FREE NBA PICKS & PROPS – 5/1/21

nba picks and parlays

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*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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PARLAYS

TONIGHT'S PARLAY
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PARLAY

  • UTAH @ BROOKLYN – UTAH WIN
  • LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS – UNDER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS (ALTERNATE LINE)

@ 2.42

*Recommend to take as single bets.

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

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UTAH @  BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Rudy Gobert has 18+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games against the Nets. (14.5)
  • Mike Conley has 20+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the Nets. (17.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 5+ assists in 5 of the Jazz’s last 6 games. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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UTAH

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.

BROOKLYN

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

MATCHUP

  • Jazz are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.

TREND BET –  

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 4 2 1-2 3-0
BKN 3 4 2-3 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
UTA 112.0 106.7 +5.3 218.7
BKN 118.0 113.4 +4.6 231.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER BKN
-2.0 225.5 130-96

The Nets are among the highest-scoring teams in the league, but they’ll be missing Durant (covid-protocols), their leading scorer at 28.2 ppg, has been ruled out because of “health and safety protocols.” Several reports Monday said Durant would be quarantined for seven days.

The Nets are 1-4 over their past five and are struggling defensively, leaking through 120.0 ppg over their recent stretch. They’ll look to correct against the Jazz, who are coming off their highest-scoring game of the season.

Second-chance points were a big problem Sunday when the Nets took a 123-122 loss to the Wizards.

Utah are on a streak of the season after splitting its first four contests. The Jazz followed up Friday’s 106-100 win over the Clippers by opening a seven-game trip with a 130-109 win at San Antonio on Sunday.

PICK – UTAH -2.0 

PLAYER PROP – RUDY GOBERT OVER 14.5 PTS – With the recent beef with Shaq saying “I’m not gonna hate, but this should be an inspiration to all the little kids out there. You average 11 points in the NBA, you can get $200 million.” I like Rudy to come out and try to throw a few more down tonight.

Throw together with Parisi’s Player Prop for a nice little Player Prop Parlay.


LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Kyle Anderson has 18+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games. (13.5)
  • Jonas Valanciunas has 12+ rebounds in 9 of the Grizzlies’ last 10 games at FedExForum. (11.5)
  • Brandon Clarke has 7+ rebounds in his last 3 games against the Lakers. (6.5)
  • Tyus Jones has recoded 6+ assists in 9 of his last 12 games as a starter. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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LA LAKERS

  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MEMPHIS

  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 12-2 in last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 13-3 in last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 17-4 in last 21 home games.
  • Under is 20-7 in Grizzlies last 27 overall.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.

TREND BET –  

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 5 2 2-2 3-0
MEM 2 4 0-3 2-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
LAL 117.0 105.9 +11.1 222.9
MEM 109.3 115.2 -5.9 224.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL UNDER LAL
-9.0 219.5 94-92

LeBron took control in the fourth quarter of a 108-94 win in Memphis on Sunday, scoring 13 of his 22 points in that span to help turn a two-point lead into a 14-point win. The Lakers outscored Memphis by 12 points during the fourth quarter to pull away for a 108-94 road win.

Memphis just narrowly missed the playoffs last season and are heading into the next few weeks without injured Morant. During Sunday’s 14-point loss, Memphis ran out to an 11-point lead after one quarter. The Grizzlies missed 24 of their 33 three-point attempts and shot just 41% from the field.

PICK – UNDER 219.5 TOTAL POINTS


MINNESOTA @ DENVER

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Nikola Jokic has scored the first basket in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 8 games.
  • Gary Harris has 11+ points in his last 7 home games against the Timberwolves. (9.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 22+ points in 8 of his last 9 road games. (19.5)
  • Paul Millsap has 12+ points in the Nuggets’ last 4 games as favorites. (10.5)
  • Malik Beasley has 19+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 3 games. (17.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 31+ points in the Nuggets’ last 2  games. (23.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 5+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 3 home games against the Timberwolves. (4.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has a triple-double in 3 of the Nuggets’ last 4 games.

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Denver.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 2 4 1-2 1-2
DEN 2 4 1-3 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
MIN 106.2 119.5 -13.3 225.7
DEN 116.0 116.0 +0.0 232.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIN OVER DEN
+11.5 226.5 123-116

The T-Wolves are looking to snap a four-game losing streak and rank fourth worst in scoring defense (119.5 ppg). On Sunday, Minnesota assisted on 30 of their 44 made field goals and shot 52% from the field during a 124-109 home loss to Denver.

The Nuggets have been slow to start the season and their problems continue to hinge on the defensive end. During Sunday’s 15 point win, Denver outscored Minnesota 41-25 over the final 12 minutes. The Nuggets outrebounded the T-Wolves by a 57-42 margin and connected on 19-for-45 from long distance.

PICK – OVER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS


SAN ANTONIO @ LA CLIPPERS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • DeMar DeRozan has 25+ points in the Spurs’ last 7 games at STAPLES. (20.5)
  • Serge Ibaka has 15+ points in 7 of his last 9 games at STAPLES. (13.5)
  • Dejounte Murray has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games. (5.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 7+ assists in the Clippers’ last 3 games against the Spurs. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 2 4 1-3 1-1
LAC 5 2 2-1 3-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
SAS 110.7 115.2 -4.5 225.9
LAC 110.6 108.6 +2.0 219.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LA OVER SAS
-8.0 228.0 116-113

The Spurs are looking to snap a 4-game losing streak and are allowing opponents 115.2ppg. On Sunday, San Antonio allowed the Jazz to shoot 55% in a surprise 130-109 home defeat.

On Sunday, Los Angeles built a 20-point halftime lead and held on down the stretch for a 112-107 road win over Phoenix. The Clippers went 17-for-29 from the three-point line and shot 48% overall.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – OVER 228.0 TOTAL POINTS


CHICAGO @ PORTLAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Damian Lillard has 31+ points in the Blazers’ last 7 games as favorites. (27.5)
  • C.J. McCollum has 25+ points in the Blazers’ last 5 games as favorites. (22.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 33+ points in his last 3 games against Western teams. (26.5)
  • Wendell Carter Jr. has 12+ points in his 3 previous games against the Trail Blazers. (10.5)
  • Jusuf Nurkic has 15+ points in his last 7 games against Eastern teams. (12.5)
  • Otto Porter Jr. has 10 rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games against the Trail Blazers. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bulls are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 3 4 1-3 2-1
POR 3 3 1-1 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
CHI 114.3 121.3 -7.0 235.6
POR 115.5 119.3 -3.8 234.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR UNDER CHI
-9.5 233.5 111-108

The Bulls look for their second straight W after improving to 3-4 following a 118-108 underdog win on Sunday over the Mavericks.

Portland dropped to 3-3 following a 137-122 loss to the Warriors.  Lillard was the leading scorer for Portland with 32 points, but the story of the night was Stephen Curry’s 62-point career high night.

PICK – UNDER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS