FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 35-21
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE
Middleton gets the opportunity for a regulation cover, when his Bucks square up against the Wizards who continue to leak points but also find a way to stay within games.
Middleton is well rested coming back from Paris and should be able to fill it up early, in case a blowout is on the cards.
Middleton is shooting it at 52% in the floor throughout January and I expect a similar trend to continue today.
DP’S PICK – KHRIS MIDDLETON OVER 22.5 POINTS – WIN
TREND BET
NEW ORLEANS @ CLEVELAND
PELICANS TRENDS
- Over is 9-0 in last 9 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 overall.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 232.5 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 11-3-1 in last 15 vs teams below .500.
HORNETS TRENDS
- 20-7 ATS in last 27 games vs teams below .400.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 14-4 in last 18 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Over is 18-6-2 in the last 26 meetings.
- Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
SEASON SERIES
17.11.19 | NY | CHA | 102 : 103 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Marcus Morris Sr. has 16 points or less in each of his last 8 games against the Hornets. (19.5)
- Reggie Bullock has 12+ points in his last 6 games against Southeast opponents. (9.5)
- Julius Randle has 19 points or less in 4 of his last 5 road games. (21.5)
- Devonte’ Graham has 15 points or less in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games at Spectrum Center. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
NY | 13 | 34 | 7-17 | 6-17 |
CHA | 15 | 31 | 7-15 | 8-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
NY | 104.3 | 111.8 | -7.5 | 216.1 |
CHA | 103.3 | 110.6 | -7.3 | 213.9 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
NY | Over | CHA |
+1.5 | 208.5 | 97-92 |
OUR PICK – Over 208.5
GOLDEN STATE @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
76ERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Warriors are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Warriors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Draymond Green has 7+ assists in the Warriors’ last 8 games against the 76ers. (5.5)
- Al Horford has 11+ rebounds in his last 4 home games against the Warriors. (TBC)
- D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in the Warriors’ last 4 games. (24.5)
- Ben Simmons has 23+ points in the 76ers’ last 3 games against the Warriors. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
GSW | 10 | 37 | 7-17 | 3-20 |
PHI | 30 | 17 | 21-2 | 9-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
GSW | 105.7 | 114.2 | -8.5 | 219.9 |
PHI | 108.4 | 104.8 | +3.6 | 213.2 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
PHI | Over | PHI |
-12.0 | 213.5 | 115-104 |
OUR PICK – Philadelphia -12.0
NEW ORLEANS @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
- 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in last 9 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 overall.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 17-7-1 ATS in last 25 games vs teams below .400.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Brandon Ingram has 25+ points in his last 6 games with his team as a road favourite. (23.5)
- Jrue Holiday has 20+ points in 9 of his last 10 games against opponents who are playing on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
NOR | 18 | 29 | 9-15 | 9-14 |
CLE | 13 | 34 | 6-17 | 7-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
NOR | 114.5 | 117.4 | -2.9 | 231.9 |
CLE | 105.2 | 113.9 | -8.7 | 219.1 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
NOR | Over | NOR |
-8.5 | 232.5 | 125-111 |
OUR PICK – Over 232.5
ATLANTA @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Toronto.
SEASON SERIES
21.01.20 | ATL | TOR | 117 : 122 |
24.11.19 | ATL | TOR | 116 : 119 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kevin Huerter has 4+ assists in the Hawks’ last 9 games as road underdogs against Eastern opponents. (3.5)
- Trae Young has 39+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against Atlantic opponents. (29.5)
- Fred VanVleet has 20+ points in the Raptors’ last 3 games against the Hawks. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
ATL | 12 | 35 | 7-16 | 5-19 |
TOR | 32 | 14 | 16-7 | 16-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
ATL | 108.7 | 117.8 | -9.1 | 226.5 |
TOR | 112.0 | 106.0 | +6.0 | 218.0 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
TOR | Under | TOR |
-12.0 | 233.5 | 130-114 |
OUR PICK – Toronto -12.0
DENVER @ MEMPHIS
TEAM TRENDS
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 games as a favorite.
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 home games.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
SEASON SERIES
29.12.19 | DEN | MEM | 119 : 110 |
18.11.19 | MEM | DEN | 114 : 131 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 6 games against Western opponents. (11.5)
- Dillon Brooks has 20+ points in 7 of the Grizzlies’ last 8 home games. (16.5)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has 20+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games against Northwest opponents. (17.5)
- Jerami Grant has 16+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
DEN | 32 | 14 | 18-6 | 14-8 |
MEM | 22 | 24 | 13-13 | 9-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
DEN | 109.5 | 106.0 | +3.5 | 215.5 |
MEM | 113.5 | 115.8 | -2.3 | 229.3 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
DEN | Over | MEM |
+1.0 | 223.3 | 104-96 |
OUR PICK – Over 223.5
BOSTON @ MIAMI
TEAM TRENDS
CELTICS TRENDS
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 14-5 ATS in last 19 games vs teams above .500.
- 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 18-8 in last 26 games as an underdog.
- Under is 18-8 in last 26 games vs teams above .600.
HEAT TRENDS
- 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
- 17-6-1 ATS in last 24 home games.
- 5-2-1 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- 2-5-2 ATS in last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 13-5 in last 18 home games.
- Over is 20-8-1 in last 29 overall.
- Over is 20-9 in last 29 games playing on 0 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings in Miami.
- Celtics are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Miami.
SEASON SERIES
05.12.19 | BOS | MIA | 112 : 93 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Jaylen Brown has 22+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against Southeast opponents. (19.5)
- Gordon Hayward has 24+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Heat at AmericanAirlines Arena. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
BOS | 30 | 15 | 18-5 | 12-10 |
MIA | 32 | 14 | 21-2 | 11-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
BOS | 112.3 | 105.6 | +6.7 | 217.9 |
MIA | 112.2 | 108.3 | +3.9 | 220.5 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
BOS | Under | BOS |
+1.0 | 219.0 | 109-101 |
OUR PICK – Boston +1.0
WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a road underdog.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 12-27-1 ATS in last 40 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 16-5-1 in last 22 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 33-16 in last 49 games following a straight up loss.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 9-1 ATS in last 10 Tuesday games.
- 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs teams below .400.
- 14-6 ATS in last 20 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Eric Bledsoe has 11 points or less in his last 8 home games against Eastern opponents. (14.5)
- Bradley Beal has 29+ points in the Wizards’ last 4 games. (26.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 32+ points in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games at Fiserv Forum. (30.5)
- Ish Smith has 5+ assists in 6 of his last 7 road games against Central Division opponents. (4.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
WAS | 15 | 30 | 9-11 | 6-19 |
MIL | 40 | 6 | 21-2 | 19-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
WAS | 115.3 | 120.6 | -5.3 | 235.9 |
MIL | 119.3 | 106.7 | +12.6 | 226.0 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
MIL | Over | MIL |
-11.5 | 240.0 | 151-131 |
OUR PICK – Over 240.0
PHOENIX @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as an underdog.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games following a straight up loss.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 5-1-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 5-2-1 ATS in last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 home games.
- Over is 11-5 in last 16 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas.
- Suns are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.
SEASON SERIES
30.11.19 | PHO | DAL | 113 : 120 |
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
PHO | 19 | 27 | 9-16 | 10-11 |
DAL | 29 | 17 | 13-11 | 16-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
PHO | 112.7 | 113.7 | -1 | 226.4 |
DAL | 116.4 | 109.5 | 6.9 | 225.9 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
Dallas | Under | PHO |
-6.0 | 227.5 | 133-104 |
OUR PICK – Dallas -6.0