FREE NBA EXPERT PICKS – 12/1/21

FREE NBA TIPS TONIGHT

*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


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Access to all Parlays, Parisi’s Player Prop, Trend Bets & Player Trends!


PARLAYS

TONIGHT'S PARLAY
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PARLAY

  • LA LAKERS @ HOUSTON – LA LAKERS WIN
  • SAN ANTONIO @ OKLAHOMA CITY – OVER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS
  • INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE – OVER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS

ODDS – @3.50


PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • DENVER @ BROOKLYN – JAMAL MURRAY OVER 21.5 POINTS
  • DENVER @ BROOKLYN – KEVIN DURANT OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS

ODDS – @3.90

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE AT THE MOMENT)

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

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MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 4 4 3-2 1-2
PHI 7 4 5-1 2-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 108.5 109.6 -1.1 218.1
PHI 111.3 108.8 +2.5 220.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI UNDER PHI
-6.5 209.5 137-134 1OT

The Heat have been sluggish since their Finals run, ranking 23rd  in scoring at 108.5 ppg. On Saturday, Miami went off for 47 points during the first quarter, shooting 50% overall during a 128-124 road win ovet the Wizards.

The 76ers have been hit hard by COVID and are a shell of a team coming into this one having lost three straight. Last night, they were outscored by 19 points during the second quarter of a 112-94 road loss against the Hawks.

So much uncertainty with lineups once again, however both rank in the top ten defensively, so the Unders is to be considered.

PICK –  NO BET


DENVER @ BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Gary Harris has 14+ points in his last 6 games against Eastern teams. (10.5)
  • Jarrett Allen has 15+ points in the Nets’ last 4 games against the Nuggets. (12.5)
  • Kevin Durant has 6+ assists in his last 5 games against the Nuggets. (5.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 5+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 3 road games against the Nets. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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DENVER

  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 35-16-3 in last 54 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

BROOKLYN

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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PLAYER PROP BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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The Nets will continue without Kyrie and I like the likelihood of a big outing for Durant.

While his points total is usually a solid bet, he’s also been very active on the glass with 11 rebounds in 3 of his last 4 games.

The Nuggets are allowing just under 9 rpg to PF/SFs.

Like Durant to fill up the statsheet in Kyrie’s absence.

PICK – KEVIN DURANT OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 5 5 2-4 3-1
BKN 5 6 4-4 1-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 116.5 112.8 +3.7 229.3
BKN 118.5 113.0 +5.5 231.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER BKN
+1.5 230.5 122-116

The Nuggets have won four of their last five and rank fifth in the league in scoring at 116.5 ppg. On Sunday, they established a 21-point halftime lead and cruised to a 114-89 road win over the Knicks.

The Nets have lost two straight and rank third in the league in scoring at 118.5 ppg. On Sunday, they were outscored by 19 points during the third quarter of a 129-116 home loss against the Thunder.

Like Overs here.

PICK – OVER 230.5 TOTAL POINTS


UTAH @ CLEVELAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Jordan Clarkson has 18+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games. (15.5)
  • Bojan Bogdanovic has 23+ points in his last 3 games against the Cavaliers. (15.5)
  • Royce O’Neale has 8+ rebounds in the Jazz’s last 3 games. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 14-4-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • Jazz are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 6 4 1-2 5-2
CLE 5 6 2-2 3-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 109.5 108.6 +0.9 218.1
CLE 100.0 102.8 -2.8 202.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-8.5 207.5 117-87

Utah have killed us so many times this season, that even looking at their matchups makes me dry heave.

The Jazz have won two straight and rank first in the league in rebounding 50.4 rpg. On Sunday, they pushed out to a 15-point lead after one quarter and eased to a 96-68 road win over the Pistons.

The Cavs have lost four of their last five and rank last in the league offensively, notching up an average of just 100.9 ppg. Last night, they were outscored by nine points during the second half of a 101-91 home loss to the Grizzlies.

Do we dare go with the Jazz again…

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – UNDER 207.5 TOTAL POINTS


BOSTON @ CHICAGO

GAME POSTPONED


LA LAKERS @ HOUSTON

TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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HOUSTON

  • Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 19-7-1 in last 27 home games.
  • Under is 38-15-2 in last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 53-26-3 in last 82 games playing on 1 days rest.

LA LAKERS

  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 8-0 in last 8 road games.
  • Under is 10-1 in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
  • Lakers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 8 3 3-3 5-0
HOU 3 5 3-2 0-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 114.5 106.2 8.3 220.7
HOU 112.8 112.8 0 225.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL UNDER LAL
-4.5 222.5 117-100

The Lakers improved to 8-3 following a 120-102 victory over Houston in the first of two consecutive games between the two rivals.

Houston dropped to 3-5 on Sunday after a 120-102 home to the Lakers. There was a lot of fire in the game were five technical fouls as well as two flagrant fouls and a pair of ejections during the first half as the Lakers lost Markieff Morris and Houston’s DeMarcus Cousins was sent off.

Trend bet perhaps the best way to go here.

PICK – LA LAKERS -4.5


SAN ANTONIO @ OKLAHOMA CITY

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Patty Mills has 18+ points in 3 of the Spurs’ last 4 games. (14.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 22+ points in the Spurs’ last 4 games as favorites against OKC. (!8.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 7+ rebounds in 9 of his last 11 games against OKC. (6.5)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 7+ assists in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 games. (7.5)
  • George Hill has 4+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games against the Spurs. (3.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Spurs are 6-17 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 5 5 1-3 4-2
OKC 5 4 0-3 5-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 111.1 113.1 -2.0 224.2
OKC 104.9 108.9 -4.0 213.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS OVER SAS
-2.5 216.5 112-102

The Spurs fell to 5-5 after a 96-88 loss to Minnesota on Sunday. The Spurs scored just 39 points in the second half, but were without DeRozan (personal reasons).

OKC looks for its fourth straignt W after improving to 5-4 following a 129-116 win on Sunday over Brooklyn.

DeMar DeRozan is again questionable for personal reasons.

PICK – OVER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS


INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • James Wiseman has the first basket in 3 of the Warriors’ last 6 games.
  • Andrew Wiggins has 19+ points in his last 5 games with his team as a favourite. (17.5)
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. has 15+ points in his last 5 games against the Pacers. (13.5)
  • Stephen Curry has 7+ assists in his last 6 home games against the Pacers. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Golden State.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 6 4 4-3 2-1
GSW 6 4 4-2 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 115.7 111.6 +4.1 227.3
GSW 113.7 116.6 -2.9 230.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND OVER IND
+3.0 227.5 104-95

Indiana went down the Kings last night 127-122 as -4.5 favorites.

The Warriors improved to 6-4 following a 106-105 victory over the Toronto Raptors on Sunday.

Danger game for the punters, but Overs looks nice.

PICK – OVER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS