NBA PICKS & PREDICTIONS – 24/2/21

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*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


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BOSTON @ ATLANTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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TREND BET

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings.
  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 15 16 8-5 7-11
ATL 13 18 7-9 6-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 110.7 109.8 +0.9 220.5
ATL 113.2 113.2 +0.0 226.4

SEASON SERIES

20.02.21 BOS ATL 121 : 109
18.02.21 BOS ATL 114 : 122

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS OVER ATL
-2.0 223.5 127-112

This is the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road for the Celtics, who felt heartbreak last night thanks to a Luka Doncic 3-pointer with 0.1 seconds left in a 110-107 loss against Dallas.

Atlanta have lost 6 of their last 8 and are giving up 113.2 ppg. Last night, the Hawks went down as -6.5 favorites in a close fought 112-111 road loss against Cleveland.

MATCH FACT – Atlanta have won the 1st half in 4 of their last 5 against the Celtics.

PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL PTS


HOUSTON @ CLEVELAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 17-8-1 in Rockets last 26 overall.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 games vs teams below .400.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 11 18 5-7 6-11
CLE 11 21 8-9 3-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
HOU 109.0 111.6 -2.6 220.6
CLE 104.0 113.3 -9.3 217.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER CLE
-3.5 220.5 112-96

Houston are in the midst of an 8-game losing streak and reports suggest they are planning to waive DeMarcus Cousins. On Monday, the Rockets were outscored by 20 points in the 3rd quarter of a 120-100 home loss against the Bulls.

Last night, Cleveland put an end to their 10-game losing streak with a 112-111 home win over Atlanta.

Houston are 26th in the NBA in offensive efficiency and the Cavs rank last.

Unders probably best, but staying away.

MATCH FACT – The Cavaliers have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games.

PICK – NO BET

PROP BET – HOUSTON 1ST HALF HEAD TO HEAD(RESULT: HOUSTON LEAD 50 : 48 AT 1/2 TIME)


GOLDEN STATE @ INDIANA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Warriors are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 17 15 11-6 6-9
IND 15 14 7-9 8-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GSW 114.3 112.6 +1.7 226.9
IND 113.4 111.9 +1.5 225.3

SEASON SERIES

13.01.21 GSW IND 95 : 104

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND UNDER GSW
-1.5 231.5 111-107

This will be the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road for Golden State, who held on for a 114-106 win behind 37 points from Curry.

The Pacers have lost 9 of their 16 home games and needed overtime to earn a 134-128 road win against Minnesota on Wednesday.

MATCH FACTS – Golden State have lost 9 of their last 11 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

PICK – INDIANA -1.5


MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 7 25 4-11 3-14
CHI 14 16 6-9 8-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 107.7 115.6 -7.9 223.3
CHI 114.7 114.8 -0.1 229.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHI UNDER CHI
-4.0 228.5 133-126 -1OT

Chicago lifted to 14-16 after a 120-100 win on Monday over Houston.

Last night the T-Wolves lost to the Bucks in a high scoring 139-112 outing away in Milwaukee.

Chicago are rested while the T-Wolves play their 2nd game with their new head-coach.

PICK – CHICAGO -2.0


TORONTO @ MIAMI

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Raptors are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 16 16 7-7 9-9
MIA 14 17 7-7 7-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 112.7 110.3 +2.4 223.0
MIA 106.9 109.4 -2.5 216.3

SEASON SERIES

23.01.21 TOR MIA 101 : 81
21.01.21 TOR MIA 102 : 111

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR UNDER MIA
+2.5 216.5 116-108

Toronto are on a back-to-back after a poor start last night,  outscored by 19 points during the 1st quarter of last night’s 109-102 home loss against the 76ers.

Miami have won 3-straight and finished their 7-game road trip in well with a 108-94 win against OKC on Monday.

MATCHUP FACT –

  • Toronto have won 5 of their last 6 road games.
  • Miami have won the 1st half in their last four games at AmericanAirlines Arena.

PICK – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL PTS


DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 9 22 6-8 3-14
NOR 13 17 8-7 5-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DET 107.7 111.7 -4.0 219.4
NOR 114.8 115.1 -0.3 229.9

SEASON SERIES

15.02.21 DET NOR 123 : 112

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR OVER NOR
-9.5 222.5 128-118

The Pistons are on a back-to-back after an impressive 105-93 win over the Magic last night as -2.5 underdogs.

The Pelicans improved to 13-17 after an equally impressive 120-115 OT win against Boston on Sunday.

The rested Pelicans shouldn’t have too much trouble, but -9.5 seems a point or 2 too high.

MATCH FACT –

  • Detroit have lost their last 7 road games against West teams.
  • Detroit have covered the line in their last 5 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

PICK – OVER 222.5 TOTAL PTS


SAN ANTONIO @ OKLAHOMA CITY

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Spurs are 7-17 ATS in the last 24 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Spurs are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 16 11 7-8 9-3
OKL 12 19 4-10 8-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 111.1 111.5 -0.4 222.6
OKC 106.8 112.5 -5.7 219.3

SEASON SERIES

13.01.21 OKC SAS 102 : 112

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER OKC
-1.0 217.5 102-99

OKC looks to bounce back from a loss when hosting the short-handed San Antonio Spurs  after a 108-94 loss on Monday night to the Heat.

The Spurs have not played since the 15th due to COVID, but had won their last 2 and 5 of the last 6 before their stoppage.

Spurs are hammered with injury.

PICK – NO BET


CHARLOTTE @ PHOENIX

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 14 16 9-8 5-8
PHX 20 10 11-5 9-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHA 110.9 112.0 -1.1 222.9
PHX 113.2 107.5 +5.7 220.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER CHA
+9.5 225.5 124-121

Charlotte fell to 14-16 after a 132-110 loss on Monday to the Utah Jazz. Charlotte were behind by just by 1 point to start the 4th quarter but was outscored 41-20 in the final 12 minutes.

The Suns continued their impressive form with a 132-100 win on Monday over the Portland Trail Blazers behind 34 points from Devin Booker. They are now 12-2 over their last 14 games.

Overs is the trend.

PICK – OVER 225.5 TOTAL PTS


LA LAKERS @ UTAH

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
  • Lakers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 22 10 9-7 13-3
UTA 25 6 14-2 11-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 112.2 106.2 +6.0 218.4
UTA 116.0 106.4 +9.6 222.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
-8.0 218.5 114-89

Utah couldn’t have more swagger at the moment, after winning 9 of their last 10 and are coming off a 132-110 win over Charlotte to be to 25-6 on the season and #1 in the West.

The Lakers have lost 3-straight home games losing to the Nets, Heat, and capped off with a 127-124 loss to the Wizards.

Just gotta go Jazz. They’ve lined out pockets all season, but -8.0 is steep from the bookies.

With Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder out, and Lebron listed as questionable we just can’t put too much stock into the Lakers.

MATCH FACT – Utah have won their last 14 home games.

PICK – UTAH -8.0

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