FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 35-22
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
UTAH @ DENVER
Donovan Mitchell has been great as the starting PG
, with Conley returning back from injury as a bench player.
Mitchell just had 31 points against the Spurs, and has cleared the 23.5 points line in 6 of his last 8.
Denver do a decent job of defending the point with Jamal Murray in the line-up however with him out, Will Barton is expected to start, which should make it interesting with him both defensively and playing a high usage offensive role.
Mitchell has been consistent and I expect him to tally 25+ against a short-handed Nuggets team.
DP’S PICK – DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 22.5 POINTS
NBA PARLAY
- CHARLOTTE @ WASHINGTON – OVER 227.0
- PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA – OVER 228.5
ODDS – $3.64 – WIN
TREND BET
TORONTO @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
RAPTORS TRENDS
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 220.0 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
TORONTO @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 22-8-1 in last 31 vs teams below .500.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 4-10 ATS in last 14 games vs teams above .600.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Raptors are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
- Raptors are 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.01.20 | TOR | CLE | 117 : 97 |
| 17.12.19 | TOR | CLE | 133 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Serge Ibaka has 17+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 6 games with Marc Gasol out. (15.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 20+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 4 games against Central opponents. (17.5)
- Collin Sexton has 23+ points in 5 of the Cavaliers’ last 6 games as underdogs. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 33 | 14 | 17-7 | 16-7 |
| CLE | 13 | 35 | 6-18 | 7-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| TOR | 112.4 | 106.2 | +6.2 | 218.6 |
| CLE | 105.3 | 114.1 | -8.8 | 219.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | OVER | TOR |
| -10.0 | 220.0 | 115-109 |
The Raptors pushed their season-best streak to 8-straight with a cruisy win over the Hawks on Tuesday and are hot offensively. They’ll go for 9 in a row when they visit the Cavs tonight in the opener of a 2-game trip on Thursday.
Toronto are averaging 122.4 ppg during their streak after a 130-114 win over the Hawks on Tuesday.
The Cavs dropped 8 of their last 9 and are losers of 8-straight at home after opening a 4-game home-stand with a 125-111 loss to New Orleans on Tuesday.
OUR PICK -OVER 220.0
PLAYER PROP – SERGE IBAKA OVER 15.5 POINTS (RESULT – 26 POINTS)
CHARLOTTE @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
HORNETS TRENDS
- 20-6 ATS in last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- 10-2 ATS in last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams below .500.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a favorite.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games following a road trip of 7+ days.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Washington.
- Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.
SEASON SERIES
| 11.12.19 | CHA | WAS | 114 : 107 |
| 23.11.19 | WAS | CHA | 125 : 118 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Bradley Beal has 36+ points in each of the Wizards’ last 4 games. (29.5)
- Devonte’ Graham has 9+ assists in each of the Hornets’ last 3 road games against Eastern opponents. (8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 16 | 31 | 8-15 | 8-16 |
| WAS | 15 | 31 | 9-11 | 6-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 103.1 | 110.2 | -7.1 | 213.3 |
| WAS | 115.6 | 121.3 | -5.7 | 236.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| WAS | OVER | WAS |
| -3.5 | 227.0 | 121-107 |
The Hornets have ended an 8-game losing streak and look to win back-to-back games for the first time in 3 1/2 weeks tonight. The Hornets scored a 97-92 home win over the Knicks on Tuesday to end a slide that included 5 double-digit losses.
The Wizards have lost 6 of 8 and the last two have been poor defensively, allowing 150+ points in each. Washington fell 152-133 to the Hawks on Sunday and then were smashed 151-131 by Milwaukee even with Antetokounmpo (shoulder) out for the Bucks.
OUR PICK – OVER 227.0
PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
76ERS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.
- 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 15-7 in last 22 vs teams below .500.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.
- 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
| 29.10.19 | ATL | PHI | 103 : 105 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Trae Young has 13+ assists in each of his last 4 games. (10.5)
- John Collins has 28+ points in each of the Hawks’ last 3 games as underdogs. (18.5)
- Ben Simmons has 10+ rebounds in six of the 76ers’ last 8 games against the Hawks. (8.5)
- Joel Embiid has 27+ points in each of his 2 previous games at State Farm Arena. (24.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 31 | 17 | 22-2 | 9-15 |
| ATL | 12 | 36 | 7-16 | 5-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 108.5 | 104.8 | +3.7 | 213.3 |
| ATL | 108.8 | 118.1 | -9.3 | 226.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | OVER | ATL |
| +7.5 | 228.5 | 127-117 |
The 76ers have won 6 of their last 7 and got Embiid back in the lineup in a win over the Warriors on Tuesday. The 76ers are not the same team on the road and Embiid will try to provide a spark as they begin a 4-game trip tonight.
The Hawks will struggle to stop the 76ers with a leaky defense that allowed at least 130 points in 3-straight games.
OUR PICK – OVER 228.5
GOLDEN STATE @ BOSTON
TEAM TRENDS
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 10-3 in last 13 games following a ATS win.
CELTICS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following a straight win.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Warriors are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Warriors are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Boston.
- Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
SEASON SERIES
| 16.11.19 | GSW | BOS | 100 : 105 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kemba Walker has 20 points or less in each of his last 6 games at TD Garden. (TBC)
- Draymond Green has 9+ rebounds in each of the Warriors’ last 6 road games against Atlantic opponents. (7.5)
- D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in each of the Warriors’ last 5 games. (23.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| GSW | 10 | 38 | 7-17 | 3-21 |
| BOS | 31 | 15 | 18-5 | 13-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| GSW | 105.7 | 114.3 | -8.6 | 220.0 |
| BOS | 112.2 | 105.5 | +6.7 | 217.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | UNDER | BOS |
| -12.0 | 220.0 | 119-104 |
The Celtics became one of 3 visiting teams to win in Miami with a 109-101 win over the Heat on Tuesday and have won 4 of 5 despite injury issues. They will look to keep rolling with whatever lineups they can put out tonight against the league-worst Warriors.
The Warriors began their 5-game east coast trip with a 115-104 loss at Philadelphia on Tuesday – their 4th straight loss and 14th in their last 15 games.
OUR PICK – UNDER 220.0
UTAH @ DENVER
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
- 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 11-5 in Nuggets last 16 games vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
- Jazz are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
- Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.
- Under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings in Denver.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 7 games against Western opponents. (10.5)
- Donovan Mitchell has 24+ points in 10 of the Jazz’s last 11 games against Northwest opponents. (22.5)
- Rudy Gobert has 17+ points in 8 of the Jazz’s last 9 games. (15.5)
- Michael Porter Jr. has 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against Western opponents. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 32 | 15 | 18-4 | 14-11 |
| DEN | 32 | 15 | 18-6 | 14-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 111.2 | 106.2 | +5.0 | 217.4 |
| DEN | 109.2 | 106.0 | +3.2 | 215.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | OVER | DEN |
| +1.5 | 215.5 | 106-100 |
These two share the 3rd-best record in the West and meet for the first of 4 times over the final 35 games of the season.
The Jazz were great winning 19 of 21 games but their defense has suddenly gone missing in back-to-back losses against the Rockets (126-117 on Monday) and Spurs (127-120 on Wednesday).
Denver won 8 of 11 before a 104-96 road loss against the Grizzlies on Tuesday and the setback ended a stretch of 24 games of scoring 100+ points.
OUR PICK – UTAH +1.5
SACRAMENTO @ LA CLIPPERS
SEASON SERIES
| 01.01.20 | SAC | LAC | 87 : 105 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kawhi Leonard has 30+ points in each of his last 8 games. (26.5)
- Buddy Hield has 16 points or less in each of his last 7 games against the Clippers at Staples. (16.5)
- Lou Williams has 21+ points in 5 of the Clippers’ last 6 home games. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 17 | 29 | 8-13 | 9-16 |
| LAC | 33 | 14 | 19-4 | 14-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 107.1 | 110.2 | -3.1 | 217.3 |
| LAC | 115.6 | 109.3 | +6.3 | 224.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | UNDER | SAC |
| -12.0 | 227.5 | 124-103 |
Can’t go past the Clips in this one.
OUR PICK – UNDER 227.5
