NBA EXPERT PICKS FREE – 21/1/21

FREE NBA PICKS

FREE NBA TIPS TONIGHT

*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


FREE FINALS PASS

Access to all Parlays, Parisi’s Player Prop, Trend Bets & Player Trends!


PARLAYS

PARLAY 1

  • LA LAKERS @ MILWAUKEE – UNDER 230.5 TOTAL PTS
  • NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH – UTAH WIN

ODDS – 2.80


PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH  – ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 22.5 PTS
  • NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH  – MIKE CONLEY 6+ ASTS

ODDS – 3.65

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE AT THE MOMENT)

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.


TONIGHT’S BETONLINE PLAYER BET

  • BOJAN BOGDANOVIC – AT LEAST 12 PTS
  • ZION WILLIAMSON – AT LEAST 22 PTS
  • MIKE CONLEY – AT LEAST 6 ASTS
  • JULIUS RANDLE – AT LEAST 22 PTS

ODDS – +270


LA LAKERS @ MILWAUKEE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
[restrict subscription=1]
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 33+ points in his last 3 home games against the Lakers. (29.5
  • Anthony Davis has 25+ points in 8  of his last 9 games against the Bucks. (23.5)
  • Khris Middleton has 23+ points in the Bucks’ last 4 home games. (21.5)
  • LeBron James has 30+ points in five of his last six games against the Bucks. (25.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has six or more assists in each of his last 12 appearances against the Lakers. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

[/restrict]

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 11 4 4-4 7-0
MIL 9 5 6-1 3-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 115.3 105.1 +10.2 220.4
MIL 120.4 110.6 +9.8 231.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL UNDER LAL
-1.0 231.5 113-106

The 11-4 Lakers own the best record in the NBA and rank 3rd in the league in scoring defense, keeping opponents at a slim 105.1 ppg. On Monday, they threw away a 19-point lead during a 115-113 home loss to the Warriors.

Milwaukee have won six of their first seven games at home and are in a tie with Boston for the top spot in the Eastern. On Monday, the Bucks were unable to make the plays down the stretch of a 125-123 road loss against the Nets.

Both rank in the top five in offensively, so Overs is tempting.

The Lakers have reached the 230.0 total in just 2 of their 15 games (just 1 of their last 10), and the Bucks in 8 of their 14 games.

PICK – UNDER 231.5 TOTAL POINTS


NEW YORK @ GOLDEN STATE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • RJ Barrett has 19+ points in the Knicks’ last 4 games. (17.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 5+ assists in his last 7 games against the Warriors. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 7 8 3-4 4-4
GSW 8 6 5-3 3-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 100.6 102.7 -2.1 203.3
GSW 112.3 114.0 -1.7 226.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NY UNDER NY
+6.0 214.5 119-104

The Knicks have won two-straight and rank first in the NBA defensively, giving away just 102.7 ppg. On Monday, New York held the Magic to 34% from the field during a 91-84 home win.

This will be the second of a back-to-back for Golden State after an impressive 121-99 home win over San Antonio last night. The Warriors rank near the bottom of the league in scoring defense at 115.2 ppg and rebounding at 43.2 rpg.

The Knicks rank seventh in the league in defensive efficiency and play at one of the slowest tempos in the NBA.

New York will slow this one down and try to make it ugly.

PICK – UNDER 214.5 TOTAL POINTS


NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
[restrict subscription=1]
  • Zion Williamson has 24+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. (22.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 23+ points in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 games against the Jazz. (21.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in 5 of the Jazz’s last 6 games. (24.5)
  • Rudy Gobert has 14+ rebounds in his last 5 home games against the Pelicans. (12.5)
  • Steven Adams has 9+ rebounds in his last 4 games against the Jazz. (8.5)
  • Mike Conley has 8+ assists in the Jazz’s last 3 games. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

[/restrict]

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
[restrict subscription=1]

NEW ORLEANS

  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

UTAH

  • 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP

  • Pelicans are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Pelicans are 7-15-3 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Utah.

TREND BET – UTAH -6.5

[/restrict]

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pelicans are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Pelicans are 7-15-3 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Utah.
  • Over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NOR 5 8 2-3 3-5
UTA 10 4 3-2 7-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NOR 107.3 109.5 -2.2 216.8
UTA 111.1 105.1 +6.0 216.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-6.5 218.5 129-118

PLAYER PROP BET

PLAYER PROP BET
[restrict subscription=1]

Mike Conley hasn’t set a foot wrong for Utah this season, averaging 16.1 points and 6.3 assists.

Conley’s last 3 games have brought 8 assists against the Hawks, 8 against the Nuggets and an equal season-high of 10 against New Orleans. He meets the Pelicans again now two days later after his season high and there’s no reason why he cannot dish out anther 8+ dimes.

The Pelicans are the 2nd easiest team for PG’s to get assists against at 15% above league average.

PICK – MIKE CONLEY OVER 6.0 ASSISTS

[/restrict]

The Pelicans (5-8) have dropped six of their previous seven games and On Tuesday, New Orleans missed 20 of their 26 three-point attempts and shot 45 percent overall during a 118-102 road loss against Utah.

The Utah Jazz are riding a six-game winning steak and sit atop the Northwest Division standings. During Tuesday’s 16-point victory, Utah dominated New Orleans on the glass by a 60-45 margin.

Utah have reached the 218.5 points total in 6 of their 14 games, the Pelicans in 5 of their 13 games.

No reason to go against the Jazz.

PICK – UTAH -6.5