6 GAMES – NBA FREE PICKS – 14/11/19

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

MIAMI @ CLEVELAND

Heat Trends

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

Cavaliers Trends

  • 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Heat are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 7 3 4-0 3-3
Cleveland 4 6 2-2 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Miami 111.7 105.7 +6.0
Cleveland 106.1 107.0 -0.9

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Miami Under Miami
-3.5 215.0 108-97

THE RUB

The Heat are enjoying their best start to a season since the Superfriends took their talents to South Beach. However, they are nursing a few key players in the sick bay with Dragic and Herro doubtful.

The Cavaliers have impressed and surprised us all so far and will be competitive tonight on home court. If the Heat do go in undermanned, the contest becomes closer.

OUR PICK  –  Under 215.0


CHICAGO @ MILWAUKEE

Bulls Trends

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 12-2 in last 14 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.

Bucks Trends

  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs teams below .400.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Matchup Trends

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Bulls are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Bulls are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Road team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Chicago 4 7 2-3 2-4
Milwaukee 7 3 2-1 5-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Chicago 106.7 109.3 -2.6
Milwaukee 119.9 111.8 +8.1

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Chicago Over Milwaukee
+11.5 230.5 124-115

THE RUB

The Bucks just scraped over the line against the Thunder, their depth being tested with Middleton out for the next 4-6 weeks.

With the Bulls looking to be at full strength and with new found depth in Dunn and White producing off the bench, could they get closer than the spread? The Overs are probably more likely with Milwaukee leading the league in Offensive rating at almost 120 points per game.

OUR PICK  –  Over 230.5


LA CLIPPERS @ NEW ORLEANS

Clippers Trends

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 13-5 ATS in last 18 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

Pelicans Trends

  • 8-18 ATS in last 26 games overall.
  • 4-12 ATS in last 16 home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 10-1 in last 11 vs. NBA Pacific.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Clippers are 6-16 ATS in the last 22 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
L.A. Clippers 7 4 6-1 1-3
New Orleans 2 8 1-4 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
L.A. Clippers 110.2 106.5 +3.7
New Orleans 117.0 122.4 -5.4

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Under New Orleans
-3.5 234.0 132-127

THE RUB

PG13 is set to debut tonight although it is a road B2B for the Clippers, which spells some load management doubts for Kawhi.

The Pelicans are nursing a heap of niggles with key players. Hard to see them get the jump on Kawhi and co.

OUR PICK  –  LA Clippers -3.5


DALLAS @ NEW YORK

Mavericks Trends

  • 8-1-1 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams below .400.

Knicks Trends

  • 21-45 ATS in last 66 home games.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 9-1-1 in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 19-7 in last 26 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 34-16-1 in last 51 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Dallas 6 4 2-3 4-1
New York 2 9 1-3 1-6

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Dallas 115.3 112.3 +3.0
New York 99.5 110.3 -10.8

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Dallas Over New York
-7.0 215.0 106-103

THE RUB

So many subplots with this game.

The Mavs get their chance to enact some revenge on the Knicks, beating them down on their home court.

Also how the New York brass have come out to the media commenting that they are’nt too impressed with their own record and….. coach. along with that drama, Porzingis comes back to the arena which embraced him as The Unicorn.

Gotta go Dallas blue.

OUR PICKDallas -7.0


ATLANTA @ PHOENIX

Hawks Trends

  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .500.
  • 11-4 ATS in last 15 road games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

Suns Trends

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Atlanta 4 6 2-4 2-2
Phoenix 6 4 4-3 2-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Atlanta 106.5 110.1 -3.6
Phoenix 116.6 110.4 +6.2

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Phoenix Over Phoenix
-7.0 227.0 128-112

THE RUB

With Trae Young on fire, we could be in for an old fashioned shootout between he and Booker. Queue the music from Michael Jordan’s Playground.

Both teams also missing a key big to suspension, liking the Overs.

OUR PICK  –  Over 227.0


BROOKLYN @ DENVER

Nets Trends

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 4-10 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.

Nuggets Trends

  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 18-7 in last 25 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 4 6 3-2 1-4
Denver 7 3 3-2 4-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Brooklyn 119.2 121.4 -2.2
Denver 105.1 102.8 +2.3

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Denver Over
-7.5 223.5

THE RUB

The Nets continue on their West road trip where they are currently 1-2 and they are letting in an average of 121 points per game.

The Nuggets were on a 4 game win streak before losing to Trae Young and the Hawks on home court. Expect a bounce back.

OUR PICK  –  Over 223.5