7 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 17/1/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 29-19

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

CLEVELAND @ MEMPHIS

The Memphis Grizzlies are flat sticking balling right now and they’ll catch the Cavaliers who are playing their 5th straight road game.

JV is an integral piece in the infrastructure of Memphis offensively speaking and has totaled 16+ points in 3 straight fixtures.

Last time these two teams met, JV dropped a modest 14 points on 50% on the floor but since then his production across the board has increased by 25%.

He can shoot the 3, get on the glass with put-backs and has deft touch around the ring.

Whilst Thompson presents a tricky match up, JV can topple him over the course of a game.

DP’S PICK – JONAS VALANCIUNAS OVER 15.5 POINTS

TREND BET

CLEVELAND @ MEMPHIS

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 games following a straight loss.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 11-4 in last 15 road games.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 9-2 in last 11 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.

TREND BET – OVER 229.0

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

MINNESOTA @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .500.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 9-2 in last 11 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 13-6-1 in last 20 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
16.01.20 MIN IND 99 : 104

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Andrew Wiggins has 17 points or less in the Timberwolves’ last 6 games against the Pacers. (18.5)
  • T.J. Warren has 20+ points in 5 of the Pacers’ last 6 games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 15 25 6-13 9-12
IND 26 15 16-5 10-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 111.3 114.5 -3.2 225.8
IND 109.2 106.1 +3.1 215.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND OVER IND
-7.5 216.5 116-114

The Pacers are the better team in most major stats categories and should impose themselves at home against a T-Wolves team that is struggling with injuries.

The Pacers have lost the 1st quarter in their last five games as favorites.

OUR PICK  – INDIANA -7.5

CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BULLS TRENDS

  • 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
  • 0-5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.

76ERS TRENDS

  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 12-5-1 in last 18 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Philadelphia.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lauri Markkanen has 14 points or less in the Bulls’ last 5 games. (15.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 30+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games. (26.5)
  • Ben Simmons has 11+ assists in 3 of the 76ers’ last 4 home games against Eastern Conference teams. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 15 27 8-14 7-13
PHI 26 16 19-2 7-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHI 106.0 107.7 -1.7 213.7
PHI 109.1 105.7 +3.4 214.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHI UNDER PHI
+7.5 217.5 100-89

The 76ers go for their 20th win in 22 home games tonight, and improved to 19-2 at home with Wednesday’s 117-106 win over the Nets.

The Bulls are 3-7 in their last 10 games and 15-27 overall, most recently beating the Wizards 115-106 on Wednesday.

Unders best with both ranking in the top 10 defensively.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 217.5

WASHINGTON @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WIZARDS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 15-31-1 ATS in last 47 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs team sabove .600.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 games vs teams below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Wizards are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
21.12.19 TOR WAS 122 : 118

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bradley Beal has 28+ points in 5 of the Wizards’ last 6 games against the Raptors. (23.5)
  • Pascal Siakam has 30+ points in 3 of his last 4 games with the Raptors as home favorites against Eastern Conference teams. (21.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 13 27 8-11 5-16
TOR 26 14 14-7 12-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
WAS 114.6 119.8 -5.2 234.4
TOR 110.8 105.6 +5.2 216.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER TOR
-10.0 229.0 140-111

Toronto are as close to full strength as they’ve been in over a month with Gasol back in the and it shot 61.2% from the floor and had 7 scorers in double figures in a 130-121 win over the Thunder.

Pascal Siakam (groin), Norman Powell (shoulder) and Gasol are now all back, and the 3 shook off the rust going a combined 24-of-35 from the floor and 7 of-10 from beyond the arc against the Thunder.

Sneak into Overs

OUR PICK  – OVER 229.0

CLEVELAND @ MEMPHIS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
  • 7-16 ATS in last 23 games following a straight loss.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 games following a straight loss.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 11-4 in last 15 road games.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 12-3-1 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 9-2 in last 11 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
21.12.19 CLE MEM 114 : 107

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kevin Love has 20+ points in his last 4 games against the Grizzlies. (18.5)
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has 23+ points in 5 of the Grizzlies’ last 6 games against Central Division teams. (17.5)
  • Ja Morant has 22+ points in 3 of the Grizzlies’ last 4 games. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 12 29 6-14 6-15
MEM 19 22 11-12 8-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 104.9 114.0 -9.1 218.9
MEM 113.6 115.9 -2.3 229.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM OVER MEM
-8.0 229.0 113-109

The Grizzlies are hot look to extend their streak to 7 tonight and have posted four 10+ point wins during the streak, including a big 121-110 win over the visiting Rockets on Tuesday.

The Grizzlies are fast-paced team averaging 126.2 ppg during a winning streak, a far cry from the grit’n’grind team of the past few years.

The Cavs have lost 7 of their last 9 and were smashed twice at Staples – 29 points to the Lakers and 25 to the Clippers.

Collin Sexton scored 25 points in Tuesday’s 128-103 loss to the Clippers and has at least 20 in 11 of the past 17 games.

OUR PICK  – OVER 229.0

MIAMI @ OKLAHOMA CITY

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

  • 5-2-1 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 10-2 in last 12 games following a straight win.
  • Under is 8-2 in Hat last 10 vs teams above .500.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • 12-4 ATS in last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Heat are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Danilo Gallinari has 20+ points in his last 8 games at Chesapeake Energy Arena. (18.5)
  • Bam Adebayo has 5+ assists in the Heat’s last 6 games against Western Conference teams. (4.5)
  • Kendrick Nunn has 13 points or less in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 road games against Western Conference teams. (14.5)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 27+ points in the Thunder’s last 3 Friday games. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 28 12 18-1 10-11
OKC 23 18 13-8 10-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIA 111.6 107.8 +3.8 219.4
OKC 109.4 107.9 +1.5 217.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC OVER MIA
-1.0 216.0 115-108
OKC have won 12 of 16 games but fell into a 30-point hole in the first half against the Raptors on Wednesday and couldn’t overcome the deficit while allowing Toronto to shoot 61.2% from the floor in a 130-121 loss.
The Heat improved to 18-1 at home with a 106-100 win over the Spurs but are just 10-11 on the road.
OKC to get it done at home tonight. Small stake.

OUR PICK  – OKLAHOMA CITY -1.0 & OVER 216.0

ATLANTA @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 4-13 ATS in last 17 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games.

SPURS TRENDS

  • 8-20 ATS in last 28 home games.
  • 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a favorite.
  • 5-17 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. teams below .400.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 5-14-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
06.11.19 ATL SAS 108 : 100

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Trae Young has 36+ points in 3 of his last 4 games with the Hawks as underdogs. (29.5)
  • DeMar DeRozan has 25+ points in the Spurs’ last 7 games. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 9 32 5-14 4-18
SAS 17 22 11-9 6-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ATL 107.4 116.9 -9.5 224.3
SAS 113.6 114.8 -1.2 228.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS UNDER ATL
-8.0 230.5 121-120

The Spurs have won each of their last 21 home games against the Hawks.

The Hawks look to end a 21-game losing streak in San Antonio and have lost by double digits 15 times during the drought, last winning in the San Antonio on Feb. 15th, 1997.

The Hawks own the 2nd-worst record in the league so it’s hard to see them breaking the trend on this visit, particularly since they are just 4-18 on the road.

Spurs win and also like the Unders.

OUR PICK  – SAN ANTONIO -8.0 & UNDER 230.5

PORTLAND @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games overall.
  • 3-10-2 ATS in last 15 games vs teams above .600.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 10-2 in last 12 road games.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .500.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 10-3-2 ATS in last 15 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 13-6 in last 19 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Trail Blazers are 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
  • Trail Blazers are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
  • Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Dallas.
  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
28.10.19 DAL POR 119 : 121

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic has 27 points or less in the Mavericks’ last 7 home games against Western Conference teams. (29.5)
  • C.J. McCollum has 24+ points in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 games as underdogs against Southwest Division teams. (22.5)
  • Hassan Whiteside has 16+ rebounds in 5 of the Blazers’ last 5 road games. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 18 24 9-10 9-14
DAL 26 15 12-10 14-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
POR 111.7 113.6 -1.9 225.3
DAL 116.6 109.3 +7.3 225.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER DAL
+5.5 226.5 120-112

Doncic will look to follow up his 12th triple-double of the season and 20th of his career tonight and he’s the reason Dallas has a sweet 26-15 record at the midway point of the season.

Lillard scored 25 points on Wednesday as Portland notched one of its best wins of the season, 117-107 over the host Rockets, holding Harden to a season-low 13 points

Despite 2-straight wins, the Trail Blazers are still 6 games below .500.

Like the Blazers to keep it close, with the Mavs 5/5 over their last 10, with those wins against the Nets, Bulls, 76ers, Warriors and Kings.

OUR PICK  – OVER 226.5

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR