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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO
The race to the 8th seed in the West in well and truly on after the Magic took care of business against the Grizzlies.
This loss was excellent news for the chasing pack which includes the Pelicans & Kings who will front up to round out the last game of the day on the WC.
Whilst BI has seen a dip in production with a healthy Jrue/Zion duet in full force, I do expect the rejected Laker to put on a clinic and take his 18 shots on the floor.
BI is coming off two extremely soft performances but his consistency this year leaves me to believe he will find his stroke against the Kings who struggle to defend teams who play on the fly. The Pelicans do exactly that!
DP’S PICK – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 22.5 POINTS
2x TREND BETS
NEW YORK @ ATLANTA
KNICKS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
HAWKS TRENDS
- Over is 13-5 in last 18 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 15-6 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games.
- Over is 18-8 in last 26 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
- Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
TREND BET – TOTAL POINTS OVER 229.5
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO
PELICANS TRENDS
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 22-10 in last 32 overall.
- Over is 13-6 in last 19 games as a favorite.
KINGS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 21-8-1 in last 30 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 9-3 in last 12 games following a loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – TOTAL POINTS OVER 233.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pistons are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Pistons are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 24.12.19 | DET | PHI | 109 : 125 |
| 27.10.19 | DET | PHI | 111 : 117 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Christian Wood has 22+ points in the Pistons’ last 3 games. (19.5)
-
Tony Snell has 10+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against the 76ers at Wells Fargo Center. (8.5)
-
Tobias Harris has 29+ points in the 76ers’ last 2 games against the Pistons. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 20 | 45 | 11-22 | 9-23 |
| PHI | 38 | 26 | 28-2 | 10-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 107.3 | 110.6 | -3.3 | 217.9 |
| PHI | 109.4 | 107.4 | +2.0 | 216.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | OVER | PHI |
| -11.5 | 210.5 | 124-106 |
Philadelphia went 1-3 on its 4-game Cali trip without any stars to fall to 10-24 on the road but might not need a full list of players at home, where they own an NBA-best 28-2 record, They may still be missing Embiid, with Simmons return uncertain.
The Pistons are dealing with their own injury issues and are losers of four straight and 11 of 12.
PICK – OVER 210.5
NEW YORK @ ATLANTA
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
- Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
- Knicks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Knicks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
| 10.02.20 | ATL | NY | 140 : 135 (116 : 116) |
| 18.12.19 | NY | ATL | 143 : 120 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- John Collins has 26+ points in the Hawks’ last 5 games against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. (21.5)
- Trae Young has 12+ assists in the Hawks’ last 4 games as favorites against Eastern opponents. (10.5)
- Trae Young has 4+ three-pointers in 5 of the Hawks’ last 6 home games against Eastern opponents. (3.5)
- Julius Randle has 23+ points in his last 3 games with his team as an underdog against the Hawks. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 20 | 45 | 11-22 | 9-23 |
| ATL | 20 | 46 | 14-19 | 6-27 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 105.3 | 112.0 | -6.7 | 217.3 |
| ATL | 111.5 | 119.5 | -8.0 | 231.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | OVER | NY |
| -4.5 | 229.5 | 136-131 1OT |
Hard to trust the Hawks as a favorite with their defensive rank the 3rd worst in the league.
FUN FACT – The Hawks’ last 11 home games against Eastern teams have gone OVER the total points line.
PICK – OVER 229.5
CHARLOTTE @ MIAMI
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
- Hornets are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Miami.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.11.19 | MIA | CHA | 117 : 100 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Miles Bridges has 17+ points in 8 of the Hornets’ last 9 road games. (13.5)
- Duncan Robinson has 23+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 22 | 42 | 10-21 | 12-21 |
| MIA | 41 | 23 | 27-4 | 14-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 102.8 | 109.8 | -7.0 | 212.6 |
| MIA | 112.4 | 108.9 | +3.5 | 221.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHA | OVER | CHA |
| +11.0 | 208.5 | 109-98 |
The Heat, who own a 27-4 home record should get it done tonight in a low scoring affair.
These two rank in the bottom 4 of the league in tempo which sets the line at 209.5. That’s a shade too low for us.
PICK – OVER 208.5
DENVER @ DALLAS
SEASON SERIES
| 09.01.20 | DAL | DEN | 106 : 107 |
| 30.10.19 | DEN | DAL | 106 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 23+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 road games against Western opponents. (20.5)
- Jamal Murray has 21+ points in 6 of his last 5 games against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. (19.5)
- Gary Harris has 14+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 43 | 21 | 25-8 | 18-13 |
| DAL | 39 | 27 | 18-15 | 21-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 110.6 | 107.4 | +3.2 | 218.0 |
| DAL | 116.4 | 110.5 | +5.9 | 226.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | OVER | DAL |
| -2.0 | 220.5 | 113-97 |
Doncic is questionable and if he doesn’t suit up, the Mavs will be short handed on the offensive end against a tough Nuggets defense. Jokic faces off against Porzingis in an intriguing battle.
PICK – DENVER WIN
UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Jazz are 5-13-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 10.12.19 | UTA | OKC | 90 : 104 |
| 24.10.19 | UTA | OKC | 100 : 95 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Donovan Mitchell has 25+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games against the Thunder. (21.5)
- Rudy Gobert has 16+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 games against Northwest opponents. (13.5)
- Dennis Schroder has 23+ points in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 games. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 41 | 23 | 21-10 | 20-13 |
| OKC | 40 | 24 | 20-13 | 20-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 111.0 | 107.9 | +3.1 | 218.9 |
| OKC | 110.8 | 108.3 | +2.5 | 219.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | UNDER | POSTPONED |
| -2.5 | 218.5 |
Both rank bottom 3rd of the league in tempo and the top half defensively. Unders best.
PICK – UNDER 218.5
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
- Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 05.01.20 | SAC | NOR | 115 : 117 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 16+ points in his last 7 home games against the Pelicans. (14.5)
- Zion Williamson has 28+ points in the Pelicans’ last 3 games against Pacific opponents. (23.5)
- De’Aaron Fox has 23+ points in the Kings’ last 5 home games. (21.5)
- Derrick Favors has 11+ rebounds in 6 of the Pelicans’ last 8 road games. (9.5)
- Lonzo Ball has 10+ assists in 3 of his 4 previous games against the Kings at Golden 1 Center. (7.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 28 | 36 | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| SAC | 28 | 36 | 14-17 | 14-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 116.2 | 117.0 | -0.8 | 233.2 |
| SAC | 109.0 | 110.9 | -1.9 | 219.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | UNDER | POSTPONED |
| -1.5 | 233.5 |
PICK – NEW ORLEANS -1.5
