6 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 17/11/19

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

PHILADELPHIA @ CLEVELAND

76ers Trends

  • 8-20 ATS in last 28 games vs teams below .400.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.

Cleveland Trends

  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 13-31 ATS in last 44 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Under is 18-8 in the last 26 meetings.
  • 76ers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Philadelphia 7 5 4-0 3-5
Cleveland 4 7 2-3 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Philadelphia 109.4 107.7 +1.7
Cleveland 105.3 107.1 -1.8

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Philadelphia Over Philadelphia
-7.0 214.5 114-95

THE RUB

It’s come early in the season but the 76ers are battling through the difficulties of not signing a playmaker over the offseason, instead going big. Simmons and Embiid arent showing any changes in their game which is not propelling Philly to the lofty standards we were all expecting.

The Cavs on the other hand are surprising us all and in form bigs in Love and Thompson will be nicely tested tonight.

OUR PICK  –  Over 214.5


BOSTON @ SACRAMENTO

Celtics Trends

  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 6-2-2 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

Kings Trends

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 15-6 in Kings last 21 vs teams above .500.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Home team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 10 1 5-0 5-1
Sacramento 4 7 2-3 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Boston 115.1 106.3 +8.8
Sacramento 104.8 109.3 -4.5

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Boston Under Sacramento
-2.5 216.5 100-99

THE RUB

While their division foe in Philly struggles, the Celtics are on a 10 game streak and on that point, we can’t not pick them tonight. Boston’s average winning margin on the road during the streak is 15 points.

OUR PICK  –  Boston -2.5


DENVER @ MEMPHIS

Nuggets Trends

  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

Grizzlies Trends

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 9-1 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.
  • Home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Denver 8 3 4-2 4-1
Memphis 5 7 3-4 2-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Denver 104.7 101.9 +2.8
Memphis 109.8 117.8 -8.0

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Denver Under Denver
-6.5 211.5 131-114

THE RUB

The Grizzlies have won their last 3 against some quality opposition in the Spurs on the road and Jazz at home. Denver would be another impressive scalp although their road record of 4-1 is hard to top.

OUR PICK  –  Denver WIN


WASHINGTON @ ORLANDO

Wizards Trends

  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 8-22-1 ATS in last 31 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.

Magic Trends

  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Wizards are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Orlando.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 3 7 1-3 2-4
Orlando 5 7 5-3 0-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Washington 117.7 119.6 -1.9
Orlando 100.3 99.9 +0.4

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Orlando Over Orlando
-6.5 223.0 125-121

THE RUB

The Magic found it hard over the first few weeks on the offensive end, struggling to break 100 points per game. However, Orlando have found their range and are averaging 111 points per game in their last 4, winning 3.

With the Wizards playing at a quick tempo, almost letting in 120 points per game, the Over looks too good here.

OUR PICK  –  Over 223.0


GOLDEN STATE @ NEW ORLEANS

Warriors Trends

  • 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games overall.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
  • 1-9 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

Pelicans Trends

  • 5-12 ATS in last 17 home games.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .500.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 games vs teams below .400.

Matchup Trends

  • Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Golden St. 2 11 1-6 1-5
New Orleans 3 9 2-4 1-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Golden St. 109.5 119.8 -10.3
New Orleans 116.3 121.7 -5.4

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
New Orleans New Orleans
-4.5 TBC 108-100

THE RUB

I just feel sorry for those who bought tickets for this game, prior to all the injuries.

OUR PICK  –  New Orleans WIN


ATLANTA @ LA LAKERS

Hawks Trends

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .500.
  • 11-5 ATS in last 16 road games.
  • 5-11 ATS in last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 12-5 in last 17 games playing on 0 days rest.

Lakers Trends

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 home games.
  • 11-4 ATS in last 15 games overall.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 15-6 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 35-15-1 in last 51 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in LA.
  • Hawks are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in LA.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Atlanta 4 8 2-4 2-4
L.A. Lakers 10 2 6-1 4-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Atlanta 106.5 114.9 -8.4
L.A. Lakers 109.8 100.6 +9.2

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LA Lakers Over LA Lakers
-13.5 218.0 122-101

THE RUB

The Hawks are fresh off a 49 point defeat to the Clippers and get the Lakers the following night on a B2B.

If you think lightening strikes twice, go the Lakers on the spread. Outside of  Trae Young, the Hawks will struggle to keep LeBron and AD down. Beware of the game time load management call.

OUR PICK  –  LA Lakers -13.5