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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
WASHINGTON @ LA CLIPPERS
The Wizards could find themselves in a spot of bother in this fixture against the Clippers who had their 7 game win streak snapped by the Spurs.
The Clippers have set the tone on the glass all season long, ranking 2nd in the league for RPG at 48.9, in comparison to the Wizards who round out in the bottom 5.
Thomas Bryant only clunked 9+ boards on 4 of 13 occasions during November – and with a high shooting % and potential blowout on the cards, the emerging Washington big could see limited opportunity to rebound a significant total.
BEST BET – THOMAS BRYANT UNDER 9.5 REBOUNDS – WIN
MIAMI @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
HEAT TRENDS
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 vs. East teams.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 games following a straight win.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
NETS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games following an ATS win.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
- Heat are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 23+ points in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 games.
- Jimmy Butler has 6+ assists in 7 of the Heat’s last 8 games as favourites.
- Kendrick Nunn has 21+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games as road favourites.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 13 | 5 | 8-0 | 5-5 |
| BKN | 10 | 9 | 6-3 | 4-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| MIA | 111.5 | 105.1 | +6.4 | 216.6 |
| BKN | 112.5 | 113.9 | -1.4 | 226.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | Under | MIA |
| +3.0 | 216.5 | 109-106 |
THE RUB
The Nets are cruising without Kyrie, and they will go for a 7th win in 9 games tonight.
The Nets are 6-3 at the Barclays Center while the Heat stand 5-5 on the road after winning their 8th straight home game.
OUR PICK – Brooklyn +3.0
BOSTON @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
CELTICS TRENDS
- 0-2-2 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams below .500.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- are 13-28 ATS in last 41 home games.
- are 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .600.
- 7-19 ATS in last 26 games following an ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 24-8 in last 32 home games.
- Under is 11-5 in last 16 after allowing 100+ more in their last game.
- Under is 37-18-1 in last 56 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
- Celtics are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New York.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kemba Walker has 32+ points in the Celtics’ last 2 games against the Knicks.
- Jaylen Brown has 22+ points in 5 of the Celtics’ last 7 games as favourites.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 13 | 5 | 7-0 | 6-5 |
| NY | 4 | 15 | 3-7 | 1-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| BOS | 110.6 | 104.5 | +6.1 | 215.1 |
| NY | 101.4 | 109.2 | -7.8 | 210.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | Under | BOS |
| -7.5 | 209.5 | 113-104 |
THE RUB
The Celtics are struggling for wins on the road and will try to escape MSG with a win and some needed confidence tonight. The Celtics lost 112-107 in Brooklyn on Friday for the 4th time in their last 5 games on the road, including 3-straight following a 5-1 start away from home.
Boston already has 2 wins against the Knicks this season, including a 23-point rout at MSG.
Boston has won 4 straight meetings, as well as 4-straight in New York.
OUR PICK – Boston -7.5
MEMPHIS @ MINNESOTA
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 vs teams above .500.
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 home vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 12-3 in last 15 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
- Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Karl-Anthony Towns has 27+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 5 games as favourites.
- Karl-Anthony Towns has scored the 1st basket in the last two matchups.
- Tyus Jones has 8+ assists in his last 4 games as a starter.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 5 | 13 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| MIN | 10 | 8 | 3-6 | 7-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| MEM | 108.9 | 117.6 | -8.7 | 226.5 |
| MIN | 114.1 | 114.4 | -0.3 | 228.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | Over | MEM |
| +11.0 | 230.5 | 115-107 |
THE RUB
Minnesota got an extra long break over the holiday weekend and will take the floor for the first time since Wednesday. The Timberwolves won back-to-back road games prior to the break but are winless in their last 4 at home.
Minnesota are 7-2 on the road but just 3-6 at home and are looking for their first home win since beating San Antonio 129-114 on Nov. 13.
The Grizzlies come into Sunday’s meeting as losers of 6-straight.
The last meeting between these two was a high scoring Memphis win 137 : 121 in Memphis on Nov 11th.
OUR PICK – Over 230.5
DALLAS @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 road games.
- 10-3 ATS in last 13 vs teams above .500.record.
- 35-16 ATS in last 51 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games following an ATS win.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- 12-4 ATS in last 16 home games.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 23-9 in last 32 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 35-16-1 in last 52 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Anthony Davis has 27+ points in his last 6 home games against the Mavericks.
- Luka Doncic has 33+ points in the Mavericks’ last 4 road games.
- LeBron James has scored the 1st basket in the Lakers’ last 2 home games against the Mavericks.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 12 | 6 | 6-4 | 6-2 |
| LAL | 17 | 2 | 9-1 | 8-1 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| DAL | 118 | 110.3 | +7.7 | 228.3 |
| LAL | 112.8 | 103.5 | +9.3 | 216.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | Under | DAL |
| -6.0 | 223.5 | 114-100 |
THE RUB
Dallas fell at home to the Lakers 119-110 in OT on Nov. 1 and lost a 114-99 to the Clippers on Tuesday.
The Mavericks are winners of 6 of their last 7 games but are going up against a Lakers squad that stretched their win streak to 10 with a 125-103 smashing of the Wizards on Friday.
Like the Unders in this one.
OUR PICK – Under 223.5
SAN ANTONIO @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
SPURS TRENDS
- 6-14 ATS in last 20 vs teams below .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 5-15 ATS in last 20 games overall.
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 12-4 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- 7-21-1 ATS in last 29 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Spurs are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
- Spurs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Blake Griffin has 23+ points in his last 9 home games against the Spurs.
- Andre Drummond has 18+ rebounds in the Pistons’ last 3 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAS | 7 | 13 | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| DET | 6 | 13 | 5-4 | 1-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| SAS | 111.5 | 114.3 | -2.8 | 225.8 |
| DET | 107.3 | 101.9 | +5.4 | 209.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAN | Under | DET |
| -3.5 | 216.5 | 132-98 |
THE RUB
After 6 wins (all against teams that entered the weekend under .500) in 19 games to start the season, the Spurs finally beat an elite squad with a 107-97 win over the Clippers on Friday.
Detroit has dropped 6-straight in a row overall in games decided by single digits.
OUR PICK – Under 216.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
THUNDER TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 6-13 ATS in last 19 vs teams below .500.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 7-15 ATS in last 22 vs teams below .500.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 88-43 in last 131 home vs teams with losing road records.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New Orleans.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Steven Adams has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the last 4 games between the Thunder and Pelicans.
- Jrue Holiday has 22+ points in the Pelicans’ last 4 home games.
- J.J. Redick has 18+ points in the Pelicans’ last 5 home games.
- Danilo Gallinari has 24+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 7 | 11 | 6-4 | 1-7 |
| NOR | 6 | 13 | 4-5 | 2-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| OKC | 107.5 | 108.6 | -1.1 | 216.1 |
| NOR | 115.1 | 119.5 | -4.4 | 234.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | Over | OKC |
| -2.0 | 228.5 | 107-104 |
THE RUB
The Pelicans have lost 4-straight while New Orleans fell to 6-13 with its 109-104 loss to the Thunder last time out.
New Orleans has covered the spread in their last 5 at home while OKC has failed to covered just in 1-10 straight up in its last 11 on the road.
OUR PICK – New Orleans -2.0
GOLDEN STATE @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games following a straight loss.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.
- Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Willie Cauley-Stein has 11+ points in his last 4 games the Magic.
- Markelle Fultz has scored the 1st basket in the Magic’s last 2 games.
- Aaron Gordon has 22+ points in the Magic’s last 2 home games against the Warriors.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| GSW | 4 | 16 | 2-7 | 2-9 |
| ORL | 7 | 11 | 6-4 | 1-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| GSW | 107.3 | 116.4 | -9.1 | 223.7 |
| ORL | 101.1 | 102.3 | -1.2 | 203.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| GSW | Under | ORL |
| +8.5 | 206.5 | 100-96 |
THE RUB
The Magic are dealing with injury issues and lost for the 4th time in 5 games while scoring a season low and committing 24 turnovers in a 90-83 loss at home against Toronto on Friday.
Orlando are 7-11 straight up and 6-10-1 ATS, while the Warriors have lost 11 of their last 13 games, but are decent against the spread (9-9-1 ATS) covering the number in 4 of the last 6.
Orlando snapped an 11-game losing streak in the series with a 103-96 home win on Feb. 28.
OUR PICK – Under 206.5
UTAH @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road vs teams with winning home records.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 24-4 ATS in last 28 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 12-3-1 ATS in last 16 vs teams above .500.
- 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 vs teams above .600.
- 17-5-1 ATS in last 23 home games.
- 20-7-1 ATS in last 28 games overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
- Favorite is 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
- Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
- Jazz are 1-11 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Rudy Gobert has 14+ points in the Jazz’s last 5 games against the Raptors.
- Bojan Bogdanovic has 24+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games.
- Fred VanVleet has 22+ points in four of the Raptors’ last 5 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 12 | 7 | 8-1 | 4-6 |
| TOR | 14 | 4 | 8-0 | 6-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| UTA | 106.6 | 103.9 | +2.7 | 210.5 |
| TOR | 112.3 | 103.8 | +8.5 | 216.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | Over | TOR |
| -2.5 | 210.0 | 130-110 |
THE RUB
The Raptors extended their win streak 6 games with a 90-83 win over the Magic on Friday, and will play 10 of their 16 games against teams .500 and above. The Raptors are 2-4 against teams with winning records this season.
The Raptors have won 10 of the past 12 meetings with the Jazz and enter tonight on an 8-game home win streak.
Siakam averaged 22 ppg and 8.5 rpg to help Toronto take both meetings last season.
OUR PICK – Toronto WIN
WASHINGTON @ LA CLIPPERS
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 road games.
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- 16-7 ATS in last 23 vs. West teams.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 27-12-1 in last 40 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 11-4 in last 15 vs. East teams.
- Over is 13-5-1 in last 19 home vs teams with losing road records.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in L.A.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kawhi Leonard has 34+ points in his last four Sunday games against East teams.
- Paul George has 25+ points in his last 5 games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 6 | 11 | 3-4 | 3-7 |
| LAC | 14 | 6 | 11-1 | 3-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| WAS | 118.5 | 121.1 | -2.6 | 239.6 |
| LAC | 113.7 | 107.5 | +6.2 | 221.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| WAS | Over | LAC |
| +12.5 | 237.0 | 150-125 |
THE RUB
The Clippers had their 7-game streak end with Friday’s 107-97 road loss to the Spurs.
Washington are averaging 118.5 ppg but followed up a 140-point effort in a win at Phoenix with just 103 points on 39.6% shooting in a 125-103 loss to the Lakers on Friday.
The Clippers have won 16 of the past 21 meetings.
Also like the Overs.
OUR PICK – Washington +12.5
