6 GAMES – NBA FREE PICKS – 17/12/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

PARLAY

PARLAY

  • Brooklyn @ New Orleans – Brooklyn -2.0
  • Orlando @ Utah – Utah WIN

ODDS – $2.71 – WINNING BET

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 11-8

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

ATLANTA @ NEW YORK

Julius Randle has been the Knicks aggressor over their past three starts, averaging 23 ppg whilst winning 2 of 3, amongst a respectable 6 point loss to the Nuggets in Mile High.

With the Atlanta Hawks being one of the worst sides at defending the 4/5, I expect Julius to take it upon himself to pour in the points, take his 15-17 shots and remain around 45% on the floor.
The Knicks will be up for this one, in particular, returning back to the Garden after a 4 game road trip under new interim coach, Mike Miller.

DP’S BEST BET – JULIUS RANDLE OVER 19.5 POINTS

Gamble Responsibly.

TREND BETS

SEASON RECORD: 10-7

BROOKLYN @ NEW ORLEANS

NETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with losing home records.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
  • Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 games following a ATS loss.
  • 5-15 ATS in last 20 home games vs teams with losing road records.
  • 1-10-1 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
TREND BET – BROOKLYN -2.0 – WINNING BET

SACRAMENTO @ CHARLOTTE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
  • 12-3 ATS in last 15 games following an ATS win.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • 16-5 ATS in last 21 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 12-5 in last 17 overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 road games.

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games vs teams with losing road records.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
31.10.19 SAC CHA 111 : 118

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Terry Rozier has 13 points or less in the Hornets’ last 3 games. (LINE -15.0)
  • Devonte’ Graham has 29+ points in 3 of the Hornets’ last 4 home games. (LINE 19.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 11 14 6-5 5-9
CHA 12 17 6-8 6-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 105.0 108 -3.0 213.0
CHA 104.5 111.1 -6.6 215.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAC Over CHA
-4.5 206.5 110-102

THE RUB

Kings are almost at full strength with star guard Fox almost ready to take the hardwood. With Charlotte three key players down, this are the road wins the Kings should win as they sit nicely in 7th in the West.

OUR PICK  –  Sacramento WIN

LA LAKERS @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

LAKERS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs teams above .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 5-12 ATS in last 17 games vs teams above .600.
  • 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 22-8 in last 30 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • T.J. Warren has 19+ points in 10 of his last 13 home GAMES against West TEAMS. (LINE 16.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 24 3 10-2 14-1
IND 18 9 11-3 7-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAL 113.3 103.9 +9.4 217.2
IND 109.3 104.3 +5.0 213.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL UNDER IND
-4.0 211.0 105-102

THE RUB

The Lakers continue their unbeaten road record (we aren’t counting opening night at Staples and not really a road game). What’s also expected are the game time decisions that occur nightly for Davis.

Aside from Miami, the Pacers will be the Lakers’ strongest East opponent on this run. LeBron will be a problem but AD will have to fight through Turner and Sabonis.

All of the Lakers East road wins have been within 10 points or under.

OUR PICK  –  LA Lakers WIN

ATLANTA @ NEW YORK

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 15-5 in last 20 overall.

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 14-30 ATS in last 44 home games.
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs  teams below .400.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games as a home favorite.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 home games vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 15-6 in last 21 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 25-10 in last 35 home games.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 games vs teams below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

FIRST MEETING

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Marcus Morris has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 games at Madison Square Garden.
     (LINE 18.5)
  • Trae Young has 10+ assists in 4 of the Hawks’ last 5 games against Atlantic Division opponents. (LINE 8.5)
  • RJ Barrett has scored 12 points or less in 6 of the Knicks’ last 7 games. (LINE 14.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 6 21 3-10 3-11
NY 6 20 3-10 3-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ATL 108.1 117.8 -9.7 225.9
NY 101.1 111.2 -10.1 212.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NY OVER NY
-2.0 220.5 143-120

THE RUB

Since the Fizdale firing, the Knicks have been competitive with a 2-1 record with their last game almost ending up as a win on the road to Denver of all places.

It will be Trae Young’s first game under the lights of MSG. Question is, can the Knicks stop him if he gets on fire. No confidence with either here.

OUR PICK  –  New York -2.0

BROOKLYN @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with losing home records.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 14-3 in last 17 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 9-4 in last 13 road games vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 games following a ATS loss.
  • 5-15 ATS in last 20 home games vs teams with losing road records.
  • 1-10-1 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games vs teams with losing road records.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 22-4 in the last 26 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.11.19 BKN NOR 135 : 125

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Brandon Ingram has scored 27+ points in four of his last five home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents. (LINE 24.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has scored 23+ points in three of the Pelicans’ last four home games against the Nets. (LINE 21.5)
  • Jarrett Allen has scored the 1st basket in 5 of the Nets’ last nine games. (ODDS 6.00)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 14 12 8-5 6-7
NOR 6 21 4-10 2-11

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BKN 111.9 111.9 +0.0 223.8
NOR 112.8 120.1 -7.3 232.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
-2.0 231.0 108-101 1OT

THE RUB

The Pelicans have lost 12 straight games…. yep, thats right. Their team of ex-Lakers look to have brought the bad juju with them with trade rumors already circling Holiday and Favors and it’s only mid December.

Brooklyn to continue the misery.

OUR PICK  –  Brooklyn -2.0

ORLANDO @ UTAH

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 24-11-1 in last 36 games following a win of 10+ points.

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs teams with losing road records.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Utah.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Evan Fournier has 18+ points in the Magic’s last 9 night games. (LINE 17.5)
  • Nikola Vucevic has 15 points or less in 5 of the Magic’s last 6 games against the Jazz. (LINE 15.5)
  • Bojan Bogdanovic has 21+ points in 7 of his last 8 GAMES against the Magic. (LINE 19.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 12 14 8-6 4-8
UTA 15 11 10-3 5-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 103.5 104.3 -0.8 207.8
UTA 107 106.4 +0.6 213.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
-5.5 206.0 109-102

THE RUB

The Jazz have been the under achievers this season but still remain strong on home court with a 10-3 record.

Orlando’s road record is nothing to write home about either with 4 wins against the Wizards, Pelicans and 2x Cleveland

OUR PICK  –  Utah WIN

PHOENIX @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 14-5 in last 19 overall.

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 home games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings in L.A.
  • Suns are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in L.A.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
27.10.19 PHO LAC 130 : 122

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul George has scored the first basket in each of the Clippers’ last two games at Staples Center. (ODDS 6.50)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 11 15 6-10 5-5
LAC 20 8 13-1 7-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 115.3 114.2 +1.1 219.5
OKC 107.6 107.2 +0.4 214.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHO OVER LAC
+12.5 226.0 120-99

THE RUB

Deandre Ayton makes his return from suspension and he gets the West contenders in the Clippers on the road. His team mates are nursing a B2B and loss on home court. It’s not like he hasn’t been able to practice but will be expected to carry some load.

Clippers to take out the tired Suns with Booker 50/50 to take the court.

OUR PICK  –  Phoenix +12.5

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