FREE NBA PICKS – DENVER @ LA LAKERS – 26/9/20

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FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS

*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 72-47

Expert NBA Player Props analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.

DENVER @ LA LAKERS

The bookies have had no option but to wind Jokic’s total in 2 points on the back of his 16 point Game 4 performance but tomorrow’s outcome presents as the final call for the Denver Nuggets.

Foul trouble has been somewhat of the narrative for Jokic in this series which has been impacting his ability to stay on the court for extended periods.

I expect high volume production from the Joker tomorrow (regardless which LA big Vogel throws his way).

PICK –  NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 22.5 POINTS


LA LAKERS @ DENVER

LA LAKERS LEAD 3-1

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has 11+ points in the Lakers’ last 4 games. (9.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 14+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 4 playoff games when facing elimination. (9.5)
  • Jerami Grant has 17+ points in the Nuggets’ last 2 games. (11.5)
  • Michael Porter Jr. has 13+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games against the Lakers. (11.5)
  • LeBron James has 29+ points in 6 of his last 7 games in Game 5s of a playoff series. (26.5)
  • Anthony Davis has 31+ points in 7 of his last 9 games with his team as a favorite against the Nuggets. (28.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 7+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 4 Game 5s of a playoff series. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE


MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 23-8-2 in the last 33 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

GAME 4 DEN LAL 108 : 114
GAME 3 DEN LAL 114 : 106
GAME 2 LAL DEN 105 : 103
GAME 1 LAL DEN 126 : 114
11.08.20 LAL DEN 124 : 121
13.02.20 DEN LAL 116 : 120
(111 : 111)
23.12.19 LAL DEN 104 : 128
04.12.19 DEN LAL 96 : 105

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 52 19 25-10 27-9
DEN 46 27 26-11 20-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV. TOT
LAL 113.4 107.6 +5.8 221.0
DEN 111.3 109.2 +2.1 220.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER LAL
+4.5 213.5 117-107

The Lakers put the Nuggets on the brink of elimination in after a Game 4 114-108 win on Thursday. Anthony Davis scored 34 points, while LeBron had 26 points, 9 rebounds and 8 assists.

Jamal Murray had 32 points and 8 assists for the Nuggets, who have come back from 3-1 deficits in their last two series wins over the Clippers and Jazz. Murray made 12 of 20 shots from the floor and made his own highlight reel to keep the Nuggets close.

Jerami Grant added 17 points, Jokic, who was limited by foul trouble, tallied 16 points and 7 rebounds and Michael Porter Jr. had 13 points and eight boards.

The Nuggets rallied but failed to convert on the offensive end when it mattered most. Morris’ floater with 3:28 left cut the Lakers’ lead to 105-101 before Denver failed to make another field goal.

Second-chance points played a large role, with he Lakers bullying the category 25-6.

Ride the Overs train again. Choo-choo.

PICK  –  OVER 213.5 TOTAL POINTS