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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 18-11
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
MIAMI @ WASHINGTON
What a disappointing result from OG last night.
The Small Forward took 12 shots (+3 above his season average) and was 0-7 from 3 which cost us another strong prop win.
But. We move on quickly, and I really like the prospect of the emerging star in Bam Adebayo who is presented with a beneficial match up against the injury-riddled Wizards.
Last time these two teams met, Bam had a day out, returning 24 points on 10-16 FG, paired with 14 rebounds and 4 dimes.
Throughout the month of November, Bam has increased his scoring production to 18 PPG, 3 points above his season average.
Coming off a soft 11 points against Philly’s Joel Embiid, Bam will return to his scoring ways against the defensively lacklustre rotating 5 of the Wiz and don’t be surprised if he surpasses his assists line of 4.5 as well.
DP’S PICK –
- Bam Adebayo over 16.5 points
- Bam Adebayo over 4.5 assists
Gamble Responsibly.
TREND BETS
SEASON RECORD: 12-15
MIAMI @ WASHINGTON
HEAT TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 9-1 in Heat last 10 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Heat last 6 road games.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- Over is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 15-5 in Wizards last 20 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 37-18 in Wizards last 55 games following a straight up loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Washington.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
TREND PICK – OVER 228.0
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
ATLANTA @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
HAWKS TRENDS
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 road games.
- Over is 18-8 in last 26 overall.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 road games.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs teams below .400.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 home games.
- Under is 14-6 in Magic last 20 vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Orlando.
SEASON SERIES
| 27.10.19 | ATL | ORL | 103 : 99 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Vucevic has 25+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 home games against Southeast teams.( 20.5)
- Evan Fournier has 23+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games against Southeast teams. (19.5)
- John Collins has 27+ points in his last 3 road games. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 6 | 27 | 3-12 | 3-15 |
| ORL | 14 | 18 | 10-6 | 4-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ATL | 107.3 | 118.3 | -11.0 | 225.6 |
| ORL | 103.2 | 104.9 | -1.7 | 208.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | Under | ATL |
| -11.5 | 215.5 | 101-93 |
THE RUB
The Hawks continue to struggle, losing for the 10th straight time and 20th in their past 22 games on Saturday in Chicago, 116-81. Atlanta couldn’t find any spark offensively without Trae Young, who sprained his right ankle in Friday’s loss to Milwaukee and has been ruled out of tonight.
The Magic are dealing with injury issues, too, with Aaron Gordon leaving the Bucks game in the 3rd quarter with a left Achilles injury. He may not play tonight.
With all this, the Magic squad is still too deep to be troubled by the Hawks.
Unders best.
OUR PICK – UNDER 215.5
MIAMI @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
HEAT TRENDS
- 12-3-1 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .400.
- 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 15-5 in last 20 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 37-18 in last 55 games following a straight up loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Washington.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Heat are 25-8-2 ATS in the last 35 meetings in Washington.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.12.19 | MIA | WAS | 112 : 103 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Goran Dragic has 10 points or less in his last 4 games against the Wizards. (15.5)
- Isaiah Thomas has 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Wizards as underdogs.
- Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games against Southeast teams. (16.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 24 | 8 | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| WAS | 9 | 22 | 4-8 | 5-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 112.6 | 107.7 | +4.9 | 220.3 |
| WAS | 116.4 | 121.5 | -5.1 | 237.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | 228.0 | WAS |
| -9.0 | Over | 123-105 |
THE RUB
The Heat look to improve their road record and extend an overall winning streak to 6 games tonight. The Heat are 15-1 at home after slipping past the 76ers 117-116 in OT on Saturday, but own 9 wins in 16 games away from home as they go after a 4 straight wins over the Wizards.
Washington lost for the 5th time in its last 6 games with a 107-100 loss against New York as Bradley Beal missed the with soreness in his lower right leg, ending a streak of 194 consecutive games played, but should be good to go tonight.
Miami are averaging 114.8 ppg during its current winning streak and the trends lean heavily to Overs.
OUR PICK – OVER 228.0
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 7-0 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- 11-2 ATS in last 13 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 36-17-1 ATS in last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
BULLS TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games as an underdog.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 8-23 ATS in last 31 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Bucks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
SEASON SERIES
| 19.11.19 | CHI | MIL | 101 : 115 |
| 15.11.19 | MIL | CHI | 124 : 115 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Tomas Satoransky has 6+ rebounds in the Bulls’ last 5 games. (4.5)
- Wendell Carter Jr. has 12+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against Central teams. (11.5)
- Zach LaVine has 7+ assists in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games against the Bucks. (4.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 29 | 5 | 16-2 | 13-3 |
| CHI | 13 | 20 | 7-10 | 6-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 119.7 | 106.7 | +13.0 | 226.4 |
| CHI | 106.0 | 106.5 | -0.5 | 212.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Under | MIL |
| -8.0 | 219.5 | 123-102 |
THE RUB
The Bucks (29-5) have won 13 of their 16 road games and own the league’s best record. The Bulls have split their last 10 and are just 1.5 games behind Orlando in the race for the final playoff spot in the East.
Antetokounmpo (back) sat out Friday at Atlanta and again Saturday at home against Orlando, however the Bucks breezed by the pair of struggling teams by an average of 18.5 points.
The Bulls are playing well with wins in 5 of their last 8 and are coming into Monday’s game with swagger after blasting the Hawks 116-81 on Saturday.
Trends lean to Unders and the Bucks to continue bullying sub .500’s.
OUR PICK – MIL -8.0
BROOKLYN @ MINNESOTA
TEAM TRENDS
NETS TRENDS
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games as an underdog.
- 5-16-1 ATS in last 22 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- 2-10-1 ATS in last 13 games overall.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nets are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota.
- Nets are 8-23 ATS in the last 31 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
SEASON SERIES
| 24.10.19 | BKN | MIN | 126 : 127 (115 : 115) |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Joe Harris has 14 points or less in the Nets’ last 9 games against Northwest teams. (14.5)
- Taurean Prince has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 games against Northwest teams. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 16 | 15 | 9-6 | 7-9 |
| MIN | 11 | 20 | 3-11 | 8-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.5 | 111 | -0.5 | 221.5 |
| MIN | 111.9 | 115.9 | -4.0 | 227.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | Over | MIN |
| -1.5 | 218.5 | 122-115 – 1OT |
THE RUB
Minnesota are losers of 12 of their last 13 and returned from a road trip flop on Saturday, losing 94-88 to the Cavaliers.
The Nets dropped their last 2 and are having their own issues offensively after failing to clear 100 points in either setback, shooting just 27% against the Knicks in a 94-82 loss.
Wiggins (illness) and Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) are listed as questionable for the T-Wolves.
OUR PICK – BROOKLYN -1.5
DETROIT @ UTAH
TEAM TRENDS
PISTONS TRENDS
- 15-35-3 ATS in last 53 games as an underdog.
- 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 road games.
- 3-13 ATS in last 16 vs teams above .600.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 road games.
- Over is 18-8 in last 26 vs teams above .600.
JAZZ TRENDS
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Joe Ingles has 14+ points in the Jazz’s last 6 games. (14.5)
- Derrick Rose has 19+ points in the Pistons’ last 4 games against West teams. (17.5)
- Andre Drummond has 19+ points in 7 of his last 8 games with the Pistons as underdogs. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 12 | 21 | 8-10 | 4-11 |
| UTA | 20 | 12 | 12-3 | 8-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 109.1 | 111.2 | -2.1 | 220.3 |
| UTA | 108.2 | 106.6 | +1.6 | 214.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | Over | UTA |
| -10.0 | 217.0 | 104-81 |
THE RUB
The Jazz have won 7 of their last 8 after holding the Clippers to 15 points in the 4th quarter of a 120-107 win, with Donovan Mitchell scoring 30.
Detroit have lost 6 of its past 7 after giving up 18 threes to open a six-game trip with a 136-109 loss against San Antonio. The Pistons are 4-11 on the road and allowed the Spurs to shoot 57%, surrendering 77 points in the 2nd half.
Utah are streaking, and the Pistons roster is just too banged up at the moment, rotating just 11 players in Saturday’s loss to the Spurs.
OUR PICK – UTAH -10.0
PHOENIX @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games as a home favorite.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 29-12-1 in last 42 home games.
- Over is 23-11-1 in last 35 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.
- Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland.
SEASON SERIES
| 17.12.19 | PHO | POR | 110 : 111 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- C.J. McCollum has 23+ points in his last 5 games against the Suns at Moda Center. (22.5)
- Hassan Whiteside has 23+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Suns. (16.5)
- Devin Booker has 32+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games. (26.5)
- Damian Lillard has 29+ points in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 home games. (27.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 12 | 20 | 6-12 | 6-8 |
| POR | 14 | 19 | 8-8 | 6-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 114.0 | 115 | -1.0 | 229.0 |
| POR | 112.5 | 113.7 | -1.2 | 226.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | Under | PHO |
| -4.0 | 231.0 | 122-116 |
THE RUB
The Suns snapped an 8-game slide with a 112-110 win at Sacramento on Saturday.
The Blazers lost each of their last three games by single figures, capped by a 128-120 home loss on Saturday against the West-best Lakers.
Portland own an 11-game winning streak in the series, most recently being an 111-110 win at Phoenix on Dec. 16.
OUR PICK – PORTLAND WIN
