FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 36-23
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
MEMPHIS @ NEW ORLEANS
Last night Donovan Mitchell spewed up an absolute shocker and cost us the last leg of our parlay and the player prop bet.
Not even registering a point until the last quarter, he went 1-12 from the floor on his way to 4 points. Not even mad, that was a huge outlier.
Tonight we are on the Ball train.
Lonzo has 11+ assists in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 games at Smoothie King Center and averages 9.9 apg over the last 3 weeks, with 10+ assists in 6 of his last 10 games.
Ball’s minutes remain 30+ and he has etched a solid role in this New Orleans team as a distributor alongside the scoring power of Holiday, Ingram and Zion.
DP’S PICK – LONZO BALL OVER 7.5 ASSISTS – WIN
NBA TREND BET
TORONTO @ DETROIT
RAPTORS TRENDS
- Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.
- Over is 16-5 in Raptors last 21 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 overall.
PISTONS TRENDS
- Over is 16-5 in Pistons last 21 overall.
- Over is 20-7 in Pistons last 27 home games.
- Over is 20-9 in Pistons last 29 games vs teams above .600.
TREND BET – OVER 222.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
TORONTO @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.
- Over is 16-5 in Raptors last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 overall.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 18-40-1 ATS in their last 59 games overall.
- 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 16-5 in Pistons last 21 overall.
- Over is 20-7 in Pistons last 27 home games.
- Over is 20-9 in Pistons last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
SEASON SERIES
| 19.12.19 | DET | TOR | 99 : 112 |
| 31.10.19 | TOR | DET | 125 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Rose has 22+ points in each of his last 7 appearances in night games. (21.5)
- Andre Drummond has 17+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 appearances against the Raptors. (15.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 20+ points in each of the Raptors’ last five games against Central opponents. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 33 | 14 | 17-7 | 16-7 |
| DET | 17 | 31 | 9-16 | 8-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| TOR | 112.4 | 106.2 | +6.2 | 218.6 |
| DET | 109.2 | 111.3 | -2.1 | 220.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | Over | TOR |
| -5.0 | 223.0 | 105-92 |
THE RUB
The Raptors are shooting for their 10th straight but it will be on the second leg of a B2B. Dangerous for them with Gasol out, safe to take the over.
OUR PICK – Over 223.0
CHICAGO @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
- 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
NETS TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
- 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Bulls are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 17.11.19 | CHI | BKN | 111 : 117 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Taurean Prince has 12+ points in 7 of the Nets’ last 8 home games. (11.5)
- Zach LaVine has 25 points or less in 5 of the Bulls’ last 6 games. (29.5)
- Kris Dunn has 14+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Nets. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 19 | 30 | 11-15 | 8-15 |
| BKN | 19 | 26 | 11-12 | 8-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHI | 105.7 | 107.7 | -2.0 | 213.4 |
| BKN | 109.4 | 111.9 | -2.5 | 221.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | Over | BKN |
| -5.5 | 220.5 | 133-118 |
THE RUB
The Nets have only managed to beat the Pistons of late but we all know the kind of rubbish the Bulls put up. Irving and LaVine snubbed from the All Star game, lets see if they host a shootout.
OUR PICK – Over 220.5
DALLAS @ HOUSTON
TEAM TRENDS
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite.
- 19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 road games.
- 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 road games.
- Under is 9-4 in Mavericks last 13 games playing on 2 days rest.
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 7-3 in Rockets last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.11.19 | HOU | DAL | 123 : 137 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 30+ points in eight of his last 9 games. (28.5)
- James Harden has 29 points or less in each of his last four games. (31.5)
- Kristaps Porzingis has 12+ rebounds in each of the Mavericks’ last 4 games with Luka Doncic out. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 29 | 18 | 13-12 | 16-6 |
| HOU | 29 | 17 | 15-7 | 14-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DAL | 116.1 | 110.0 | +6.1 | 226.1 |
| HOU | 118.7 | 114.3 | +4.4 | 233.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | Over | HOU |
| +8.5 | 239.5 | 128-121 |
THE RUB
Even with Doncic likely out, we have seen this Dallas team before still look to cover with their massive amount of depth. The Rockets will take this opportunity to get some ground on their conference rival, but the Mavericks to keep it close.
OUR PICK – Dallas +8.5
MEMPHIS @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
- 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Grizzlies last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
- Over is 11-1 in Pelicans last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 13-3 in Pelicans last 16 overall.
- Over is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.01.20 | MEM | NOR | 116 : 126 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Favors has 11+ points in each of his last 7 home games against Southwest opponents. (10.5)
- Ja Morant has 22+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games as underdogs against Western opponents. (17.5)
- Lonzo Ball has 11+ assists in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 games at Smoothie King Center. (7.5)
- Dillon Brooks has 22+ points in each of the Grizzlies’ last 3 games against Southwest opponents. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 23 | 24 | 14-13 | 9-11 |
| NOR | 19 | 29 | 9-15 | 10-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.3 | 115.4 | -2.1 | 228.7 |
| NOR | 114.7 | 117.3 | -2.6 | 232.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | Over | NOR |
| -5.5 | 240.0 | 130-111 |
THE RUB
It’s great to see the Pelicans winning now that their number 1 pick in Zion has returned. Sensing a late run for the post season where the Grizzlies will be a block in their way. Congrats to Brandon Ingram in making his first All Star game.
OUR PICK – New Orleans WIN
DENVER @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs. a ying on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 12-5 in Nugets last 17 games vs teams above .600.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 20-7 ATS in last 27 Friday games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 games playing on 2 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Michael Porter Jr. has 8+ rebounds in seven of his last 8 games. (7.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 5 road games. (10.5)
- Eric Bledsoe has 23+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the Nuggets. (TBC)
- Nikola Jokic has 25+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 night games (23.5)
- Michael Porter Jr. has 18+ points in 3 of the Nuggets’ last 4 games on the second leg of a back-to-back. (3.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 32 | 15 | 18-6 | 14-9 |
| MIL | 41 | 6 | 22-2 | 19-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 109.2 | 106.0 | +3.2 | 215.2 |
| MIL | 120.0 | 107.2 | +12.8 | 227.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Over | DEN |
| -9.5 | 223.5 | 127-115 |
THE RUB
The Nuggets on a road B2B against the league leading Bucks. Milwaukee to notch up win number 10 straight.
OUR PICK – Milwaukee -9.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHOENIX
TEAM TRENDS
THUNDER TRENDS
- 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
- Over is 13-3 in Thunder last 16 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 8-3 in Thunder last 11 overall.
- Over is 35-17 in Thunder last 52 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-3 in Thunder last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
SUNS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
- 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
- Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.12.19 | OKC | PHO | 126 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 10 games against Western opponents. (29.5)
- Danilo Gallinari has 20+ points in his last 5 games against the Suns. (19.5)
- Chris Paul has 16 points or less in the Thunder’s last 5 games against Pacific opponents. (16.5)
- Ricky Rubio has 16+ points in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games against Northwest opponents. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 28 | 20 | 15-10 | 13-10 |
| PHO | 20 | 27 | 9-16 | 11-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| OKC | 110.3 | 108.1 | +2.2 | 218.4 |
| PHO | 113.1 | 113.5 | -0.4 | 226.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHO | Over | OKC |
| +1.5 | 222.5 | 111-107 |
THE RUB
All Star snub game number 2 for tonight, and we are focusing on Devin Booker to put up a massive game on home court.
OUR PICK – Phoenix WIN
PLAYER PROP – DEVIN BOOKER OVER 29.5 POINTS
PORTLAND @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 overall.
- Under is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 road games.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-2 in Lakers last 9 overall.
- Over is 13-4 in Lakers last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 38-16 in Lakers last 54 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 40-19-1 in Lakers last 60 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 45-22 ATS in the last 67 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
SEASON SERIES
| 29.12.19 | POR | LAL | 120 : 128 |
| 07.12.19 | POR | LAL | 113 : 136 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Damian Lillard has 34+ points in the Blazers’ last 6 games. (31.5)
- LeBron James has 12+ assists in the Lakers’ last 4 games as favorites against Western opponents. (TBC)
- Hassan Whiteside has 16+ rebounds in 4 of the Blazers’ last 5 games as road underdogs. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 20 | 27 | 11-11 | 9-16 |
| LAL | 36 | 10 | 16-5 | 20-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 112.8 | 114.9 | -2.1 | 227.7 |
| LAL | 113.5 | 106.3 | +7.2 | 219.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | Over | POR |
| -12.0 | 230.5 | 127-119 |
THE RUB
All eyes will be on this game tonight with the Lakers playing their first game since the tragic death of Kobe Bryant. Expect LeBron and AD to remember their idol in fashion.
OUR PICK – LA Lakers -12.0
