FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 53-30
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
MEMPHIS VS SAN ANTONIO
NBA PARLAY
- BOSTON VS PORTLAND – BOSTON WIN
- ORLANDO VS SACRAMENTO – OVER 227.0
- PHOENIX VS DALLAS – DALLAS WIN
ODDS – $4.19
TREND BET
HOUSTON VS MILWAUKEE
HOUSTON
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 13-6 in last 19 games as an underdog.
- Under is 43-20-1 in last 64 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 19-7-2 in last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their last game.
- Under is 20-8 in last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their last game.
MILWAUKEE
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games following a straight up win.
MATCHUP
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 242.5 TOTAL POINTS
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
BROOKLYN VS WASHINGTON
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Wizards are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 27.02.20 | WAS | BKN | 110 : 106 |
| 02.02.20 | WAS | BKN | 113 : 107 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 30 | 35 | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| WAS | 24 | 41 | 16-16 | 8-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.9 | 111.7 | -0.8 | 222.6 |
| WAS | 115.6 | 119.7 | -4.1 | 235.3 |
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PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | OVER | BKN |
| -1.5 | 223.5 | 118-110 |
Washington had a 125-112 loss to the Suns on Friday afternoon, allowing 52.5% shooting.
With Beal out, the Wizards starting backcourt lineup was Troy Brown Jr. and Shabazz Napier, who combined for 27 points. Rookie Rui Hachimura led the Wizards with 21 points while Robinson added 20.
Playing shorthanded, Brooklyn’s starting lineup is different from the last meeting with Washington. In that game, LeVert scored 34 points while Dinwiddie added 18, but on Sunday, Brooklyn likely will use Lance Thomas and Chris Chiozza as starters alongside Joe Harris, Allen and LeVert.
Washington’s Davis Bertans (personal) has opted out of the restart and will be a free agent in the offseason. Both teams are missing key players, so it is difficult to find value in a side.
PICK – NO BET
IF YOU MUST – OVER 223.5
BOSTON VS PORTLAND
SEASON SERIES
| 26.02.20 | POR | BOS | 106 : 118 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 43 | 22 | 23-9 | 20-12 |
| POR | 30 | 37 | 18-14 | 11-23 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 113.0 | 107.0 | +6.0 | 220.0 |
| POR | 114.0 | 115.5 | -1.5 | 229.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | UNDER | BOS |
| -3.5 | 229.5 | 128-124 |
9th-place Portland (30-37) sit 2.5 games behind the Grizzlies (32-34) in the battle for the last available playoff spot in the West and will look to ride the momentum of Friday’s 140-135 OT win against Memphis into their matchup with Boston (43-22) tonight.
The Blazers would be happy with the return of Nurkic, who played his first official game since March 25, 2019, tallying 18 points, 9 rebounds, and a career-high-tying 6 blocks and 5 assists in 33 minutes as a starter.
Boston played well in its opener losing by just 7 points to the Bucks, despite a poor shooting performance Tatum.
Portland has failed to cover in four his last 6 meetings.
PICK – BOSTON -3.5
PLAYER PROP
Collins stretches the floor, plays hard and protects the rim, and Terry Stotts is giving him as much opportunity as possible in Portland’s restart lineup.
Collins will primarily play the 4-spot, and clocked just under 37 minutes in their OT win over Memphis. He finished this game with 9 rebounds. He faces the Celtics in this who are small in the power forward, switching between Hayward and Tatum – neither elite rebounders.
His line of 5.5 is far too.
PICK – ZACH COLLINS OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS
MEMPHIS V SAN ANTONIO
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 11.01.20 | MEM | SAS | 134 : 121 |
| 24.12.19 | MEM | SAS | 115 : 145 |
| 12.11.19 | SAS | MEM | 109 : 113 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 32 | 34 | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| SAS | 28 | 36 | 16-14 | 11-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.0 | 114.1 | -1.1 | 227.1 |
| SAS | 113.4 | 115.0 | -1.6 | 228.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAS | OVER | SAS |
| +3.5 | 235.0 | 108-106 |
The Spurs opened their restart with a 129-120 win over the Kings on Friday. DeRozan dropped 27 points including 17 in the final quarter, as the Spurs attempt to qualify for the final spot in the West.
Memphis lost its opener to the Trailblazers in OT 140-135. Jaren Jackson Jr top scoring with 33 points while Ja Morant chimed in with 22 points and a team-high 11 assists.
PICK – SAN ANTONIO +3.5
ORLANDO VS SACRAMENTO
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Kings are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 14.01.20 | SAC | ORL | 112 : 114 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 31 | 35 | 16-15 | 14-20 |
| SAC | 28 | 37 | 14-17 | 14-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ORL | 106.7 | 107.5 | -0.8 | 214.2 |
| SAC | 109.2 | 111.2 | -2.0 | 220.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | OVER | ORL |
| +2.5 | 227.0 | 132-116 |
The Kings lost to the Spurs 129-120 on Friday and fell 3.5 games behind 8th place Memphis in the West standings. De’Aaron Fox scored 39 points and Bogdan Bogdanovic chipped in with 24.
Orlando beat the Nets in their return 128-118 and are in 7th spot in the Eastern standings. Evan Fournier led the Magic with 24 points while Vucevic scored 22.
The Over has been the trend in each of Sacramento’s last 5 and Orlando’s last 10.
PICK – OVER 227.0
PLAYER PROP
Was huge in Sacs opener with in 39 points in the loss against San Antonio. The key stat from this game was his 33 field goal attempts, the most of any player so far in the NBA restart. There’s a clear intention by Fox to take the lead at the Kings.
Last time against Orlando he scored 31 points, with Orlando conceding points to point guards 5% above the NBA average. It’s hard to see Fox going from 33 field goal attempts down to anything below 20 tonight.
PICK – DE’AARON FOX OVER 21.5 POINTS
HOUSTON VS MILWAUKEE
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Bucks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.10.19 | HOU | MIL | 111 : 117 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 41 | 24 | 22-10 | 18-14 |
| MIL | 54 | 12 | 28-3 | 25-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.7 | 114.9 | +3.8 | 233.6 |
| MIL | 118.7 | 107.4 | +11.3 | 226.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | UNDER | HOU |
| +4.5 | 242.5 | 120-116 |
Milwaukee beat Boston 119-112 on Friday night thanks to a Giannis Antetokounmpo three-pointer broke a tie with just over one minute remaining.
The Rockets knocked off Magic 153-149 in OT in their return, rallying from a double-digit 4th quarter deficit to send the game to OT and pull out the win.
Unders is best here, that 242.5 is just too high for us, with a Houston upset.
PICK – HOUSTON +4.5 & UNDER 242.5
PHOENIX VS DALLAS
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Mavericks are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 29.01.20 | DAL | PHO | 104 : 133 |
| 30.11.19 | PHO | DAL | 113 : 120 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 27 | 39 | 13-22 | 13-17 |
| DAL | 40 | 28 | 19-15 | 21-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 112.7 | 113.9 | -1.2 | 226.6 |
| DAL | 116.8 | 110.9 | +5.9 | 227.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | OVER | PHO |
| -5.0 | 237.5 | 117-115 |
Dallas restarted with a 153-149 OT loss to the Rockets, losing a 4th quarter double-digit lead, and killing our parlay in the process. Porzingis had 39 points while Doncic produced a 28 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists triple-double.
Phoenix kept their faint hopes alive for a spot in the West playoffs with a 125-112 win over the Wizards on Friday night in their restart. Booker was the leading scorer for the Suns with 27 points while Deandre Ayton chimed in with 24 points and a team-high 12 rebounds.
The Dallas -5.0 is nice here.
PICK – DALLAS -5.0
