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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, EXCLUSIVE to The Midfield Subscribers.
PHOENIX @ CHARLOTTE
Devin Booker’s inconsistent year continued last start, returning a low 18 points in a loss against the hot Mavericks – and if there’s one thing we know about Booker, it’s his ability to score in winning games (average 29 ppg)
I expect the Suns to snap their 3 game losing streak, and for Booker to continue his dominance against sub .500 teams.
BEST BET – DEVIN BOOKER OVER 24.5 POINTS
PHOENIX @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 10-2 in last 12 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
HORNETS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 12-1 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
- Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Terry Rozier has 19+ points in 5 of the Hornets’ last 6 games.
- Devonte’ Graham has 9+ assists in 5 of the Hornets’ last 6 home games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
PHO | 8 | 10 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
CHA | 8 | 13 | 4-5 | 4-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
PHO | 114.7 | 112.9 | +1.8 | 227.6 |
CHA | 105.5 | 114.0 | -8.5 | 219.5 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
PHO | Over | PHO |
-4.0 | 223.5 | 109-104 |
THE RUB
When 5 of the 8 wins the Hornets have notched up are against the Pistons x3, Warriors and Knicks, its hard to take them too seriously. Especially when their opponents in the Suns are 8th in the stacked West.
OUR PICK – Phoenix WIN
UTAH @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
76ERS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 19-7 in last 26 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 Monday games.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 overall.
- Under is 19-7 in 76ers last 26 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 home games.
SEASON SERIES
07.11.19 | UTA | PHI | 106 : 104 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Tobias Harris has 18+ points in 5 of the 76ers’ last 6 games.
- Joel Embiid has 14+ rebounds in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 games against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
UTA | 12 | 8 | 8-1 | 4-7 |
PHI | 14 | 6 | 9-0 | 5-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
UTA | 106.8 | 105.3 | +1.5 | 212.1 |
PHI | 108.9 | 104.2 | +4.7 | 213.1 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
PHI | Over | PHI |
-5.5 | 207.0 | 103-94 |
THE RUB
Both the 76ers and Raptors have a league leading undefeated home record of 9-0. Although like the Lakers last night, every record or streak is there to be broken. Lucky for Philly, the Jazz aren’t really hitting the same rhythm on the road as they are on home court.
It will also be Utah’s 5th straight game on the road.
OUR PICK – Over 207.0
GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 3-11-1 ATS in last 15 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-1-1 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- 0-7 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 11-2 in last 13 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Trae Young has 29+ points in the Hawks’ last 5 games.
- Willie Cauley-Stein has 7+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 road games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
GSW | 4 | 17 | 2-7 | 2-10 |
ATL | 4 | 16 | 2-7 | 2-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
GSW | 106.8 | 115.6 | -8.8 | 222.4 |
ATL | 107.8 | 119.1 | -11.3 | 226.9 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
ATL | Over | ATL |
-6.0 | 221.5 | 104-79 |
THE RUB
The Warriors will be without Draymond Green who will be shelved due to rest, which gives the Hawks the leg up and a chance to get their first win since November 13. During the 10 game losing streak for the Hawks, they still managed to average 109 ppg.
OUR PICK – Over 221.5
INDIANA @ MEMPHIS
TEAM TRENDS
PACERS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 10-3 in last 13 vs teams below .400.
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 8-20 ATS in last 28 vs. East teams.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 home vs teams with losing road records.
- 4-15 ATS in last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home vs teams with losing road records.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Pacers are 7-16 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
- Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis.
SEASON SERIES
26.11.19 | IND | MEM | 126 : 114 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Malcolm Brogdon has 19+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games.
- Jeremy Lamb has 17+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
IND | 12 | 7 | 9-2 | 3-5 |
MEM | 6 | 13 | 3-9 | 3-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
IND | 109.6 | 104.6 | +5.0 | 214.2 |
MEM | 109.3 | 117.1 | -7.8 | 226.4 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
IND | Over | IND |
-6.5 | 217.0 | 117-104 |
THE RUB
The Grizzlies got a shock win in Minnesota last night without rookie Ja Morant. At home on a B2B against the Pacers will be tough.
Prior to their loss in Philly, Indiana were on a 9-2 run with the two losses coming to contenders Houston and Milwaukee.
OUR PICK – Indiana -6.5
NEW YORK @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .600.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 9-1 in last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 road vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 37-18-1 in last 56 overall.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 home vs teams with losing road records.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Knicks are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Wesley Matthews has 10+ points in the Bucks’ last 6 home games.
- Eric Bledsoe has 13 points or less in the Bucks’ last 5 games.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 14+ rebounds in the Bucks’ last 4 games against the Knicks.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
NY | 4 | 16 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
MIL | 17 | 3 | 8-1 | 9-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
NY | 101.6 | 109.4 | -7.8 | 211.0 |
MIL | 120.3 | 109.5 | +10.8 | 229.8 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
MIL | Over | MIL |
-15.5 | 222.5 | 132-88 |
THE RUB
An 8-1 home record and shooting for 12 straight wins, there is no doubt that the Bucks will get the W tonight. Their average winning margin during the streak is 12.5 points. To hit this spread against the 4-16 Knicks is an easy pick.
OUR PICK – Milwaukee -15.5
CHICAGO @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 road vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 games following an ATS win.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
KINGS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- 18-8 ATS in last 26 vs teams below .400.
- 7-0 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 12-1 ATS in last 13 games overall.
- 10-1 ATS in last 11 games following an ATS win.
- 9-1 ATS in last 10 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 41-19-1 in last 61 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
- Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Bulls are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 19+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against the Bulls.
- Zach LaVine has 25+ points in the Bulls’ last 4 road games.
- Bogdan Bogdanovic has 17+ points in 7 of his last 8 night games.
- Lauri Markkanen has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games as underdogs.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
CHI | 6 | 14 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
SAC | 8 | 10 | 5-3 | 3-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT |
CHI | 106.1 | 110.3 | -4.2 | 216.4 |
SAC | 104.2 | 107.6 | -3.4 | 211.8 |
PICKS ATS
Spread | Points | Result |
SAC | Over | CHI |
-5.0 | 210.0 | 113-106 |
THE RUB
After starting the season 0-5, the Kings have completely redeemed themselves and now sit 8th in the West tied with Phoenix.
But tonight is more about their opponents in Chicago who are a nightly mess. With their last three wins coming against the Hornets (just), Pistons and Knicks….. Kings all the way.
Also like the Overs.
OUR PICK – Sacramento WIN