FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 53-31
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
MEMPHIS VS NEW ORLEANS
After watching a tough beat in JV being stranded on 13 points (whilst sitting out the final 8 minutes of game) we’re going back to a wire-to-wire scorer in Brandon Ingram who should give us plenty of reasons to be excited.
The Pels are stuck in the middle of a fast-finishing pack of teams to secure the 8 seed (however unfortunately; the Pels have started extremely slow) and were most recently bounced by the Clippers in a blowout.
The good news is that BI only suited up for 24 minutes whilst the Grizz are playing the second night of a back to back and 3 in 4 days. If the Pels are any chance to sniff out a post-season – they must win this game and BI must pour in the points.
NBA PARLAY
- MIAMI VS TORONTO – TORONTO WIN
- WASHINGTON VS INDIANA – INDIANA WIN
- PHILADELPHIA VS SAN ANTONIO – OVER 228.0 TOTAL POINTS
ODDS – $4.34 – WIN
PLAYER PROP PARLAY
- MIAMI VS TORONTO – BAM ADEBAYO OVER 15.5 POINTS
- OKC VS DENVER – STEVEN ADAMS OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS
- UTAH VS LA LAKERS – ANTHONY DAVIS OVER 24.5 POINTS
- MEMPHIS VS NEW ORLEANS – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 23.5 POINTS
ODDS – $13.65
TREND BET
MEMPHIS VS NEW ORLEANS
MEMPHIS
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 9-1 in last 10 vs teams with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
NEW ORLEANS
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games as favorite.
MATCHUP
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.
TREND BET – UNDER 238.5 TOTAL POINTS – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MIAMI VS TORONTO
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Raptors are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 03.01.20 | MIA | TOR | 84 : 76 |
| 04.12.19 | TOR | MIA | 110 : 121 (108 : 108) |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Norman Powell has 22+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 4 games as favorites. (13.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 8 or more assists in 6 of his last 7 games against the Heat. (6.5)
- Bam Adebayo has scored 21+ points in each of the Heat’s last 3 games. (15.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 42 | 24 | 27-5 | 14-19 |
| TOR | 46 | 18 | 23-9 | 23-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 112.3 | 108.9 | +3.4 | 221.2 |
| TOR | 113.0 | 106.5 | +6.5 | 219.5 |
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PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | UNDER | TOR |
| -2.5 | 221.5 | 107-103 |
Both pride themselves on stingy defensive and dialed-in offense.
Toronto entered the restart with a fully healthy rotation for the first time in a long time. The defending champs are among the favorites to reach the East Finals against the Bucks in what would be a rematch of 2019.
That Heat shut down the Nuggets 125-105 on Saturday in typical style, while the Raptors beat the Lakers 107-92 on the same night.
Toronto is 2nd in the NBA in steals and 2nd in fewest points allowed in the paint.
Miami is 2nd in the NBA in fewest points allowed on fast breaks and tied for 2nd in defensive rebound %.
Like the Raptors here and Unders.
PICK – TORONTO -2.5
OKLAHOMA CITY VS DENVER
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 22.02.20 | OKC | DEN | 113 : 101 |
| 15.12.19 | DEN | OKC | 110 : 102 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 23+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 8 games against the Thunder. (20.5)
- Danilo Gallinari has 19+ points in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 games as favorites. (17.5)
- Steven Adams has 14+ rebounds in each of the Thunder’s last 2 games against the Nuggets. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 41 | 24 | 20-13 | 20-11 |
| DEN | 43 | 23 | 25-8 | 18-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| OKC | 110.8 | 108.1 | +2.7 | 218.9 |
| DEN | 110.3 | 107.7 | +2.6 | 218.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | DEN | |
| -4.5 | TBC | 121-113 (1OT) |
The Nuggets and Thunder are a part of a 5-team group bunched from 3rd to 7th place in the West. With 7 games remaining in the regular season, games among the group take on more importance.
A few doubt with injuries and availability for the Nuggets with 2nd leading scorer Jamal Murray (hamstring) out. The Nuggets might also be without guards Gary Harris and Willie Barton.
Like OKC here.
PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY -4.5
WASHINGTON VS INDIANA
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.11.19 | IND | WAS | 121 : 106 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
-
Shabazz Napier has 5 or more assists in 15 of his last 20 games as a starter. (4.5)
-
Thomas Bryant has scored 20+ points in the Wizards’ last 2 games against the Pacers. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 24 | 41 | 16-16 | 8-24 |
| IND | 40 | 26 | 21-11 | 18-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| WAS | 115.6 | 119.7 | -4.1 | 235.3 |
| IND | 109.6 | 107.6 | +2.0 | 217.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | UNDER | IND |
| -6.5 | 227.5 | 111-100 |
Indiana restarted its season with a 127-121 win on over the 76ers. TJ Warren scored 53 points to set a new career-high.
Washington opened its restart with a 125-112 loss to Phoenix on Saturday night.
Without Bradley Beal and David Bertans, the Wizard’s leading scorer is Rui Hachimura with 13.5 ppg, and that doesn’t bode well for them for the remainder of their campaign.
Pacers in a canter.
PICK – INDIANA -6.5
NEW ORLEANS VS MEMPHIS
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.02.20 | NOR | MEM | 139 : 111 |
| 21.01.20 | MEM | NOR | 116 : 126 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Ja Morant has 21+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 4 games. (20.5)
- Brandon Ingram has 23 points or less in the Pelicans’ last 4 games. (24.5)
- Jonas Valanciunas has 15+ rebounds in 6 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 night games. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 28 | 38 | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| MEM | 32 | 35 | 18-15 | 14-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 115.8 | 117.0 | -1.2 | 232.8 |
| MEM | 113.0 | 114.1 | -1.1 | 227.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | UNDER | NOR |
| +4.5 | 238.5 | 109-99 |
The Grizzlies will play their first back-to-back of the restart after a 108-106 loss to the Spurs last night.
The Pelicans lost their 2nd straight seeding game after a 126-103 loss to the Clippers on Saturday.
Brandon Ingram is leading the Pels in scoring with 24.1 ppg, while Zion is second with an average of 22.3 ppg.
Ingram to bring the points tonight, but the Grizzlies should keep it close.
PICK – MEMPHIS +4.5
PHILADELPHIA VS SAN ANTONIO
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Spurs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 23.11.19 | PHI | SAS | 115 : 104 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Ben Simmons has 19+ points in each of his last 6 games with the 76ers as favorites. (17.5)
- DeMar DeRozan has 24+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the 76ers. (21.5)
- Joel Embiid has 30+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the 76ers as favorites. (25.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 39 | 27 | 29-2 | 10-24 |
| SAS | 29 | 36 | 17-14 | 11-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 109.8 | 107.7 | +2.1 | 217.5 |
| SAS | 113.4 | 115.0 | -1.6 | 228.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAS | OVER | PHI |
| +6.5 | 228.0 | 132-130 |
The Spurs will play their first back-to-back of the restart after a 108-106 win over the Grizzlies last night, and will again be with their leading scorer and rebounder, LaMarcus Aldridge.
The 76ers opened their bubble restart with a 127-121 loss to the Pacers despite a 41 point and 21 rebound effort from Embiid.
Overs has hit has in the 76ers last 7 games and in 10 of the Spurs last 15, and they both poured in the points with San Antonio scoring 129 points in its restart, while the 76ers scored 121.
Spurs to keep it close.
PICK – OVER 228.0 TOTAL POINTS
UTAH VS LA LAKERS
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 05.12.19 | UTA | LAL | 96 : 121 |
| 26.10.19 | LAL | UTA | 95 : 86 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Mike Conley has 17+ points in 12 of his last 15 games against the Lakers. (16.5)
- Anthony Davis has 26+ points in 5 of the Lakers’ last 6 games. (24.5)
- LeBron James has 10+ rebounds in the Lakers’ last 3 games. (8.5)
- Joe Ingles has 11+ points in 7 of the Jazz’s last 9 games against the Lakers. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 42 | 24 | 21-10 | 20-13 |
| LAL | 50 | 14 | 23-8 | 26-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 110.7 | 107.8 | +2.9 | 218.5 |
| LAL | 114.2 | 106.8 | +7.4 | 221.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | LAL |
| -6.0 | 218.5 | 116-108 |
The Lakers lost to the Raptors 107-92 on Saturday, outscored 66-48 in the 2nd half.
Anthony Davis is leading the Lakers in scoring and rebounding with 26.6 ppg and 9.3 rpg. LeBron is the 2nd-leading scorer and leader in assists with 25.5 ppg and 10.5 apg.
Utah is 1-1 to open the bubble seeding, following a 110-94 loss to OKC on Saturday.
The Lakers should switch up a gear or two tonight after a disappointing loss to the Raptors, in which AD could only must 14 points.
PICK – UNDER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS
