FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 41-25
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
UTAH @ HOUSTON
The Rockets are experimenting with the small ball lineup, and with that lack of height should come plenty of glass to clean tonight for Rudy Gobert, and a few extra points along the way.
Gobert now ranks fourth in the NBA with 39 double-doubles on the season and tipping that he’ll eclipse the 16.5 point line tonight.
DP’S PICK – RUDY GOBERT OVER 16.5 POINTS
PARLAY
PARLAY
- NEW YORK @ ATLANTA – ATLANTA WIN
- MEMPHIS @ WASHINGTON – MEMPHIS WIN
- UTAH @ HOUSTON – UTAH +4.0
- MIAMI @ PORTLAND – PORTLAND WIN
PARLAY ODDS – $9.91 – WIN
PLAYER PROPS (RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES)
- UTAH @ HOUSTON – RUDY GOBERT OVER 16.5 POINTS (RESULT – 12 POINTS)
- UTAH @ HOUSTON – DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 23.5 POINTS (RESULT – 24 POINTS)
- BOSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY – DENNIS SCHRODER OVER 20.5 POINTS (RESULT – 22 POINTS)
PARLAY ODDS – $6.95 – WIN
TREND BET
MIAMI @ PORTLAND
HEAT TRENDS
- Over is 9-1-1 in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 20-9 in last 29 overall.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 road games.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- Over is 10-1 in Blazers last 11 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 36-14-1 in last 51 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 228.0
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
BOSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY
TEAM TRENDS
CELTICS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Under is 20-8 in last 28 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
THUNDER TRENDS
- 16-6 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 40-15-1 in last 56 games as an underdog.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Dennis Schroder has 21+ points in eight of the Thunder’s last 9 games. (19.5)
- Jayson Tatum has 28+ points in each of the Celtics’ last 3 games. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 36 | 15 | 22-5 | 14-10 |
| OKC | 32 | 20 | 17-10 | 15-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 112.7 | 105.4 | +7.3 | 218.1 |
| OKC | 110.5 | 107.7 | +2.8 | 218.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | OVER | BOS |
| -1.5 | 212.0 | 112-111 |
Two of the hottest teams face off in the early game.
The Thunder have won 4-straight and 9 of 10 after Friday’s 108-101 win over the Pistons, while the picked up a sixth straight win Friday against Atlanta.
Neither teams did anything over the trade period.
Unders trending but the 212.5 is too low for us.
PICK – OVER 212.0
NEW YORK @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 7-1-1 in last 9 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 8-3-1 in last 12 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 10-3 in last 13 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Atlanta.
- Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Knicks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.12.19 | NY | ATL | 143 : 120 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Elfrid Payton has 9+ assists in each of his last 4 games against the Hawks. (8.5)
- Reggie Bullock has 13+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Hawks. (10.5)
- Elfrid Payton has 7+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games. (5.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 17 | 36 | 8-18 | 9-18 |
| ATL | 14 | 39 | 8-17 | 6-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 104.4 | 111.2 | -6.8 | 215.6 |
| ATL | 109.4 | 118.2 | -8.8 | 227.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | OVER | ATL |
| -3.5 | 226.0 | 140-135 2OT |
The Knicks have won a season-high 4 straight after beating the Pistons 95-92 on Saturday. New York cleaned up on rebounds with a 47-28 advantage.
Knicks pulled out the W last night, but looked awful in the process.
PICK – ATLANTA WIN & OVER 226.0
CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams above .500.
76ERS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs teams with a road winning % over .400.
- Over is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bulls are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.01.20 | PHI | CHI | 100 : 89 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Ben Simmons has 11+ rebounds in each of his last 3 home games against the Bulls. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 19 | 34 | 11-16 | 8-18 |
| PHI | 32 | 21 | 23-2 | 9-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHI | 106.2 | 109.0 | -2.8 | 215.2 |
| PHI | 108.4 | 106.2 | +2.2 | 214.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | UNDER | PHI |
| -11.0 | 213.0 | 118-111 |
The 76ers have been better at home and proved as much again on Friday, returning from an 0-4 road trip to post a 119-107 win over the Grizzlies.
The Bulls are slumping also and let the losing streak reach 4-straight with a 125-119 home loss against New Orleans on Thursday.
PICK – PHILADELPHIA -11.0
MEMPHIS @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
- Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 15.12.19 | MEM | WAS | 128 : 111 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Bradley Beal has 34+ points in 7 of the Wizards’ last 8 games. (33.5)
- Davis Bertans has 18+ points in each of his last four home games against Western opponents. (15.5)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 3 or more three-pointers in 6 of his last 8 road games. (2.5)
- Ja Morant has recorded 10+ assists in 5 of his last 7 road games against Eastern opponents. (7.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 26 | 26 | 15-13 | 11-13 |
| WAS | 18 | 32 | 12-12 | 6-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.2 | 114.9 | -1.7 | 228.1 |
| WAS | 115.8 | 120.7 | -4.9 | 236.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | OVER | MEM |
| -1.5 | 240.0 | 106-99 |
Bradley Beal had a string of 7-straight games scoring 30+ end on Friday, but he did manage to lead the Wizards to a win with a driving layup winner with 0.2 remaining.
The Grizzlies won six of seven before falling 119-107 at Philadelphia on Friday, dropping their road record to 11-13.
PICK – MEMPHIS WIN
UTAH @ HOUSTON
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 10-2 in last 12 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 overall.
HOUSTON TRENDS
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games after allowing 125+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
SEASON SERIES
| 28.01.20 | UTA | HOU | 117 : 126 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 30+ points in 10 of his last 12 games. (28.5)
- Rudy Gobert has 12 points or less in each of the Jazz’s last 5 games against the Rockets. (16.5)
- Bojan Bogdanovic has 4 or more three-pointers in each of the Jazz’s last four road games. (3.5)
- Donovan Mitchell has 30+ points in each of the Jazz’s last 3 games as underdogs against Western opponents. (23.5)
- James Harden has 9+ rebounds in each of the Rockets’ last 3 home games. (7.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 33 | 18 | 19-5 | 14-13 |
| HOU | 33 | 19 | 18-7 | 15-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 110.9 | 107.0 | +3.9 | 217.9 |
| HOU | 118.3 | 114.7 | +3.6 | 233.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | OVER | UTA |
| +4.0 | 232.5 | 114-113 |
The Rockets are experimenting with small-ball and are going through entire games without any player taller than 6-7 taking the floor. That strategy took a hit in a blowout loss at Phoenix and they will find Rudy Gobert and the Utah Jazz tough tonight.
The Jazz are coming off a controversial 117-114 win over Portland that snapped a 6-game slide and finished with Gobert blocking Damian Lillard at the rim, though Lillard and the Blazers believed it should have been called goaltending. (We agree)
Utah to get it done.
PICK – UTAH +4.0
LA CLIPPERS @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs teams with a home winning % below .400.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 games vs teams below .400.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 6-13 ATS in last 19 games vs teams above .500.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Clippers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Cleveland.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
- Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 15.01.20 | LAC | CLE | 128 : 103 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Paul George has 29+ points in four of his last 5 road games against the Cavaliers. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 36 | 16 | 22-5 | 14-11 |
| CLE | 13 | 39 | 6-21 | 7-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAC | 115.5 | 110.1 | +5.4 | 225.6 |
| CLE | 106.0 | 114.8 | -8.8 | 220.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CLE | OVER | LAC |
| +8.0 | 231.5 | 133-92 |
The Clippers saw a 3-game streak come to an end in spectacular fashion in a 142-115 loss to the Suns.
The Cavaliers’ latest losing streak is at 5 games following a 109-103 loss at OKC on Wednesday.
PICK – CLEVELAND + 8.0
MIAMI @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
HEAT TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- Over is 9-1-1 in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 20-9 in last 29 overall.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 road games.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 10-1 in Blazers last 11 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 36-14-1 in last 51 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 06.01.20 | MIA | POR | 122 : 111 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- C.J. McCollum has 23+ points in each of the Blazers’ last 6 home games against Southeast opponents. (20.5)
- Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in each of the Heat’s last 4 road games against Western opponents. (19.5)
- Damian Lillard has 19 points or less in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 games against the Heat at Moda Center. (32.5)
- Goran Dragic has 23+ points in each of his last 3 games against the Blazers. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 34 | 17 | 22-3 | 12-14 |
| POR | 24 | 29 | 14-11 | 10-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 111.9 | 108.2 | +3.7 | 220.1 |
| POR | 113.5 | 115.0 | -1.5 | 228.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | OVER | POR |
| -3.0 | 228.0 | 115-109 |
The Heat made one of the bigger moves of the trade deadline bringing in vet Andre Iguodala from the Grizzlies and are hoping to have him available tonight.
Iguodala has yet to play this season and will go through practice on Saturday and shoot-around Sunday before the team makes a decision on his availability.
Miami is riding a 3-game winning streak in the series, including a 122-111 home win on Jan. 5th.
PICK – PORTLAND -4.0
