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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, EXCLUSIVE to The Midfield Subscribers.
ORLANDO @ WASHINGTON
“Evan Fournier is coming off a season high 32 points and is presented with a 
suitable match up to continue this form against the Wizards who are conceding 122.7 ppg.
Fournier has previously dropped 25 on the Wizards (in a 125-121 win) and with Nikola Vucevic sidelined, the 6’7 guard will continue to be Orlando’s number 1 option on offense.”
BEST BET – EVAN FOURNIER OVER 20.5 POINTS
TREND BET
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO
- 5-16 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 games after allowing more than 125+ points in last game.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
HOUSTON
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 8-0 ATS in last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight win.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 after allowing 100+ points in last game.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
BEST BET – HOUSTON -3.0
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
PISTONS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 8-21-1 ATS in last 30 games overall.
- 5-15-2 ATS in last 22 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 10-1 in last 11 games after scoring 125+ points in last game.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 20-7-1 ATS in last 28 vs teams below .400.
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 10-4 in last 14 games playing on 3+ days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
- Home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Pistons are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Luke Kennard has 16+ points in the Pistons’ last 4 games.
- Kevin Love has 13+ rebounds in 5 of the Cavaliers’ last 6 games against Central teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 7 | 13 | 6-4 | 1-9 |
| CLE | 5 | 14 | 3-7 | 2-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 108.2 | 108.7 | -0.5 | 216.9 |
| CLE | 104.7 | 112.1 | -7.4 | 216.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DET | Under | DET |
| -2.5 | 216.5 | 127-94 |
THE RUB
Cleveland have lost 3-straight and 9 of its past 10 games. The Cavaliers haven’t played since Friday, when they lost to Milwaukee 119-110.
Detroit won the four-game series 3-1 last season, including a 129-93 win in Cleveland on March 2.
OUR PICK – DETROIT -2.5
ORLANDO @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
MAGIC TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 0-8 ATS in last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 home games.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 after scoring 100+ points in last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
- Magic are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Washington.
- Magic are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.11.19 | ORL | WAS | 125 : 121 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Markelle Fultz has 14+ points in the Magic’s last 4 games.
- Aaron Gordon has 9+ rebounds in the Magic’s last 4 games against the Wizards.
- Bradley Beal has 30+ points in 4 of the Wizards’ last 5 games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 8 | 11 | 7-4 | 1-7 |
| WAS | 6 | 12 | 3-4 | 3-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ORL | 101.0 | 101.9 | -0.9 | 202.9 |
| WAS | 118.8 | 122.7 | -3.9 | 241.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | Under | ORL |
| +2.0 | 227.5 | 127-120 |
THE RUB
It’s high scoring vs low scoring in this one.
These two teams met on Nov. 17 in Orlando in a game played at the Wizards’ pace. The Magic used a season-high-tying 15 3-pointers to produce a season-high point total in a 125-121 win.
Despite that, Orlando were limited to 100 points or less for the 4th time in its past 6 games.
The Wizards haven’t held anybody below 113 points in their last 12 games, recently arriving home from a 4-game West trip in which their opposition averaged 131.0 ppg.
Washington is 2nd in the East in offense (118.8 points) but last in defense (122.7 ppg).
The Magic are last in the NBA in scoring average (101.3 points) but can make up for that on the defensive end.
Tough one to pick due to the contrasts.
OUR PICK – NO BET
IF YOU MUST – ORLANDO +2.0
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in last game.
- 14-3-1 ATS in last 18 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 11-2 in last 13 v teams below .400.
- Over is 9-2 in last 11 vs. West teams.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 road games.
- Over is 13-5 in last 18 overall.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in New Orleans.
- Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.10.19 | NOR | DAL | 116 : 123 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Luka Doncic has 33+ points in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 road games.
- Brandon Ingram has 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against Southwest teams.
- Jrue Holiday has 7+ assists in 5 of the Pelicans’ last 6 home games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 13 | 6 | 6-4 | 7-2 |
| NOR | 6 | 14 | 4-6 | 2-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| DAL | 117.8 | 109.8 | +8.0 | 227.6 |
| NOR | 114.5 | 118.9 | -4.4 | 233.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | Under | DAL |
| -3.5 | 233.5 | 118-97 |
THE RUB
Dallas hold the edge all statistical categories in this one.
The Mavs look for their 8th win in their last 9 games tonight. Dallas are a solid 7-2 on the road, including Sunday’s upset 114-100 win over the Lakers (snapping LA’s 10-game streak).
New Orleans have lost 5-straight, including both ends of a back-to-back against OKC by a combined 8 points.
Can’t go past the Mavs here.
OUR PICK – DALLAS WIN
MIAMI @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
HEAT TRENDS
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 vs. East teams.
- 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 after scoring 100+ points in last game.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 25-4 ATS in last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 vs teams above .500.record.
- 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 vs teams above .600.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games following a win of 10+ points.
- 21-7-1 ATS in last 29 games overall.
- 18-7-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 20-7 in last 27 games after scoring 125+ points in last game.
- Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
- Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
- Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Pascal Siakam has 25+ points in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 games.
- Jimmy Butler has 22+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Raptors.
- Bam Adebayo has 11+ rebounds in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 road games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 14 | 5 | 8-0 | 6-5 |
| TOR | 15 | 4 | 9-0 | 6-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 111.4 | 105.1 | +6.3 | 216.5 |
| TOR | 113.3 | 104.2 | +9.1 | 217.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | Over | MIA |
| -4.5 | 213.0 | 121-110 1OT |
THE RUB
The Raptors are 9-0 at home and will try to make it 10 in a row tonight against a Heat team that are surprising a few.
The Raptors strolled to a 130-110 win over Utah on Sunday to start a 3-game homestand and have won their last 5 at home by an average of 21 ppg.
The Heat are also unbeaten at home and pulled to 6-5 on the road by holding off the Nets in a 109-106 win on Sunday.
OUR PICK – TORONTO WIN
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 8-0 ATS in last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight win.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 after allowing 100+ points in last game.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in last 8 games after scoring 125+ points in last game.
- Under is 20-7 in last 27 road games.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
SPURS TRENDS
- 5-16 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 games after allowing more than 125+ points in last game.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Rockets are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- DeMar DeRozan has 20+ points in 9 of the past 11 games.
- Russell Westbrook has 9+ rebounds in his last 9 games against the Spurs.
- P.J. Tucker has 10+ points in 4 of the Rockets’ last 5 games against Southwest teams.
- James Harden has 8+ assists in 8 of the Rockets’ last 9 road games against the Spurs.
- Clint Capela has 17+ points in 3 of his last 4 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 13 | 6 | 8-2 | 5-4 |
| SAS | 7 | 14 | 5-6 | 2-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| HOU | 120.3 | 114.5 | +5.8 | 234.8 |
| SAS | 110.9 | 115.1 | -4.2 | 226.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | Under | SAS |
| -3.0 | 226.5 | 135-133 2OT |
THE RUB
Harden is coming his 4th career 60-point game, tied with Michael Jordan for the 3rd-most 60-point games in NBA history. He trails only Wilt Chamberlain (32) and Kobe Bryant (6).
The Spurs fell to 7-14 following Sunday’s 132-98 loss in Detroit. That loss was San Antonio’s 11th over their last 13 games, and they are a poor 3-10 ATS over their last 13, and just 2-5 at home.
Houston the heavy favorites ATS here.
OUR PICK – HOUSTON -3.0
LA LAKERS @ DENVER
TEAM TRENDS
LAKERS TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 vs. West teams.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 24-9 in last 33 after scoring 100+ points in last game.
- Under is 40-19 in last 59 vs. West teams.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 13-5 ATS in last 18 home vs teams with winning road records.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 22-8 in last 30 home games.
- Under is 22-8 in last 30 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 21-9 in last 30 games following an ATS loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Denver.
- Over is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings.
- Lakers are 7-17 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
- Lakers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Will Barton has 15+ points in the Nuggets’ last 9 home games.
- Kyle Kuzma has 13+ points in his 6 games against the Nuggets.
- Nikola Jokic has 13+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 4 home games against Pacific teams.
- Anthony Davis has 27+ points in 6 of his last 8 games against the Nuggets.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 17 | 3 | 9-2 | 8-1 |
| DEN | 13 | 4 | 8-2 | 5-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| LAL | 112.2 | 104.1 | +8.1 | 216.3 |
| DEN | 106.7 | 101.8 | +4.9 | 208.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | Over | LAL |
| -2.0 | 208.0 | 105-96 |
THE RUB
The West leaders meet tonight in the game of the night.
The Lakers were streaking with 10-straight wins before losing at home the Mavericks on Sunday. Denver was also streaking, having won 6-straight and 10 of 11 before blowing a 14-point 4th-quarter lead in Sacramento on Saturday, eventually losing in OT.
The Nuggets have relied largely on their defense, which is ranked No. 1 in the NBA (101.8 points against per game). But they also can get scoring from different areas. Five players are averaging double figures in scoring, led by guard Jamal Murray at 18.5 ppg.
The Lakers have lost 8 of their last 10 visits to the thin air of Denver.
OUR PICK – OVER 208.0
PORTLAND @ LA CLIPPERS
TEAM TRENDS
TRAILBLAZERS TRENDS
- 11-3 ATS in last 14 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- 1-4-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games following a straight win.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 after allowing 100+ points in last game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 35-16 in last 51 vs teams above .600.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games following a straight win.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
- Trail Blazers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in L.A..
- Road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 08.11.19 | LAC | POR | 107 : 101 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Rodney Hood has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Trail Blazers’ last 4 games.
- Kawhi Leonard has 27+ points his last 7 home games against Northwest teams.
- Carmelo Anthony has 18+ points in 4 of the Trail Blazers’ last 5 games.
- Paul George has 26+ points in 8 of his last 9 games against the Trail Blazers.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 8 | 12 | 3-4 | 5-8 |
| LAC | 15 | 6 | 12-1 | 3-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
| POR | 113.6 | 114.7 | -1.1 | 228.3 |
| LAC | 115.4 | 108.3 | +7.1 | 223.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | Under | LAC |
| +9.0 | 231.0 | 117-97 |
THE RUB
Carmelo Anthony is fitting in better than we’d expected in these early stages, averaging 17.7 ppg in 6 games, and dropping 22.3 ppg during the Trail Blazers 3-game winning streak.
Kawhi tallied 27 points and 13 rebounds in the Clippers 107-101 home win over Portland on Nov. 7th.
Like Unders here, not counting out the Trail Blazers to keep it respectable.
OUR PICK – Under 231.0
