NBA FINALS PICKS & PROPS
*NBA Finals picks and props are done the previous day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
DENVER @ MIAMI – GAME 3
SERIES TIED 1-1
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
- Nuggets are 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 44 | 38 | 27-14 | 17-24 |
| DEN | 53 | 29 | 34-7 | 19-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| MIA | 109.5 | 109.8 | -0.3 | 219.3 |
| DEN | 115.8 | 112.5 | +3.3 | 228.3 |
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 2 | DEN | MIA | 108:111 |
| GAME 1 | DEN | MIA | 104:93 |
| 14.02.23 | MIA | DEN | 108:112 |
| 31.12.22 | DEN | MIA | 124:119 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| DEN | OVER | DEN |
| -2.5 | 213.5 | 109-94 |
BETTING TRENDS –
- The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games as home underdogs.
- 6 of the last 7 games between the Nuggets and Heat have gone Overs.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover 8 of their last 10 playoff games following a loss.
- Nikola Jokic has 30+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 road games.
- Nikola Jokic has 11+ assists in 8 of the Nuggets’ last 10 games.
- Gabe Vincent has 15+ points in 5 of his last 6 games.
- Gabe Vincent has made 4+ three-pointers in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games against the Nuggets.
- Jimmy Butler has 27+ points in 8 of the Heat’s last 12 playoff home games.
- Jimmy Butler has 7+ assists in the Heat’s last 7 NBA Finals games.
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2+ three-pointers in 9 of his last 12 games against the Heat.
- Michael Porter Jr. has a double-double in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 road games.
- Aaron Gordon has at least 1 block in the Nuggets’ last 5 games.
PICK – OVER 213.5 TOTAL PTS
