FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
PARLAY
- LA CLIPPERS @ MINNESOTA – LA CLIPPERS -5.0
- LA LAKERS @ MIAMI – LA LAKERS WIN
ODDS – $2.82 – WIN
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 10-4
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
GOLDEN STATE @ UTAH
Burks has only cleared this total 2/6 in November with those 2 starts being 
cleared in back to back starts, with 18 & 18.
In a return to Salt Late, I don’t expect Burks to see enough opportunity to clear this line with D Russell shooting at volume and more importantly the Jazz rolling into this game as significant favorites with a blowout on the cards.
DP’S BEST BET – ALEC BURKS UNDER 16.5 POINTS
TREND BET
LA CLIPPERS @ MINNESOTA
CLIPPERS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 21-9 ATS in last 30 games as a road favorite.
MINNESOTA
- 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as an underdog.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 home games.
MATCHUP
- Clippers are 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Minnesota.
TREND BET – LA CLIPPERS -5.0 – WIN
LA LAKERS @ MIAMI
TEAM TRENDS
LAKERS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 Friday games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .600.
HEAT TRENDS
- 10-2 ATS in last 12 home games.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
- 3-10 ATS in last 13 Friday games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams above .500
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.11.19 | LAL | MIA | 95 : 80 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Anthony Davis has 31+ points in each of the Lakers’ last three Friday road games.
-
LeBron James has 11+ assists in six of the Lakers’ last eight games as favourites against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 22 | 3 | 10-2 | 12-1 |
| MIA | 18 | 6 | 11-0 | 7-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 113.8 | 103.9 | +9.9 | 217.7 |
| MIA | 112.0 | 106.2 | +5.8 | 218.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | LAL |
| -4.5 | 212.0 | 113-110 |
THE RUB
The Lakers have reeled off 12-straight wins on the road, 4 shy of the franchise record – while the Heat are a flawless 11-0 on the home floor this season.
Kyle Kuzma (ankle) could sit out for the 2nd-straight game while PG Rajon Rondo (hamstring) hopes to return for the Lakers.
Goran Dragic (groin) will likely miss his 6th-straight game while SF Justise Winslow (back) could sit out again for the Heat.
OUR PICK – LA LAKERS WIN
HOUSTON @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 20-7 in last 27 road games.
- Under is 13-6 in last 19 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .600.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games following an ATS loss.
- Under is 6-1-1 in last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
- Rockets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.
PLAYER TRENDS
-
James Harden has 39+ points in the Rockets’ last five games as road favourites.
-
Russell Westbrook has 11+ assists in six of his last seven games against the Magic.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 16 | 8 | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| ORL | 11 | 13 | 8-5 | 3-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 120.3 | 114.9 | +5.4 | 235.2 |
| ORL | 102.3 | 102.7 | -0.4 | 205.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | Under | HOU |
| -6.0 | 221.0 | 130-107 |
THE RUB
Harden lifted his NBA-best scoring average to 38.7 ppg with 55 in a 116-110 win at Cleveland on Wednesday.
The Magic entered Thursday ranked 2nd in scoring defense (102.7 ppg) and they held the Lakers roughly 18 points below their average in a 96-87 loss Wednesday night.
Magic C Nikola Vucevic (ankle) has missed 10 straight games but could return for this one.
Like Unders here and Houston ATS.
OUR PICK – HOUSTON -6.0
NEW ORLEANS @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500
- 0-7 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
76ERS TRENDS
- 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 home games.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500
- Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 overall.
- Over is 16-4-1 in last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Pelicans are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Brandon Ingram has 24+ points in 7 of his last 8 road games.
- J.J. Redick has 16+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the 76ers.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 6 | 19 | 4-9 | 2-10 |
| PHI | 19 | 7 | 13-0 | 6-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 112.7 | 119.8 | -7.1 | 232.5 |
| PHI | 109.6 | 103.5 | +6.1 | 213.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | UNDER | PHI |
| +9.5 | 222.5 | 116-109 |
THE RUB
Phiilly just got over the line last night in Boston after a pretty physical outing. Like the Pelicans to keep it within the margin.
Smalls stakes or stay away.
OUR PICK – NEW ORLEANS +9.5 & UNDER 222.5
INDIANA @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
PACERS TRENDS
- 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 after scoring 100+ points in their game game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following an ATS loss.
- 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in last 18 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Atlanta.
- Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.
- Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
| 0.11.19 | IND | ATL | 105 : 104 (94 : 94) |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
T.J. Warren has 19+ points in the Pacers’ last 8 road games against East teams.
-
Jabari Parker has 7+ rebounds in 6 of the Hawks’ last 7 games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 16 | 9 | 10-3 | 6-6 |
| ATL | 6 | 19 | 3-8 | 3-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| IND | 109.3 | 105.2 | +4.1 | 214.5 |
| ATL | 108.9 | 118.8 | -9.9 | 227.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | UNDER | IND |
| -6.0 | 224.0 | 110-100 |
THE RUB
The Hawks have dropped 13 of their past 15 games, while the Pacers are showing some form going 9-3 over their last 12.
The Pacers beat the Hawks 105-104 on Nov 29th at home, and have won 6-straight and 10 of their past 11 against Atlanta.
OUR PICK – INDIANA -6.0
CHARLOTTE @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
HORNETS TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 road vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
- 13-3 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .400.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 vs teams below .500.
BULLS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 13-29 ATS in last 42 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
- Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings.
- Hornets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 24.11.19 | CHA | CHI | 115 : 116 |
| 24.10.19 | CHA | CHI | 126 : 125 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Zach LaVine has 25+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games as favourites.
-
Lauri Markkanen has 24+ points in his 4 four games against the Hornets after not playing the previous day.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 11 | 16 | 6-8 | 5-8 |
| CHI | 9 | 17 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 106.0 | 112.7 | -6.7 | 218.7 |
| CHI | 106.6 | 108.3 | -1.7 | 214.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHA | OVER | CHA |
| +6.5 | 213.0 | 83-73 |
THE RUB
Chicago lost to the Warriors, Heat and Raptors by a total of 8 points before cruising to a 136-102 win in Atlanta, finally breaking through after some solid performances.
This is the 3rd of 4 meetings between these two during the regular season. Charlotte won at home 126-125 on Oct 23rd in the season opener for both teams. The teams met again in Charlotte on Nov 23rd, with the Bulls holding on for a 116-115 win.
OUR PICK – OVER 213.0
MILWAUKEE @ MEMPHIS
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- 30-13-1 ATS in last 44 games following a win of 10+ points.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 road vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games after a road trip of 7+ days.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 home vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 home games after a road trip of 7+ days.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Jonas Valanciunas has 16+ rebounds in each of his last 2 games at FedExForum.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 22 | 3 | 12-1 | 10-2 |
| MEM | 8 | 16 | 3-10 | 5-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 120.8 | 107.4 | +13.4 | 228.2 |
| MEM | 109.0 | 116.0 | -7.0 | 225.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | OVER | MIL |
| -8.5 | 228.0 | 127-114 |
THE RUB
Antetokounmpo (rest) missed the 127-112 win over the Pelicans on Wednesday and his teammates responded, racing to a 23-point halftime lead while matching the 2nd-longest winning streak in franchise history with 16-straight wins..
The Grizzlies are on a mini-streak of their own with back-to-back wins. Dillon Brooks scored 27 points to lead Memphis to a 115-108 win at Phoenix on Wednesday.
Milwaukee has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 overall and in 4 of its last 6 against Memphis.
OUR PICK – MILWAUKEE -8.5
GOLDEN STATE @ UTAH
TEAM TRENDS
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 11-4-1 in last 16 road vs teams with winning home records.
JAZZ TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a home favorite.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games following an ATS win.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 11-4-1 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Warriors are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 23.11.19 | UTA | GSW | 113 : 109 |
| 12.11.19 | GSW | UTA | 108 : 122 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Bojan Bogdanovic has scored the first basket in the Jazz’s last 4 games against Pacific teams.
-
Rudy Gobert has 14+ rebounds in the Jazz’s last 4 games against the Warriors.
-
Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 games at Vivint Smart Home Arena.
-
Glenn Robinson has 14+ points in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games as underdogs against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| GSW | 5 | 20 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
| UTA | 14 | 11 | 9-3 | 5-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| GSW | 104.6 | 113.8 | -9.2 | 218.4 |
| UTA | 106.7 | 106.4 | +0.3 | 213.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| GSW | OVER | UTAH |
| +13.5 | 210.5 | 114-106 |
THE RUB
Utah lost 6 of 8 and was coming off a 104-90 home loss to OKC when they turned the page by shooting 56.6% from the floor in a 127-116 win at Minnesota on Wednesday.
Despite their recent struggles, the Jazz are still a tough unit to contend with at home, fashioning a 9-3 record on home court.
The Jazz have failed ATS in 4 of their last 6 overall, and are just 3-5 ATS at home over their last 8.
Golden States are 5-21 overall ATS, but have covered the number in 5 of their last 9.
Utah too good tonight, but Total Points best.
OUR PICK – OVER 210.5
LA CLIPPERS @ MINNESOTA
TEAM TRENDS
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 21-9 ATS in last 30 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 20-9 in last 29 road vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as an underdog.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Clippers are 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Minnesota.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Kawhi Leonard has six rebounds or less in each of his last seven games at Target Center.
-
Paul George has 25+ points in five of his last six appearances against the Timberwolves.
-
Lou Williams has 20+ points in 10 of the Clippers’ last 11 road games against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 19 | 7 | 13-1 | 6-6 |
| MIN | 10 | 14 | 3-8 | 7-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAC | 115.0 | 107.7 | +7.3 | 222.7 |
| MIN | 114.6 | 117.8 | -3.2 | 232.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | OVER | LAC |
| -5.0 | 230.5 | 124-117 |
THE RUB
Kawhi made his triumphant return to Toronto and received his ring prior to the Clippers routed the Raptors 112-92.
Minnesota have lost their last 6-games and there struggles were evident during a 127-116 loss to the visiting Jazz on Wednesday.
The Clippers are riding a 3-game winning streak and have won 12 of the past 14 games.
The Timberwolves were 10-8 on Thanksgiving but are 10-14 now and have a big task ahead to avoid a 7th-straight loss. They are giving up 128.2 ppg during their losing streak.
The Timberwolves have won 7 of the past 10 meetings, but tonight it’s all about the Clips ATS, with trends heavily in favor.
OUR PICK – LA CLIPPERS -5.0
NEW YORK @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 road vs teams with winning home records.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 19-9-1 in last 29 overall.
- Under is 27-11-1 in last 39 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
KINGS TRENDS
- 10-2 ATS in last 12 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
- 15-4 ATS in last 19 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 11-4 in last 15 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Under is 16-7 in last 23 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 04.11.19 | NY | SAC | 92 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Hassan Whiteside has scored the 1st basket in his last 3 games in Denver.
- Carmelo Anthony has 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games in Denver.
- Nikola Jokic has 22+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 home games against Portland.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 4 | 20 | 3-10 | 1-10 |
| SAC | 10 | 13 | 5-4 | 5-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 100.0 | 111.1 | -11.1 | 211.1 |
| SAC | 105.7 | 108.9 | -3.2 | 214.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | OVER | NY |
| -8.0 | 208.5 | 103-101 |
THE RUB
New York snapped its 10-game losing streak last time out, but needed OT against the NBA’s worst team to do so, earning Mike Miller his first head coaching win at Golden State.
The Kings are winners of 3-straight and took the last 2 in dramatic fashion, with Bjelica burying a 3-pointer at the buzzer in Monday’s 119-118 win at Houston and Bogdanovic knocking down the go-ahead 3-pointer with 13.4 seconds left in Wednesday’s 94-93 win over OKC.
Sacramento took the last 4 in the series, including a 113-92 win at New York on Nov 3rd.
OUR PICK – SACRAMENTO -8.0
