FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 35-21
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO
Bogdanovic is shooting the 3 at 42% this season making on average 3 per game however as of late, he has bumped this up to 5 made threes over his past 3 fixtures. He is the benefactor of excellent passers in Mitchell & Ingles + the kick out from Gobert.
The Spurs struggle to close out on the 3 ball and don’t really have the personnel to defend the deceptively versatile 6’8 forward that can score on you in a flash.
Don’t let his unflattering style and body shape deter you from backing this guy in. He is a flat out scorer; from deep, in the paint and deft touch around the rim.
DP’S PICK – BOJAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 20.5
PARLAY
- OKC @ SACRAMENTO – OVER 213.0
- UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO – OVER 220.0
- HOUSTON @ PORTLAND – OVER 235.0
ODDS – $6.95 – WIN
TREND BET
OKLAHOMA CITY @ SACRAMENTO
THUNDER TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- 16-5 ATS in last 21 games vs teams below .500.
- 20-7 ATS in last 27 road games.
- 20-8 ATS in last 28 games overall.
KINGS TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 2-10-1 ATS in last 13 home games.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
TREND BET – OKLAHOMA CITY +1.5 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
CHICAGO @ INDIANA
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 road games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams above .500.
PACERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs team below .400.
- 19-7-1 ATS in last 27 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bulls are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana.
- Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
- Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings in Indiana.
SEASON SERIES
| 11.01.20 | CHI | IND | 105 : 116 |
| 04.11.19 | IND | CHI | 108 : 95 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kris Dunn has 5+ assists in his last 4 games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. (4.5)
- Tomas Satoransky has 15+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 Wednesday games against Eastern opponents. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 19 | 30 | 11-15 | 8-15 |
| IND | 30 | 17 | 17-5 | 13-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHI | 105.7 | 107.7 | -2.0 | 213.4 |
| IND | 110.0 | 107.1 | +2.9 | 217.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | UNDER | IND |
| -8.0 | 213.5 | 115-106 1OT |
Around 53 weeks after suffering a ruptured quadriceps tendon, Victor Oladipo is set to make his season debut as the Pacers end a 3-2 road trip, playing 7 of their next 8 at home.
Indiana has 7-straight regular-season wins over the Bulls (2 this season) and have won 10 of the teams’ last 11 meetings. The Bulls last winning at Bankers Life Fieldhouse 98-96 on March 29th, 2016.
The Bulls and the Pacers rank in the top 10 defensively and play a slower temp. Unders tempting.
OUR PICK – INDIANA -8.0
DETROIT @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
PISTONS TRENDS
- 18-39-1 ATS in last 58 games overall.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
- 3-13 ATS in last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
NETS TRENDS
- 3-13 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
- 2-10 ATS in last 12 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pistons are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Pistons are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.01.20 | DET | BKN | 111 : 121 (106 : 106) |
| 03.11.19 | DET | BKN | 113 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Andre Drummond has 20+ rebounds in the Pistons’ last 5 games against the Nets. (TBC)
- Joe Harris has 16+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against Central opponents. (11.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 17 | 31 | 9-16 | 8-15 |
| BKN | 19 | 26 | 11-12 | 8-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 109.2 | 111.3 | -2.1 | 220.5 |
| BKN | 109.4 | 111.9 | -2.5 | 221.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | OVER | BKN |
| -8.5 | 218.0 | 125-115 |
Brooklyn broke a 5-game losing streak on Saturday with a 121-111 OT win in Detroit, Kyrie tallying 45 points.
The Nets are 3-13 in their 16 games since Dec. 21, with 10 of those losses by 10+ points.
Detroit have lost 33-straight, all by 10+ points, and are just 5-10 since Blake Griffin (knee) last suited up on Dec. 28. The Pistons also are 6-16 in their 22 games since Dec. 14.
The Nets rank in the top 10 in tempo and the Pistons have been struggling defensively.
OUR PICK – OVER 218.0
MEMPHIS @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games vs teams with a home winning % below .400.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 11-3 in last 14 games playing on 0 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
FIRST MEETING
PLAYER TRENDS
- Elfrid Payton has 8+ assists in the Knicks’ last 5 games. (7.5)
- Jonas Valanciunas has 16+ points in his last 4 games against Atlantic teams. (14.5)
- Ja Morant has 16 points or less in 5 of the Grizzlies’ last 6 games. (16.5)
- Dillon Brooks has 20+ points in 6 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 games. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 23 | 24 | 14-13 | 9-11 |
| NY | 13 | 35 | 7-17 | 6-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.3 | 115.4 | -2.1 | 228.7 |
| NY | 104.0 | 111.5 | -7.5 | 215.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | OVER | MEM |
| -2.5 | 225.0 | 127-106 |
The Grizzlies look to record their 11th win in 13 games after an impressive 104-96 home win over the Nuggets on Tuesday and can reach the .500 mark with a win tonight.
Memphis got off to a 6-16 start before the current 17-8 stretch.
The Knicks are tied with the Cavs for the 2nd-worst record in the East and have lost 11 of their last 14 games after a 97-92 road loss to the Hornets on Tuesday.
RJ Barrett (ankle) will miss his 7th-straight game and is expected to sit out tonight. But wait for game time decision.
The Grizzlies have won 11 of the past 15 meetings.
OUR PICK – MEMPHIS WIN & OVER 225.0
UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- 10-2 ATS in last 12 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games.
- 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games following an ATS loss.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
SPURS TRENDS
- 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games following a straight up loss.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .600.
- 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs teams above .500.
- 9-23 ATS in last 32 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 7-21-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in San Antonio.
- Over is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in San Antonio.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Rudy Gobert has 14 rebounds or less in his last 13 games against the Spurs. (15.5)
- Rudy Gobert has 17+ points in 7 of the Jazz’s last 8 games. (15.5)
- Bojan Bogdanovic has 23+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games against Southwest teams. (20.5)
- DeMar DeRozan has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 night games. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 32 | 14 | 18-4 | 14-10 |
| SAS | 20 | 26 | 12-12 | 8-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 111.2 | 106.2 | +5.0 | 217.4 |
| SAS | 113.3 | 114.3 | -1.0 | 227.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | OVER | SAS |
| -5.0 | 220.0 | 127-120 |
The Spurs have lost their last 3 games by 4 points or less and are coming off a 110-109 loss at Chicago on Monday. Things don’t get easier tonight against the hot Jazz.
The Jazz have won 19 of their last 22 but hit the road with a sour taste after a 126-117 home loss on Monday to the Rockets who were playing the 2nd half of a back-to-back without Harden (thigh) and Westbrook.
Aldridge (thumb) did not make the trip to Chicago but is day-to-day and but could return tonight.
Overs best.
OUR PICK – OVER 220.0
HOUSTON @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 3-10 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .500.
- 4-12-2 ATS in last 18 games vs teams above .600.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
- Over is 19-7 in last 26 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 35-16-1 in last 52 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland.
- Rockets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Portland.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 16.01.20 | HOU | POR | 107 : 117 |
| 19.11.19 | HOU | POR | 132 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Damian Lillard has 34+ points in the Blazers’ last 5 games. (31.5)
- Carmelo Anthony has 18+ points in his last 4 games against the Rockets. (16.5)
- Hassan Whiteside has 16+ rebounds in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 home games against Western teams. (15.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 29 | 17 | 15-7 | 14-10 |
| POR | 20 | 27 | 11-11 | 9-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.7 | 114.3 | +4.4 | 233.0 |
| POR | 112.8 | 114.9 | -2.1 | 227.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | OVER | POR |
| +1.0 | 235.0 | 125-112 |
Damian Lillard looks to continue his hot streak tonight after scoring 158 points over the Blazers last 3 games, beginning with a franchise-record 61 points and then efforts of 47 and 50 points.
The Trail Blazers sit in 10th place in the West, and are 2 1/2 games behind Memphis for the 8th and final playoff spot.
Harden has been ice-cold lately, and his 3 lowest-scoring performances of the season, 12, 13 and 17 points, have all come in his last 8 games. He is just 55-of-158 shooting (34.8%) over those 8 games.
The form of the stars indicates that points are coming, and Harden should break out of his slump.
OUR PICK – HOUSTON +1.0 & OVER 235.0
OKLAHOMA CITY @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
THUNDER TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- 16-5 ATS in last 21 games vs teams below .500.
- 20-7 ATS in last 27 road games.
- 20-8 ATS in last 28 games overall.
- Over is 12-1 in last 13 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
KINGS TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 2-10-1 ATS in last 13 home games.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Thunder are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Sacramento.
SEASON SERIES
| 12.12.19 | SAC | OKC | 94 : 93 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Danilo Gallinari has 19 points or less in his last 7 games against the Kings. (19.5)
- Harrison Barnes has 17+ points in 6 of the Kings’ last 7 night games at Golden 1 Center. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 28 | 20 | 15-10 | 13-10 |
| SAC | 17 | 29 | 8-13 | 9-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| OKC | 110.3 | 108.1 | +2.2 | 218.4 |
| SAC | 107.1 | 110.2 | -3.1 | 217.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | OVER | OKC |
| +1.5 | 213.0 | 120-100 |
The Kings looked on their way to their 7th loss in 8-games before Buddy Hield erupted for 12 points during a 21-4 run to close regulation, with the Kings outplaying Minnesota in OT.
The comeback was historic in many ways.
It was the first time a team had rallied to win after trailing by 17 or more points with fewer than 3-minutes remaining in the 4th quarter or OT. (Since the league started recording play-by-play stats in 1996.)
Chris Paul was so upset about Kobe’s death that he sat out Monday’s 107-97 home loss against Dallas as the club’s 5-game winning streak ended.
The Kings won have won 4 of the past 5 matchups, including a 94-93 home win on Dec. 11th.
OUR PICK – OKC +1.5 & OVER 213.0
