TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS
*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
NBA TIPS TONIGHT
TONIGHT’S PARLAY –
- Denver @ Minnesota – Denver WIN – WIN
- Brooklyn @ Phoenix – Phoenix WIN – WIN
- Cleveland @ New York – Cleveland WIN – WIN
ODDS – $6.07
DENVER @ MINNESOTA
Nuggets Trends
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 9-3 in last 12 road games.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
T-Wolves Trends
- 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Denver | 6 | 2 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Minnesota | 5 | 3 | 2-1 | 3-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Denver | 103.8 | 100.6 | +3.2 |
| Minnesota | 117.8 | 118.8 | -1.0 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Denver | Under | Denver |
| -2.5 | 217.0 | 102-100 1OT |
THE RUB
Denver trailed by 21 points early in the 4th before outscoring Philly 35-13 and earning a 100-97 win – the 3rd straight game in which they held an opponent under 100 points, and their 3rd straight win.
The Timberwolves earned a 125-119 OT win over the Warriors to end a 2-game slide. The win marked the first of a stretch in which Minnesota will play seven of nine at home.
The -2.5 is good value for the Nuggets here. Too deep, and not expecting another 40 point outing from Wiggins.
Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.
OUR PICK – Denver -2.5
INDIANA @ ORLANDO
Pacers Trends
- 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 road games.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 12-5 in last 17 road games.
Magic Trends
- 14-6-1 ATS in last 21 home games.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in last 9 overall.
Matchup Trends
- Pacers are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.
- Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Indiana | 5 | 4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Orlando | 3 | 6 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Indiana | 109.3 | 106.3 | +3.0 |
| Orlando | 97.7 | 98.2 | -0.5 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Orlando | Under | Indiana |
| -3.0 | 203.5 | 109-102 |
THE RUB
Orlando leads the Eastern in OPPG, limiting opponents to just 98.2 points, but are last in scoring offense (97.7 points) and finally showed what they can do when the shots fell in a 118-86 win over Memphis on Friday.
The Pacers are winners of 5 of their last 6 and earned a 112-106 win on Friday over the Pistons – a team they lost to twice during an 0-3 start to the season.
Strong signs point to Unders.
OUR PICK – NO BET
CHARLOTTE @ PHILADELPHIA
Hornets Trends
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
76ers Trends
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Hornets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Charlotte | 4 | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Philadelphia | 5 | 3 | 2-0 | 3-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Charlotte | 105.8 | 113.1 | -7.3 |
| Philadelphia | 110.6 | 106.3 | +4.3 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Philadelphia | Under | Philadelphia |
| -13.0 | 215.0 | 114-106 |
THE RUB
After starting a 4-game trip with a one-point win at Portland, the Sixers lost at Phoenix, Utah and Denver, blowing a 21-point lead in the 4th quarter to fall to the Nuggets on Friday.
Charlotte led for most of Saturday night against the Pelicans at home before fading, losing 115-110. The 76ers have won the last 10 meetings, averaging 119.5 points in last season’s 4 matchups.
76ers run a high tempo and the young Hornets won’t slow it up.
Simmons (shoulder) will sit again tonight.
OUR PICK – Under 215.0
MILWAUKEE @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Bucks Trends
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Thunder Trends
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 35-15-1 last 51 games vs teams above .600.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Bucks are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Milwaukee | 6 | 3 | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| OKC | 4 | 5 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Milwaukee | 119.8 | 111.0 | +8.8 |
| OKC | 106.0 | 103.8 | +2.2 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | Over | Milwaukee |
| +6.5 | 222.0 | 121-119 |
THE RUB
Milwaukee will try to recover from a tough 103-100 buzzer-beater loss to the Jazz, and clinch a winning four-game road trip tonight.
The Thunder have won 3 of their last 4 after getting past Golden State 114-108 on Saturday in the opener of a two-game homestand.
Bucks are playing their 4th straight on the road, so we’ll take the Total Points here, -6.5 a bit too much for us.
OUR PICK – Over 222.0
CLEVELAND @ NEW YORK
Cavs Trends
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Knicks Trends
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 35-16-1 in last 52 overall.
- Under is 9-1-1 in last 11 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game.
Matchup Trends
- Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New York.
- Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Cleveland | 3 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| New York | 2 | 7 | 1-2 | 1-5 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Cleveland | 107.0 | 110.6 | -3.6 |
| New York | 100.6 | 109.4 | -8.8 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Cleveland | Over | Cleveland |
| +2.0 | 212.0 | 108-87 |
THE RUB
Knicks will try to build on their first road win of the season when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers, who have won 10 in a row at Madison Square Garden, their last loss in New York was on Jan. 30, 2014.
The Cavs have covered in 9 of their last 12 on the road vs opponent with a home winning percentage of below .400.
OUR PICK – Cleveland +2.0
BROOKLYN @ PHOENIX
Nets Trends
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
Suns Trends
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Nets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix.
- Nets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Brooklyn | 4 | 4 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Phoenix | 5 | 3 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Brooklyn | 120.8 | 119.6 | +1.2 |
| Phoenix | 114.1 | 108.6 | +5.5 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Phoenix | Over | Phoenix |
| -2.0 | 232.0 | 138-112 |
THE RUB
Brooklyn defense has been almost non-existent, letting Brandon Ingram to go off for 40 points against the Pelicans on Monday and giving Damian Lillard 60 on Friday, however the Nets found a win in both games with Irving averaging 36 points.
Should be plenty of points and some awful defense tonight.
OUR PICK – Phoenix WIN & Over 232.5
ATLANTA @ PORTLAND
Hawks Trends
- 10-3 ATS in last 13 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 16-7 in last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
- Under is 36-17 in last 53 games vs teams below .400.
Blazers Trends
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
- 0-3-2 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 9-2-1 in last 12 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 21-7-1 in last 29 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Portland.
- Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Atlanta | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Portland | 3 | 6 | 0-3 | 3-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Atlanta | 103.4 | 107.0 | -3.6 |
| Portland | 113.0 | 114.8 | -1.8 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Atlanta | Under | Portland |
| +9.0 | 228.5 | 124-113 1OT |
THE RUB
Portland look for their first home win tonight, but at least Lillard is putting on a show for the fans, dropping 60 on 19-of-33 shooting and a perfect 15-of-15 from the free-throw line last out in a 119-115 loss to Brooklyn.
Atlanta is 27th in the NBA in scoring at 103.4 points but rank 10th in points allowed at 107.
OUR PICK – Under 228.5 (107-107 end of regulation)
TORONTO @ LA LAKERS
Raptors Trends
- 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 games overall.
- 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .600.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Lakers Trends
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
Matchup Trends
- Raptors are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Raptors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in LA.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Toronto | 6 | 2 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| L.A. Lakers | 7 | 1 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Toronto | 115.5 | 108.1 | +7.4 |
| L.A. Lakers | 109.0 | 98.5 | +10.5 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LA Lakers | Under | Toronto |
| -9.5 | 216.5 | 113-104 |
THE RUB
LA turned in their finest outing of the young season holding Miami to 35% shooting, including 6-of-35 from 3-point range, in Friday’s 95-80 win.
The injury-riddled Raptors will be missing Serge Ibaka out with a sprained ankle and Kyle Lowry out with a fractured thumb. Ibaka and Lowry were both hurt on Friday during a 122-104 win over the Pelicans as Pascal Siakam picked up the slack with 44 points.
Toronto owns a 9-game winning streak in the series, including 4 in a row at LA, but things are different tonight.
OUR PICK – LA Lakers -9.5
