9 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 2/1/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 20-12

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

PORTLAND @ NEW YORK

The departure of Jordan Clarkson has resulted in a mild extension of production for Colin Sexton from a minutes played, shot count and points scored perspective.
Over his past 4 fixtures, Sexton has averaged 33 MPG (+3 minutes on season average), 18 SPG (+3 shots on season average) and 21.5 PPG (+3.5 points on season average).
The Cavs have also been in surprisingly decent form, winning 4 of their past 6, so I can’t see Sexton being iced or rotated heavily at this given point.
Additionally, last time these two teams met, the Bull returned 23 points on 10-14 (62.5% from the floor).
I once again anticipate Sexton will be aggressive at home against a vulnerable Hornets backcourt.

DP’S PICK –  COLIN SEXTON OVER 18.5 POINTS – WINNING BET

PARLAY

PARLAY

  • Utah @ Chicago – Utah WIN
  • Detroit @ LA Clippers – LA Clippers -11.5

ODDS – $3.04

Add

  • Brooklyn @ Dallas – Dallas -7.5

ODDS – $5.88 – WINNING BET

Gamble Responsibly.

TREND BETS

SEASON RECORD: 13-16

MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points.
  • 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.

KINGS TRENDS

  • 1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
  • 0-7 ATS in last 7 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

TREND BET – MEMPHIS +4.0

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

CHARLOTTE @ CLEVELAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • 17-5 ATS in last 22 vs teams below .400.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 24-7-1 ATS in last 32 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 5-12-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
19.12.19 CLE CHA 100 : 98

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Collin Sexton has 21+ points in the Cavaliers’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference teams. (18.5)
  • Tristan Thompson has 12+ rebounds in his last 4 games against the Hornets at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. (10.5)
  • Devonte’ Graham has 9 or more assists in the Hornets’ last 3 road games. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 13 23 7-11 6-12
CLE 10 23 6-10 4-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHA 103.8 110.8 -7.0 214.6
CLE 104.3 113.3 -9.0 217.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE OVER CHA
-2.0 210.5 109-106

THE RUB

Owning the current season series with the Hornets 1-0, the Cavs have won 3 of their last 5 and get a Hornets team tonight who are on a 6 game slide.

OUR PICK  –  CLEVELAND -2.0

DENVER @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 9-2 in last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 games vs teams above .600.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games following a win of more than 10+ points.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 25-10 in last 35 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indiana.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul Millsap has 10 points or less in the Nuggets’ last 7 road games against Eastern Conference teams. (12.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 22+ points in 5 of his last 5 games against the Pacers. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 23 10 15-4 8-6
IND 22 12 15-3 7-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 108.2 103.9 +4.3 212.1
IND 109.1 105.4 +3.7 214.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER DEN
+1.5 208.5 124-116

THE RUB

The Pacers have only lost 3 games on home court, opening night to the Pistons and to Championship contenders in the Bucks and Clippers. Denver are among that list of contenders and could cause an upset.

OUR PICK  – DENVER +1.5

TORONTO @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • 20-6 ATS in last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in last 14 overall.

HEAT TRENDS

  • 9-1 ATS in last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 home games.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 15-5-1 in last 21 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Raptors are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Raptors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
  • Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
19.12.19 CLE CHA 100 : 98

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in his last 6 games with the Raptors as road underdogs. (20.5)
  • Jimmy Butler has 7 or more assists in 6 of the Heat’s last seven home games against Eastern Conference teams. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 23 11 14-5 9-6
MIA 24 9 15-1 9-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 111.5 105.9 +5.6 217.4
MIA 112.4 108.2 +4.2 220.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA OVER MIA
-5.5 215.0 84-76

THE RUB

The Heat were the team to hand the Raptors their first loss on home court this season. Aside from their blemish to the Wizards, they are the in form team of the East along with the Bucks.

OUR PICK  –  MIAMI WIN

UTAH @ CHICAGO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 13-6 in last 19 overall.

BULLS TRENDS

  • 11-4 ATS in last 15 games overall.
  • 15-31 ATS in last 46 home games.
  • 8-24 ATS in last 32 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Joe Ingles has 14+ points in the Jazz’s last 5 road games. (12.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 20 points or less in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 road games against Eastern Conference teams. (24.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 24+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games as underdogs. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 21 12 13-3 8-9
CHI 13 21 7-11 6-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
UTA 108.0 105.8 +2.2 213.8
CHI 105.9 107.0 -1.1 212.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-4.0 211.0 102-98

THE RUB

The Bulls have only defeated one team on home court above .500 which was a Kawhi-less Clippers team. The rest have been nothing impressive.

OUR PICK  –  UTAH -4.0

GOLDEN STATE @ MINNESOTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 10-2 in last 12 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 21-6 in last 27 vs teams below .500.

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 home games.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Under is 26-10 in the last 36 meetings.
  • Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Minnesota.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.12.19 GSW MIN 113 : 104
09.11.19 MIN GSW 125 : 119
(110 : 110)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Robert Covington has 15+ points in his last 3 home games against the Warriors.
  • Alec Burks has 20+ points in 3 of the Warriors’ last 4 road games against Western Conference teams. (19.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 9 26 6-11 3-15
MIN 12 21 4-11 8-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
GSW 105.9 113.4 -7.5 219.3
MIN 112.0 115.5 -3.5 227.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIN UNDER MIN
-3.5 221.5 99-84

THE RUB

Without KAT, the Wolves are being lead by their bench as they defeated the Nets and just lost to the Bucks last night. With this season series leaning on home court advantage, the Wolves will look to capitalize on the Warriors who will be without Russell.

OUR PICK  –  MINNESOTA WIN

BROOKLYN @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NETS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Dallas.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 16 16 9-6 7-10
DAL 21 12 9-7 12-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BKN 110.6 111.4 -0.8 222.0
DAL 116.3 108.8 +7.5 225.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL UNDER DAL
-7.5 221.0 123-111

THE RUB

Porzingis may miss but the Mavericks will be able to cover with their huge amount of depth.

Lets hope their curse against New York teams is lifted against an up and down Brooklyn team.

OUR PICK  –  Dallas -7.5

OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 games following a straight up win.

SPURS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-2-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 7-19 ATS in last 26 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 13-3 in last 16 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 17-5 in last 22 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
08.11.19 SAS OKC 121 : 112

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dennis Schroder has 20+ points in his last 6 games. (18.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 25+ points in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games against the Thunder. (20.5)
  • DeMar DeRozan has 24+ points in the Spurs’ last 3 home games. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 18 15 12-6 6-9
SAS 14 18 10-8 4-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
OKC 108.2 107.3 +0.9 215.5
SAS 113.4 114.9 -1.5 228.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS OVER OKC
-2.0 218.5 109-103

THE RUB

Both teams are in good form recently with it being hard to split the two. With the Spurs leading the series 1-0 and with home court, its just as good to go the Over.

OUR PICK  –  OVER 218.5

MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points.
  • 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 overall.
  • Under is 15-5 in last 20 vs teams below .500.

KINGS TRENDS

  • 1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
  • 0-7 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 10-1 in last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Under is 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Sacramento.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
22.12.19 MEM SAC 119 : 115

PLAYER TRENDS

  • De’Aaron Fox has 21+ points in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 games against the Grizzlies. (18.5)
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has 20+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 3 road games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 13 21 7-12 6-9
SAC 12 22 6-9 6-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MEM 111.1 116.2 -5.1 227.3
SAC 104.9 108.3 -3.4 213.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAC UNDER SAC
-4.0 222.5 128-123

THE RUB

On an 8 game slide, if the Kings are going to get a win, it has to be tonight.

If not, the Under is our next best being a Kings home game.

OUR PICK  –  Under 222.5

DETROIT @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 7-18-2 ATS in last 27 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 road games.
  • 1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 road games.
  • Over is 18-8 in last 26 vs teams above .600.

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul George has 30+ points in his last 3 home games against Central Division teams. (24.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 12 22 8-10 4-12
LAC 24 11 14-3 10-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DET 108.3 110.9 -2.6 219.2
LAC 115.0 108.2 +6.8 223.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC UNDER LAC
-11.5 223.5 126-112

THE RUB

Detroit don’t travel well and the Clippers hold home court very well, especially against the lower teams.

OUR PICK  –  LA Clippers -11.5

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