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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 11-5
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
ORLANDO @ NEW ORLEANS
Despite poor performances from the Pelicans, Brandon Ingram is humming 
along, proving his worth as a ‘most improved’ candidate in what is a hotly contested field.
Ingram has returned 31, 25 & 32 over his past three fixtures, all of which were against tricky defensive schemes in the Pistons, Bucks & 76ers.
He continues to stay true to his shooting, averaging 50% on the floor throughout November, and is finding space and range on the wing to hit the long ball, 40% from 3.
Whilst Gordon and Isaac present as troublesome iso-defenders, BI should find his spots, leverage his length and soar over the 22.5 total, should he take 16+ shots, which is a given.
Most recently, BI is coming off 13 attempts at the stripe, and I expect that he will continue to be aggressive in what presents as a winnable fixture against the Magic.
DP’S BEST BET – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 22.5 POINTS
TREND BET
SEASON RECORD: 8-5
NEW YORK @ DENVER
KNICKS TRENDS
- 17-36-1 ATS in last 54 games vs teams above .600.
- Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs teams with a home winning %’ over .600.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 9-1 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
- Knicks are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
TREND BET – DENVER -10.5
ORLANDO @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
MAGIC TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games vs teams with losing home records.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 1-9-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans.
- Under is 23-7 in the last 30 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
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Jrue Holiday has scored the 1st basket in 4 of his last 5 games against Southeast teams.
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Jrue Holiday has 16 points or less in each of his last 12 home games against the Magic.
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Brandon Ingram has 25+ points in his last 6 games against East teams.
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Lonzo Ball has 6+ rebounds in the Pelicans’ last 3 home games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 11 | 14 | 8-6 | 3-8 |
| NOR | 6 | 20 | 4-9 | 2-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ORL | 102.5 | 103.8 | -1.3 | 206.3 |
| NOR | 112.6 | 119.7 | -7.1 | 232.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | ORL | |
| +3.5 | TBC | 130-119 |
THE RUB
The Pelicans’ losing streak hit 11 after they lost 116-109 at Philadelphia, the longest losing streak in franchise history.
The Magic played the Rockets a 130-107 home loss to mark the highest score they have conceded at home since April 6, 2018.
Orlando’s offence could thrive tonight against Pelicans’ 29th-ranked defence. That seems even more likely when taking into account the Magic’s 118-88 win on their last visit to this venue and Vucevic’s likely return
OUR PICK – ORLANDO +3.5
CHARLOTTE @ INDIANA
TEAM TRENDS
HORNETS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games v teams above .600.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games vs teams with winning home records.
PACERS TRENDS
- 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
- 29-14 ATS in last 43 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 13-5-1 in last 19 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.
- Under is 24-7 in the last 31 meetings in Indiana.
SEASON SERIES
| 06.11.19 | CHA | IND | 122 : 120 (113 : 113) |
PLAYER TRENDS
- T.J. Warren has 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Hornets.
- Devonte’ Graham has 24+ points in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games as underdogs against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 12 | 16 | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| IND | 17 | 9 | 10-3 | 7-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 105.2 | 111.3 | -6.1 | 216.5 |
| IND | 109.3 | 105 | +4.3 | 214.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | UNDER | IND |
| -11.0 | 208.5 | 107-85 |
THE RUB
Their first meeting between these two was a thriller, with the Hornets winning 122-120 after OT at Spectrum Center behind 35 points from Devonte’ Graham.
Charlotte have won 3-straight including an 83-73 win at Chicago on Friday which was the lowest score in any NBA game since December 18, 2016. That win moved Charlotte to a 8-2 from their last 10 against Central teams.
The Pacers are winners of 10 of their last 13 and are 10-2 from their last 12 at home, thriving behind a balanced attack that had 7 players score in double figures in Friday’s 110-100 win in Atlanta
OUR PICK – INDIANA -11.0
LA LAKERS @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
LAKERS TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 road games vs teams with losing home records.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2-1 in last 10 road games vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games vs teams with winning road records.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games as an underdog.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 15-3 in last 18 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.11.19 | LAL | ATL | 122 : 101 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Anthony Davis has 15 points or less in his last 4 games against the Hawks in Atlanta.
- LeBron James has 28+ points in 6 of his last 7 road games against East teams.
- Trae Young has 31+ points in the Hawks’ last 3 games as underdogs against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 23 | 3 | 10-2 | 13-1 |
| ATL | 6 | 20 | 3-9 | 3-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 113.7 | 104.2 | +9.5 | 217.9 |
| ATL | 108.5 | 118.4 | -9.9 | 226.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | LAL |
| -11.5 | 228.0 | 101-96 |
THE RUB
The Lakers go for their 14th straight road win tonight.
Atlanta fell to its 14th loss in 16 games losing 110-100 to Indiana at home last time out.
The Hawks fell 122-101 at Staples Center due largely to a 33-point, 12-assist display from James in the series first meeting.
Lebron is questionable tonight due to a sore right elbow.
Atlanta are 3-9 at home this and 4-15 against opponents .500 or better.
OUR PICK – LA LAKERS -11.5
PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
76ERS TRENDS
- 3-0-2 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-3-1 in last 12 games as a favorite.
NETS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 5-12 ATS in last 17 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- 76ers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 24+ points in the Nets’ last 4 home games.
- Jarrett Allen has 15+ points in the Nets’ last 4 home games against the 76ers.
- Tobias Harris has 22+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the Nets at Barclays Center.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 20 | 7 | 14-0 | 6-7 |
| BKN | 13 | 12 | 7-5 | 6-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 110.1 | 103.9 | +6.2 | 214.0 |
| BKN | 112.0 | 112.8 | -0.8 | 224.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | UNDER | BKN |
| -3.0 | 218.0 | 109-89 |
THE RUB
The 76ers (20-7, 1st in the Atlantic Division) meet the Nets (13-11, 4th in the Atlantic Division).
The 76ers have covered the spread 50.0% of the time, having gone 12-12-3 ATS. Brooklyn covers the spread 54.2% of the time, going 13-11-0 against the spread this season.
The Nets have lost 2-straight games for the first time in a month after a 110-102 loss at Toronto on Saturday, shooting 38.6% from the floor and turning it over 20 times, falling to 6-7 on the road.
Toughest game of the night pick, made even more frustrating by Embiid, whom you never know what you’re going to get from night to night.
OUR PICK – UNDER 217.5
NEW YORK @ DENVER
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 17-36-1 ATS in last 54 games vs teams above .600.
- Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs teams with a home winning %’ over .600.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 20-9-1 in last 30 overall.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 9-1 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Under is 11-1 in last 12 home games vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 18-6 in last 24 overall.
- Under is 24-8 in last 32 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
- Knicks are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 06.12.19 | NY | DEN | 92 : 129 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 10+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 2 games against the Knicks at Pepsi Center.
- Gary Harris has 11 points or less in his last 11 home games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 6 | 20 | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| DEN | 16 | 8 | 10-3 | 6-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 101.1 | 111.2 | -10.1 | 212.3 |
| DEN | 106.3 | 101.6 | +4.7 | 207.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | OVER | DEN |
| -10.5 | 206.5 | 111-105 |
THE RUB
The Knicks look for their 3rd-straight win tonight after defeating the Kings on Friday 103-101, improving to 6-20 on the season, but still last in the Atlantic.
Denver beat Portland on Wednesday in their most recent outing 114-99, improving to 15-8 with the win and are now 1.5 games ahead of the Jazz in the Northwest.
The Knicks have failed to cover ATS in 4 of their last 7. Denver has covered in their last 2 and 4 of their last 6 at home.
OUR PICK – DENVER -10.5
SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE
TEAM TRENDS
KINGS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games following a straight up loss.
- 15-5 ATS in last 20 games overall.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 11-5 in last 16 overall.
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- 16-35-1 ATS in last 52 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.
- Kings are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
- Kings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 road games against West teams.
- D’Angelo Russell has 31+ points in his last 2 games against the Kings.
- Buddy Hield has made five or more three-pointers in each of the Kings’ last four games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 11 | 14 | 6-5 | 5-9 |
| GSW | 5 | 22 | 2-9 | 3-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 105.0 | 108.0 | -3.0 | 213 |
| GSW | 105.3 | 114.2 | -8.9 | 219.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | OVER | SAC |
| -4.0 | 210.5 | 100-79 |
THE RUB
Golden State has now won just 3 of 20 games after its latest 114-106 loss at Utah.
Tonight begins a stretch in which the Warriors play 6 of 7 at home. However, the Warriors are just 2-9 at the new Chase Center in San Francisco after moving across from Oakland.
Golden State swept the 4-game series last season and took the last 5 from Sacramento, however tonight is a different Warriors team.
OUR PICK – SACRAMENTO WIN
