FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 17-9
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
Thanks to Jaylen Brown, we were treated to a wonderful Christmas fill-up, as 
predicted, with the two-way guard pouring in 30 points alongside 6 rebounds and 4 assists to take care of his PRA prop.
Post Christmas, I’m really keen to play Andre Drummond’s rebound total on the OVER which is currently marked at 17.5.
Despite the Pistons big coming off an equal season low 9 rebounds against the 76ers, he is gifted an opportunity to bang up on the worst contested rebounding side in the competition and more generally speaking, the worst rebounding side in the league bar none.
Last time these two teams met, Drummond had a season high 24 rebounds and that was when T Bryant was playing.
The Wizards are rotating multiple PF/SF through the 5 as Ian Mahinmi is not the answer. To put it clear, G Payton II totalled a team high 11 rebounds for the Wizards in their last outing against the Knicks. Say no more.
Drummond is well rested and 18+ boards will give me 7 straight wins.
BEST BET – ANDRE DRUMMOND OVER 18 REBOUNDS
TREND BET
SEASON RECORD: 12-11
MEMPHIS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
THUNDER TRENDS
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 224.0
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 13-28-1 ATS in last 42 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 11-5 in last 16 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 vs teams below .500.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 12-5 ATS in last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Wizards are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 17.12.19 | DET | WAS | 119 : 133 |
| 05.11.19 | WAS | DET | 115 : 99 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Rose has 20+ points in each of his last eight home appearances against the Wizards. (16.5)
- Blake Griffin has 15 points or less in each of his last five appearances. (19.5)
- Andre Drummond has 14 rebounds or less in each of the Pistons’ last three games. (17.5)
- Bradley Beal has 10 assists in each of the Wizards’ last two games against the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 11 | 20 | 7-10 | 4-10 |
| WAS | 9 | 20 | 4-7 | 5-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 108.4 | 110.6 | -2.2 | 219.0 |
| WAS | 117.5 | 121.7 | -4.2 | 239.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DET | Over | DET |
| -6.5 | 230.0 | 132-102 |
THE RUB
The Wizards got the job done on the road to Detroit although it was against a very under manned opponent (Both Drummond and Griffin were out). Different story with those two inclusions.
OUR PICK – Detroit WIN
NEW YORK @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .500.
- 7-21 ATS in last 28 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
NETS TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs teams below .500.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Knicks are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.11.19 | NY | BKN | 101 : 103 |
| 26.10.19 | BKN | NY | 113 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Elfrid Payton has 9+ assists in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 games. (7.5)
-
Spencer Dinwiddie has 31+ points in the Nets’ last 3 games. (26.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 7 | 24 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| BKN | 16 | 13 | 9-5 | 7-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 103.5 | 112.7 | -9.2 | 216.2 |
| BKN | 111.9 | 111.7 | +0.2 | 223.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NY | Over | NY |
| +7.5 | 222.5 | 94-82 |
THE RUB
The Nets own the series 2-0 but all contests have been decided by 4 points or less. Although the Knicks have averaged 116 points per game in their last 5 which suggest scoring isn’t as less foreign anymore.
OUR PICK – Over 222.5 total points
SAN ANTONIO @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
SPURS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 4-18 ATS in last 22 games following a straight win.
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 Thursday games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
- 13-5 ATS in last 18 games overall.
- 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 11-4 in last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 15-7 in last 22 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Spurs are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
SEASON SERIES
| 19.11.19 | DAL | SAS | 117 : 110 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Tim Hardaway has 28+ points in the Mavericks’ last 2 games as home favourites.
- DeMar DeRozan has 33+ points in the Spurs’ last 2 games against the Mavericks at American Airlines Center. (19.5)
- LaMarcus Aldridge has 20+ points in 7 of the Spurs’ last 9 games against the Mavericks. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAS | 12 | 17 | 8-8 | 4-9 |
| DAL | 19 | 10 | 8-7 | 11-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAS | 113.0 | 115.7 | -2.7 | 228.7 |
| DAL | 117.2 | 108.9 | +8.3 | 226.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | Over | DAL |
| -6.5 | 226.5 | 102-98 |
THE RUB
Its hard to believe that even without Luka, the Mavs almost came away with almost 3 wins out of 5 against the top East teams (the almost is counting the Raptors loss where they were up by 30 at a stage). Their depth is hard to fault.
OUR PICK – Dallas -6.5
MEMPHIS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 Thursday games.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
THUNDER TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 19.12.19 | OKC | MEM | 126 : 122 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 20+ points in the Thunder’s last 4 home games against West teams. (19.5)
- Jonas Valanciunas has 16+ points in his last 4 road games against the Thunder. (14.5)
- Dennis Schroder has 22+ points in the Thunder’s last 6 games as favourites against West teams. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 11 | 20 | 6-12 | 5-8 |
| OKC | 15 | 14 | 11-5 | 4-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 110.9 | 117.2 | -6.3 | 228.1 |
| OKC | 109.2 | 107.9 | +1.3 | 217.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | Over | MEM |
| -6.0 | 224.0 | 110-97 |
THE RUB
OKC are streaking with 4 wins straight with the most impressive a come from behind victory against the Clippers. 11 of their 15 wins have come on home court, good for us!
OUR PICK – OKC -6.0
MINNESOTA @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 4-17 ATS in last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 1-9-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
KINGS TRENDS
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 games following a straight up loss.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 14-6 in last 20 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
-
De’Aaron Fox has 8+ assists in each of his last 8 games with the Kings as home favourites against West teams. (6.5)
-
Richaun Holmes has 10+ rebounds in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 home games against West teams. (7.5)
-
Buddy Hield has 23+ points in the Kings’ last 3 games as home favourites. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 10 | 19 | 3-10 | 7-9 |
| SAC | 12 | 18 | 6-6 | 6-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIN | 113.0 | 117.0 | -4.0 | 230.0 |
| SAC | 105.1 | 108.0 | -2.9 | 213.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | Over | MIN |
| -4.5 | 222.0 | 105-104 -2OT |
THE RUB
Both teams are on a losing streak with the Wolves looking at dropping its 12th straight. With Fox and Bagley Jr healthy, the Kings are yet to see a win but will fair better against a KAT-less Wolves.
OUR PICK – Sacramento WIN
PORTLAND @ UTAH
TEAM TRENDS
TRAILBLAZERS TRENDS
- 21-7 ATS in last 28 Thursday games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
JAZZ TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
- 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 home games.
- Over is 8-3 in Jazz last 11 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 11-5 in Jazz last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 home games. (25.5)
-
Rudy Gobert has 17+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games. (15.5)
-
Hassan Whiteside has 20 rebounds in each of his last 2 games as an underdog against the Jazz. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 14 | 17 | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| UTA | 18 | 12 | 11-3 | 7-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 112.2 | 113.0 | -0.8 | 225.2 |
| UTA | 107.3 | 106.3 | +1.0 | 213.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | Over | UTA |
| -5.5 | 219.0 | 121-115 |
THE RUB
Both teams enter tonight with 4 wins out of their last 5 although every one of those came against a sub 0.500 opponent. In each of those for Utah they allowed their opponents to score +100 points which has us liking the over even though the Jazz’s home record of 11-3 is safer.
OUR PICK – Over 219.0
