FREE NBA PICKS – 10/8/20

FREE NBA PICKS TONIGHT

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 57-33

INDIANA VS MIAMI

Bam is set to return to his best rebounding-self with an injection of minutes as the Miami Heat fine tune before the playoffs.

Indiana, in general, have not been rebounding the ball too well considering Myles Turner (their outright rim protecting big has led them one just one occasion through 5 games).

Bam is athletic, strong and will get the chance to bring down boards against the Pacers in what should be a low shooting % game.

DP’S PICK – BAM ADEBAYO OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS


NBA PARLAY

  • MIAMI VS INDIANA – OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS
  • MILWAUKEE VS TORONTO – TORONTO +5.5

ODDS – $3.60

NBA PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • INDIANA VS MIAMI – BAM ADEBAYO OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS
  • UTAH VS DALLAS – TIM HARDAWAY JR OVER 17.5 POINTS

ODDS – $3.60


TREND BETS

MIAMI VS INDIANA

MIAMI

  • Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 12-4-1 in last 17 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 27-11-1 in last 39 games as a favorite.

INDIANA

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


PHOENIX VS OKLAHOMA CITY

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Thunder are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.02.20 PHX OKC 107 : 111
21.12.19 OKC PHX 126 : 108

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Ricky Rubio has 8+ assists in his last 14 games with the Suns as favorites. (7.5)
  • Deandre Ayton has 20+ points in 8 of his last 9 games with the Suns as favorites. (19.5)
  • Devin Booker has 29+ points in the Suns’ last 3 games against Western opponents. (27.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 31 39 15-22 16-17
OKC 43 26 22-14 21-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
PHX 113.0 113.7 -0.7 226.7
OKC 110.6 108.1 +2.5 218.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER PHX
+5.5 224.5 128-101

This is be the 2nd of a back-to-back for OKC who cruised to a 121-103 win over a depleted Washington last night. The Thunder made down 18-for-39 from three-point range and shot 51% overall.

The Suns are a hot 5-0 in the bubble and have closed to within a 1/2 game of Portland for 9th place in the West. Phoenix pulled away late in the 4th to earn a 119-112 win over Miami on Saturday, out-rebounding the Heat by a 54-41 margin.

Do we dare back against the Suns, who’ve tricked us a few times in the bubble?

Thunder are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and we may get fooled again here.

PICKS  – UNDER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS


UTAH VS DALLAS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
11.02.20 DAL UTA 119 : 123
26.01.20 UTA DAL 112 : 107

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has 33 points in 2 of the Mavs last 3 games with Luka Doncic out. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 43 27 22-11 21-16
DAL 42 30 20-17 22-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
UTA 111.2 108.6 +2.6 219.8
DAL 117.0 111.5 +5.5 228.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTAH UNDER DAL
-6.0 228.5 122-114

Dallas knocked off Milwaukee 136-132 in their most recent outing on Saturday. Doncic with 36 points, 14 rebounds and 19 assists in the OT victory. Dallas is 7th in the Western Conference standings.

Utah lost its 2nd-straight after a 134-132 loss to the Nuggets in double OT on Saturday.  Donovan Mitchell led with 35 points. Utah is in 6th place in the West just 2 games ahead of Dallas.

Doncic (ankle) is out tonight, and they’ll also likely be without Porzingis, Finney-Smith and maybe Seth Curry.

PICK  – UNDER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS


MILWAUKEE VS TORONTO

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.02.20 TOR MIL 97 : 108
03.11.19 MIL TOR 115 : 105

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 55 15 30-4 25-11
TOR 50 19 25-10 25-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
MIL 118.9 108.3 +10.6 227.2
TOR 112.5 106.3 +6.2 218.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR UNDER TOR
+5.5 227.5 114-106

Toronto are playing the 2nd half of a back-to-back after a 108-99 win over the Grizzlies last night.

Milwaukee have gone 1-3 over their last 4 following a 136-132 OT loss Dallas. Giannis led the Bucks in the loss with 34 points and 13 rebounds. Brook Lopez also scored 34 points for the Bucks and Khris Middleton scored 21. Milwaukee has already clinched the No. 1 seed in the East.

Like Toronto here.

PICK  – TORONTO +5.5 & UNDER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS


MIAMI VS INDIANA

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.01.20 IND MIA 108 : 122
28.12.19 MIA IND 113 : 112

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games as favorites. (15.5)
  • Victor Oladipo has 2 assists in his 3 games at Visa Athletic Center. (3.5)
  • Myles Turner has 15+ points in 6 of the Pacers’ last 8 games. (12.5)
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 24+ points in the Pacers’ last 2 games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 43 27 28-7 15-20
IND 43 27 24-11 19-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
MIA 112.3 109.2 +3.1 221.5
IND 109.7 107.7 +2.0 217.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA OVER MIA
-2.5 218.5 114-92

The Pacers bounced back from their only loss of the restart with a 116-111 win over the Lakers on Saturday. TJ Warren continued his scoring run with 39 points against the Lakers, averaging an NBA leading 34.8 ppg game since the restart.

Miami look to end a 2-game losing streak after a 119-112 loss to the Suns on Saturday. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro led Miami with 25 points each. The Heat are 4th place in the East, but are tied with Indiana and could fall to 5th with a loss tonight.

With a win, Indiana can pass the Heat and move up to 4th place in the East.

Jimmy Butler (foot) stated to return tonight. Set to reunite his little feud with TJ Warren.

PICK  – MIAMI WIN & OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS


LA LAKERS VS DENVER

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.02.20 DEN LAL 116 : 120
(111 : 111)
23.12.19 LAL DEN 104 : 128
04.12.19 DEN LAL 96 : 105

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Anthony Davis has 25+ points in 10 of his last 11 games against the Nuggets. (22.5)
  • Michael Porter Jr. has 23+ points in the Nuggets’ last 4 games. (18.5)
  • LeBron James has 25+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the Nuggets. (23.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 21+ points in his last 3 games. (19.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 10+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 2 games as underdogs. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 51 18 24-9 27-9
DEN 46 24 26-10 20-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
LAL 113.2 107.0 +6.2 220.2
DEN 111.2 108.6 +2.6 219.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN UNDER LAL
+5.5 221.5 124-121

The Nuggets needed double OT to defeat Utah 134-132 on Saturday. Jamal Murray returned for the first time since the restart with 23 points including the baskets that tied the game and put the Nuggets ahead for good. Jokic led the Nuggets with 30 points.

The Lakers look to end a 3-game losing streak after their most recent 116-111 loss to Indiana on Saturday but have already clinched No. 1 seeding in the West. LeBron led the Lakers in the loss with 31 points while Anthony Davis was held to just 8 points.

The Lakers did not appear to be interested in the final seeding games with #1 seed already wrapped up.

PICK  – DENVER +5.5