FREE NBA EXPERT PICKS – 10/1/21

FREE NBA TIPS TONIGHT

*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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PARLAYS

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TREND BET

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UTAH @ DETROIT

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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  • Jerami Grant has 22+ points in the Pistons’ last 8 games. (20.5)
  • Blake Griffin has 18+ points in 11 of his last 12 home games against the Jazz. (15.5)
  • Mike Conley has 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 Sunday games. (16.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Jazz are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Detroit.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 5 4 1-2 4-2
DET 2 7 2-3 0-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 111.0 111.1 -0.1 222.1
DET 111.3 117.6 -6.3 228.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
-7.0 217.5 96-86

The 5-4 Jazz are tied for first in the NBA with 49 rpg. On Friday, Utah outscored the Bucks in each quarter and shot 51% overall for a 131-118 road win.

The 2-7 Pistons are giving up close to 118 ppg. On Friday, Detroit came back from a 23-point deficit to score a 110-105 OT win over Phoenix.

The Jazz have are better offensively, defensively, and hold a big advantage on the glass.

PICK – UTAH -7.0


CHICAGO @ LA CLIPPERS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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  • Kawhi Leonard has 28+ points in 8 of his last 9 games against Eastern teams. (26.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 32+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against Western teams. (27.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 6+ assists in 10 of his last 13 games with the Bulls as road underdogs. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 4 6 1-3 3-3
LAC 6 4 2-2 4-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHI 115.0 120.2 -5.2 235.2
LAC 110.0 109.2 +0.8 219.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHI UNDER LAC
+11.5 225.5 130-127

The 3-7 Bulls are leaking a hefty 120 ppg. On Friday, Chicago shot 51% from the field during a 117-115 road loss against the Lakers.

The Clippers rank third worst in the league on the boards (41.7 rpg). On Friday, Los Angeles was unable to hold a 14-point halftime lead during a 115-105 road loss to the Warriors.

The Clippers play at the 2nd slowest tempo in the NBA, and with an early start in this contest the Unders is tempting.

PICK – UNDER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS


OKLAHOMA CITY @ BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 4 4 0-3 4-1
BKN 5 5 4-3 1-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 101.9 108.0 -6.1 209.9
BKN 118.8 111.4 +7.4 230.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER OKC
+9.5 223.5 129-116

The 4-4 Thunder rank last in scoring offense at 101.9 ppg. On Friday, OKC limited New York to 36% shooting during a 101-89 road win. The Thunder smashed the Knicks on the glass by a 70-55 margin.

Brooklyn were an early punter’s choice to win the NBA Championship and have dealt with plenty of obstacles. On Friday, Brooklyn was outscored by 12 points during the first quarter of a 115-100 road loss against the Grizzlies.

OKC rank last in the league offensively and should find it very hard to keep pace with the Nets.

However too many unknowns with ins and outs tonight.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – OKLAHOMA CITY +9.5


DENVER @ NEW YORK

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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PLAYER PROP BET

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 4 5 2-4 2-1
NY 5 4 2-2 3-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 116.8 115.4 +1.4 232.20
NY 102.7 104.1 -1.4 206.80

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER DEN
-5.5 212.5 114-89

It would have come as a surprise that even at this early point of the season that the Knicks and Nuggets meet with one trying to stay above .500 and the other trying to get there.

The Knicks had their three-game streak snapped Friday night, when they let go of an early 11-point lead and fell to the visiting Thunder, 101-89.

The Nuggets are completing a back-to-back road set after beating the undermanned 76ers, 115-103, on Saturday afternoon.

PICK – DENVER WIN / OVER 212.5 TOTAL POINTS


MIAMI @ BOSTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 4 4 3-2 1-2
BOS 7 3 3-1 4-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 108.5 109.6 -1.1 218.1
BOS 113.0 111.2 +1.8 224.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA UNDER
-8.5 212.5 POSTPONED

Lot’s of changes since we made the post last night.

We’re staying away.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – UNDER 212.5 TOTAL POINTS


LA LAKERS @ HOUSTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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  • Christian Wood has 22+ points in 8 of his last 10 games. (20.5)
  • James Harden has 34+ points in the Rockets’ last 5 games against the Lakers at Toyota Center. (28.5)
  • John Wall has 9+ assists in 13 of his 14 previous games against the Lakers. (5.5)

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
  • Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 7 3 3-3 4-0
HOU 3 4 3-1 0-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 113.9 106.6 +7.3 220.5
HOU 114.3 111.7 +2.6 226.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER LAL
+3.5 223.5 120-102

The Lakers improved to 7-3 after a 117-115 win on Friday over the Bulls.

The Rockets improved to 3-4 after a 132-90 smashing of the Magic on Friday. Houston led 81-43 during the third quarter, when the starters were benched.

Lot’s of doubt with the starters in this one. Best to avoid.

Trends do scream Unders however.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – UNDER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS


SAN ANTONIO @ MINNESOTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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  • NIL

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 5 4 1-3 4-1
MIN 2 7 1-3 1-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 113.7 115.0 -1.3 228.7
MIN 110.2 122.2 -12.0 232.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS OVER MIN
+1.0 232.5 96-88

PICK – SAN ANTONIO +1.0


TORONTO @ GOLDEN STATE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Raptors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
  • Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
  • Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Golden State.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 2 6 1-2 1-4
GSW 5 4 3-2 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 111.9 113.4 -1.5 225.3
GSW 114.6 117.9 -3.3 232.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR GSW
-2.5 TBC 106-105

The Raptors will be looking to continue their resurgence after winning their recent road game against the Kings, 144-123.

The Warriors are coming off a nice home win against the Clippers, 115-105. Leading the way for the Warriors was Steph Curry with 38 points and 11 assists.

Both teams have gone from chocolates to boiled lollies in recent times. Tough one to pick.

PICK – TORONTO -2.5