams chimed in with 12. Ivica Zubac had 11 points and 9 rebounds. Marcus Morris Sr. also scored 11, while Paul George contributed 10 points but was limited by foul trouble. A solid overall contribution.
Jokic had 26 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jamal Murray finished with 18 points and 7 assists.
The Nuggets won’t rally from 1-3 down this time around like they did against the Jazz.
PICK – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
TORONTO @ BOSTON
SERIES TIED 3-3
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Jaylen Brown has made 3+ three-pointers in his four previous games. (2.5)
- Kyle Lowry has scored 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Raptors as underdogs. (20.5)
- Norman Powell has scored 15+ points in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 games as underdogs. (13.5)
- OG Anunoby has scored 11+ points in 5 of the Raptors’ last 6 games. (10.5)
- Marcus Smart has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Celtics’ last 5 games as favorites. (5.5)
- OG Anunoby has 7+ rebounds in 6 of the Raptors’ last 7 games. (6.5)
- Kemba Walker has 7+ assists in each of the Celtics’ last 3 games. (5.5)
- Jayson Tatum has 26+ points in 16 of his last 23 games with the Celtics as favorites. (25.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
TREND BET
BOSTON
- Under is 6-1-1 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
TORONTO
- Under is 10-2 in last 12 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
MATCHUP
-
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
GAME 6 | BOS | TOR | 122 : 125 (98 : 98) |
GAME 5 | TOR | BOS | 89 : 111 |
GAME 4 | BOS | TOR | 93 : 100 |
GAME 3 | BOS | TOR | 103 : 104 |
GAME 2 | TOR | BOS | 99 : 102 |
GAME 1 | TOR | BOS | 94 : 112 |
08.08.20 | TOR | BOS | 100 : 122 |
29.12.19 | BOS | TOR | 97 : 113 |
26.12.19 | TOR | BOS | 102 : 118 |
26.10.19 | BOS | TOR | 112 : 106 |
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
TOR | 53 | 19 | 26-10 | 27-9 |
BOS | 48 | 24 | 26-10 | 22-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
TOR | 112.8 | 106.5 | +6.3 | 219.3 |
BOS | 113.7 | 107.3 | +6.4 | 221.0 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
BOS | OVER | BOS |
-2.5 | 203.5 | 92-87 |
The Raptors and Celtics will meet off in a winner-take-all showdown after a Raptors 125-124 Double OT win.
The winner faces Miami in the Conference Finals.
The Raptors were given a Game 7 thanks to Norman Powell’s heroics in double overtime. Powell scored 15 of his 23 points, including 10 in the 2nd OT. His three-point play with 38.8 seconds left gave the Raptors a 4-point lead, and his free throws with 5.0 ticks remaining helped Toronto hold on.
Despite the setback, the Celtics should still be confident heading into Game 7.
Walker could be the ‘X’ factor Friday night, having been held to 5 points on 2-of-11 shooting in 52 minutes in the Game 6 loss.
While Walker struggled, Jaylen Brown scored 31 points with 16 rebounds; Marcus Smart enjoyed his second career triple-double (23 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists); and Jayson Tatum fell an assist shy of his first (29, 14, 9). Still, Boston had its chances to put the game away, leading early in both overtimes.
That total points line has dipped even further to 203.5, time for us to pounce.
PICK – OVER 203.5 TOTAL POINTS