FREE NBA PICKS – 6/8/20

FREE NBA PICKS TONIGHT

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 55-32

PHOENIX VS INDIANA

TJ is hooping right now returning 54, 34 and 32. I’m going to keep this short and sweet – the Phoenix Suns traded TJ away for cash considerations. It’s a revenge game.

The Pacers are clearly giving TJ the green light to shoot it at volume (currently 24 shot attempts per bubble game) and I don’t expect anything to change here.

The Suns have been super competitive and will prove to be a tricky match up for the Pacers who continue to climb the Eastern Conf Standings – expect a locked in Indiana team wire-to-wire.

DP’S PICK – TJ WARREN OVER 24.5 POINTS

Gamble Responsibly.


NBA PARLAY

  • SACRAMENTO VS NEW ORLEANS – OVER 231.0 TOTAL POINTS
  • LA CLIPPERS VS PHOENIX – LA CLIPPERS WIN

ODDS – $3.82 – WIN


TREND BET

DENVER VS PORTLAND

DENVER

  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 13-6-1 in last 20 overall.

PORTLAND

  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 games following a win.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 19-8 in last 27 overall.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 229.0 TOTAL POINTS – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


SACRAMENTO VS NEW ORLEANS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.01.20 SAC NOR 115 : 117

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Jrue Holiday has 19+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Kings. (18.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 7 points or less in each of the Pelicans’ last 3 games. (12.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 7 or more rebounds in each of the Pelicans’ last 3 games as favourites. (5.5)
  • Harrison Barnes has 29+ points in each of the Kings’ last 2 games against the Pelicans. (12.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 28 39 14-17 14-19
NOR 29 38 13-19 15-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
SAC 109.3 111.5 -2.2 220.8
NOR 115.7 116.7 -1.0 232.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR OVER SAC
-4.5 231.0 140-125

The Pelicans have lost 6 six of their last 10 games and trail Memphis by 2.5 games for the final playoff spot in the West. New Orleans limited Memphis to 40% shooting during a 109-99 win on Monday.

The Kings are looking for a win a 4-game losing streak and playoff contention is moving further away. On Monday, Sac managed just 28 points over the final 17 minutes of a 114-110 OT loss to Dallas, out-rebounded by a 73-60 margin.

The Pelicans are 2nd in the league in pace and both rank in the bottom half of the NBA defensively, so the Overs are a good play, with the Pelicans for the W.

PICK  – NEW ORLEANS WIN & OVER 231.0 TOTAL POINTS


MILWAUKEE VS MIAMI

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 20-8-2 in the last 30 meetings.
  • Heat are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
03.03.20 MIA MIL 105 : 89

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 54 14 28-3 25-9
MIA 43 25 27-5 14-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
MIL 118.6 107.8 +10.8 226.4
MIA 112.2 108.8 +3.4 221.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA MIL
+8.5 TBC 130-116

The Heat look to back up their solid 112-106 win over the Celtics. Bam Adebayo led the win with 21 points and 12 rebounds as Miami led at every change.

The Bucks lost their 2nd straight after falling 119-116 to the Nets on Tuesday. Losing as -19.0 favorites made them the second most favored team to lose in the modern era. Commiserations to anybody who had them in the first leg of their parlay. With the loss, Milwaukee failed to clinch 1st place in the East.

Milwaukee has lost 2 of their 3 seeding games and have failed to cover the spread in 5 of its last 6. To add to that, the Bucks have lost 5 of their last 6 games dating back to before the regular season was halted.

Miami have covered the spread in 8 of their last 11 against the Bucks, and we’re predicting another cover here.

PICK  – MIAMI +8.5


PHOENIX VS INDIANA

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Pacers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
23.01.20 PHO IND 87 : 112

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Devin Booker has 20 points or less in  the Suns’ last 7 games against the Pacers. (27.5)
  • Ricky Rubio has 18+ points in the Suns’ last 4 games as underdogs. (14.5)
  • T.J. Warren has 32+ points in the Pacers’ last 3 games. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 29 39 13-22 13-17
IND 42 26 21-11 18-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
PHO 112.9 113.9 -1.0 226.8
IND 109.8 107.5 +2.3 217.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND UNDER PHO
-2.5 229.5 114-99

The Pacers go for their 4th-straight win tonight after knocking off Orlando 120-109 on Tuesday behind 32 points from TJ Warren. TJ Warren has been going off, having scored 119 points at an average of 39.7 ppg in the three games since the bubble restart.

The Suns have also won each of their three seeding games after a 117-115 win on Tuesday over the LA Clippers. Devin Booker hitting buzzer beater over Paul George to grab the victory, capping a 35-point night for Booker.

Like the Pacers here, and will steer away from the total points after a 112-87 Pacers win in this matchup back in January.

PICK  – INDIANA -2.5


DALLAS VS LA CLIPPERS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Clippers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
22.01.20 DAL LAC 107 : 110
27.11.19 DAL LAC 99 : 114

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Kristaps Porzingis has 24+ points in his last 4 games with the Mavericks as underdogs. (22.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 28+ points in his last 3 games against the Mavs. (26.5)
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in the Mavericks’ last 3 games. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 41 29 19-15 21-12
LAC 45 22 25-7 19-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
DAL 116.8 111.0 +5.8 227.8
LAC 116.1 109.6 +6.5 225.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC UNDER LAC
-4.5 231.5 126-111

The Clippers look to find some swagger after a 117-115 buzzer-beater loss to the Suns. The Clippers’ Patrick Beverley injured his calf and head coach Doc Rivers announced that the team is going to be cautious although the injury does not look to be serious.

Dallas ended their 2-game losing streak with a 114-110 win over the Kings on Tuesday. Doncic notched up another triple-double, with 34 points, 20 rebounds and 12 assists.

This is a tough one, however the Mavs haven’t impressed in the bubble and the Clippers would be looking to find their mojo after their shock loss to the Suns.

Also like the Unders here, however we’ve been burnt multiple times in the bubble tipping low scores, so we’ll sit back tonight and continue to see if the trend continues.

PICK  – LA CLIPPERS -4.5


DENVER VS PORTLAND

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Trail Blazers are 4-12-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
  • Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.02.20 DEN POR 127 : 99
13.12.19 DEN POR 114 : 99
24.10.19 POR DEN 100 : 108

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Damian Lillard has scored 28+ points in the Blazers’ last 4 games as favorites against the Nuggets. (26.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 45 23 25-8 18-14
POR 31 38 18-14 11-23

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
DEN 110.8 108.1 +2.7 218.9
POR 114.1 115.5 -1.4 229.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER POR
-4.0 228.5 125-115

The Blazers look for their 2nd-straight win after beating the Rockets 110-102 on Tuesday. Lillard led the Blazers with 21 points, while Carmelo sank a late three to seal the win.

The Nuggets are on a back-to-back after a high-scoring 132-126 win over the the Spurs last night.

Portland have started to gel with the return of Nurkic and have one of the best scoring backcourts in the league in Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum.

Like the Blazers to keep rolling. Ride the Melo confidence.

PICK  – PORTLAND -2.0


HOUSTON VS LA LAKERS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
07.02.20 LAL HOU 111 : 121
19.01.20 HOU LAL 115 : 124

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has 11+ points in the Lakers’ last 7 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (9.5)
  • LeBron James has 22 points or less in the Lakers’ last 4 games. (25.5)
  • Anthony Davis has 30+ points in 3 of the Lakers’ last 4 games against Western opponents. (27.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 42 25 22-10 18-14
LAL 51 16 23-8 26-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
HOU 118.4 114.9 +3.5 233.3
LAL 113.4 106.8 +6.6 220.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER HOU
+1.5 226.5 113-97

The Lakers are on a a back-to-back after a 105-86 loss to OKC last night. The Lakers just could not find the points and seemed to be out of sync offensively in what was a disappointing loss as -6.5 favorites.

The Rockets had their two game streak end after a 110-102 loss to Portland on Tuesday. Harden led Houston with a lowly 23 points.

The Unders has hit in 5 of Houston’s last 7 and 5 of the Lakers last 6.

Lakers may rest a few tonight.

PICK  – HOUSTON +1.5 & UNDER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS