NBA FINALS PICKS – MIAMI @ DENVER – GAME 5

NBA FINALS PICKS & PROPS

*NBA Finals picks and props are done the previous day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.


MIAMI @ DENVER – GAME 5

DENVER WIN NBA FINALS 4-1

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
  • Heat are 10-28 ATS in the last 38 meetings.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 44 38 27-14 17-24
DEN 53 29 34-7 19-22

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 109.5 109.8 -0.3 219.3
DEN 115.8 112.5 +3.3 228.3

SEASON SERIES

GAME 4 MIA DEN 95:108
GAME 3 MIA DEN 94:109
GAME 2 DEN MIA 108:111
GAME 1 DEN MIA 104:93
14.02.23 MIA DEN 108:112
31.12.22 DEN MIA 124:119

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER DEN
-9.5 208.5 94-89

BETTING TRENDS – 

  • The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 12 home games.
  • 7 of the Heat’s last 8 games have gone Unders.
  • The Nuggets have won the 1st half in their last 13 games against the Heat.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has 14+ points in four of the Nuggets’ last five home games.
  • Kevin Love has made 2+ three-pointers in his last 6 NBA Finals games.
  • Max Strus has 3+ rebounds in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games against the Nuggets.
  • Kevin Love has 5+ rebounds in his last 8 playoff road games.
  • Jimmy Butler has 7+ rebounds in the Heat’s last 6 playoff games when facing elimination.
  • Jimmy Butler has 7+ assists in 8 of his last 9 games against the Nuggets.
  • Aaron Gordon has 7+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 3 games.
  • Jamal Murray has 10+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 4 games.
  • Gabe Vincent has 3+ assists in 11 of his last 13 road games.
  • Kyle Lowry has 5+ assists in 7 of his last 8 NBA Finals games.
  • Nikola Jokic has 12+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 3 series closeout games.
  • Aaron Gordon has at least 1 block in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 home games.
  • Bam Adebayo has at least 1 block in 6 of the Heat’s last 7 games.

PICK – UNDER 208.5