9 GAMES – NBA FREE PICKS – 18/11/19

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


NBA PARLAY

  • Milwaukee @ Chicago – Milwaukee WIN – WIN
  • Charlotte @ Toronto – Over 215.0 – WIN
  • OKC @ LA Clippers – LA Clippers WIN – WIN

ODDS – $3.19


CLEVELAND @ NEW YORK

Cavaliers Trends

  • 19-6-1 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .400.
  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.

Knicks Trends

  • 22-46 ATS in last 68 home games.
  • 10-25 ATS in last 35 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams  below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 21-7 in last 28 home games.
  • Under is 36-16-1 in last 53 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Cleveland 4 8 2-4 2-4
New York 3 10 2-4 1-6

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Cleveland 104.4 107.7 -3.3
New York 100.2 109.2 -9.0

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Cleveland Over New York
+2.0 209.5 123-105

New York owns its only 2 wins this month over Dallas, but lost to Cleveland 108-87 on Nov 10th, and are yet to win 2 straight this season.

The Cavaliers have dropped 3 straight after falling behind by 22 points and allowing 67% shooting in the first half in a 114-95 loss to the 76ers at home Sunday.

This is a no-go for us. If you must, we’d lean to Overs

IF YOU MUST – Over 209.5


INDIANA @ BROOKLYN

Pacers Trends

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 13-6 in last 19 road games.

Nets Trends

  • 5-11 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Pacers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Pacers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Over is 41-19-1 in the last 61 meetings.
  • Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Indiana 7 6 5-2 2-4
Brooklyn 5 7 3-2 2-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Indiana 106.8 104.4 +2.4
Brooklyn 116.8 118.8 -2.0

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Indiana Over Indiana
+4.5 214.0 115-86

The Pacers won 7 of 8 before losing at Houston on Friday and failed to inspire at home in a loss to Milwaukee the next night.

Indiana lost Brogdon (back) and McConnell (groin) during Friday’s game and missed the pair’s offense end Saturday as the Pacers shot 32% from the floor in a 102-83 loss.

The Nets have their own injury concerns with Kyrie sitting out Saturday’s 117-111 win at Chicago to rest a shoulder injury.

Best to wait on Kyrie’s status, but trends favor the Pacers.

OUR PICK  – Indiana +4.5


CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO

Hornets Trends

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.

Raptors Trends

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
  • 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 home games.
  • 15-6-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
  • Hornets are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Toronto.
  • Hornets are 26-12 ATS in the last 38 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Charlotte 6 7 3-4 3-3
Toronto 8 4 4-0 4-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Charlotte 106.7 112.2 -5.5
Toronto 111.8 106.9 +4.9

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Charlotte Over Toronto
+9.0 215.0 132-96

The Raptors stumbled at the end of a 5-game road trip but get 7 of the next 9 at home. Toronto will begin that stretch tonight against the Hornets, who are winners of 2 straight.

Charlotte took 2 of the 3 meetings last season, including a 115-114 win in Toronto on March 24.

Both teams are covering the spread well and the trends lean to Overs.

OUR PICK  – Over 215.0


MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO

Bucks Trends

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs teams below .400.

Bulls Trends

  • 7-20 ATS in last 27 home games.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Bucks are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
  • Bucks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
  • Road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Milwaukee 9 3 3-1 6-2
Chicago 4 9 2-4 2-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Milwaukee 118.8 109.7 +9.1
Chicago 107.7 111.0 -3.3

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Over Milwuakee
-7.0 230.5 115-101

The Bucks have won the last 5 meetings, including 4 in Chicago.

OUR PICK – Milwaukee -7.0

PLAYER PROP – Giannis Over 14.5 Rebounds – Bulls are ranked 30th in Rebound efficiency and Giannis tallied 16 against them a few games back.


PORTLAND @ HOUSTON

Trail Blazers Trends

  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 0-3-2 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 15-7 in last 22 games vs teams above .600.

Rockets Trends

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in previous game.
  • Under is 34-16-3 in last 53 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Houston.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 5 8 1-4 4-4
Houston 10 3 5-1 5-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Portland 112.8 114.1 -1.3
Houston 118.5 114.2 +4.3

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Houston Under Houston
-6.5 231.5 132-108

The Rockets go for 8 tonight against the Blazers, who began off a 6-game trip with a win at San Antonio on Saturday.

Harden hoisted an NBA season-high 41 shots at Minnesota and finished with 49 points – his 3rd straight 40+ game. Harden’s average of 39.5 ppg leads the NBA.

OUR PICK  – Houston -6.5


SAN ANTONIO @ DALLAS

Spurs Trends

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.

Mavericks Trends

  • 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Spurs are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Underdog is 24-5 ATS in the last 29 meetings.
  • Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 5 8 4-4 1-4
Dallas 7 5 3-3 4-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
San Antonio 112.4 114.5 -2.1
Dallas 113.8 110.9 +2.9

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
San Antonio Under Dallas
+4.5 224.5 117-110

The Spurs suffered their 5th straight loss (longest in 8 years) and 7th in 8 games. They start a 4-game road trip tonight.

The Mavs outscored the Raptors by 15 points in the 2nd half en route to a 110-102 win Saturday.

DeRozan averaged 25 points and 7 assists as San Antonio swept 4 meetings last season.

OUR PICK  – Under 224.5


BOSTON @ PHOENIX

Celtics Trends

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 6-2-2 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

Suns Trends

  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games overall.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 home games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • 2-11 ATS in last 13 games playing on 3+ days rest.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.

Matchup Trends

  • Celtics are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Celtics are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 10 2 5-0 5-2
Phoenix 7 4 5-3 2-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Boston 113.8 105.8 +8.0
Phoenix 117.6 110.5 +7.1

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Boston Under Boston
+2.5 227.0 99-85

After opening the 5-game trip with a win at Golden State to extend their win streak to 10, the Celtics fell 100-99 at Sacramento on Sunday and fucked our parlay in the process.

Phoenix are having no issues offensively and beat Atlanta 128-112 on Thursday. Phoenix, which is 3-2 on its 6-game homestand, are averaging 127 ppg over their last 3.

Like Boston to keep it close.

OUR PICK  – Under 227.0


MINNESOTA @ UTAH

Timberwolves Trends

  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 road games.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
  • Over is 25-11-1 in last 37 vs teams above .500.

Jazz Trends

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 12-3 in last 15 overall.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Utah.
  • Road team is 19-8 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Minnesota 7 6 3-4 4-2
Utah 8 4 6-0 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Minnesota 116.2 118.5 -2.3
Utah 104.7 100.2 +4.5

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Minnesota Over Minnesota
+10.0 219.0 112-102

The Jazz saw their 4-game winning streak snapped in a 1-point loss at Memphis on Friday.

Minnesota capped a 1-2 homestand with a 20-point loss to Houston on Saturday while Andrew Wiggins sat out his 2nd straight game for personal reasons.

OUR PICK  – Minnesota +10.0


OKLAHOMA CITY @ LA CLIPPERS

Thunder Trends

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 34-16-1 in last 51 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games after scoring more than 125+ in previous game.

Clippers Trends

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 14-6 ATS in last 20 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in L.A..
  • Home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in L.A..

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 5 7 5-3 0-4
L.A. Clippers 8 5 7-1 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
OKC 107.1 107.1 +0.0
L.A. Clippers 114.5 108.0 +6.5

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Under LA Clippers
-8.5 222.0 90-88

Clippers fans are still waiting to see Paul George and Kawhi Leonard on the floor together.

George averaged 35 points in his first 2 games despite playing fewer than 25 minutes in each contest.

Total Points not out yet, we’ll wait until then to decide…

OUR PICK  – Under 222.0