*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Tonight’s NBA Picks
Utah @ Miami
H2H Trends –
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Miami.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Utah | 16 | 23 | 13-7 | 3-16 |
Miami | 21 | 17 | 10-9 | 11-8 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Utah | 100.9 | 101.7 | -0.8 |
Miami | 100.8 | 102.2 | -1.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Miami | Under | Miami |
-4.5 | 197.0 | 103-102 |
The Jazz are 3-16 on the road, which doesn’t bode well against a Heat team that’s won 3 in a row and playing with confidence, sitting 5th in the East.
Like the Unders here in what should be a defensively oriented game.
Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 home games.
Best Bet = Miami -4.5
New York @ Dallas
H2H Trends –
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
New York | 18 | 21 | 15-7 | 3-14 |
Dallas | 13 | 27 | 8-13 | 5-14 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
New York | 103.3 | 104.1 | -0.8 |
Dallas | 102.1 | 104.5 | -2.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Dallas | Under | New York |
-5.0 | 207.0 | 100-96 |
The Mavs have the Knicks covered across the board statistically, and with New York 3-14 on the road, in game 6 of a 7 game road stretch, we have to stay with the home team Texans here.
Dallas are pretty awful, but they should get it done tonight.
Best Bet = Dallas -5.0
Oklahoma City @ Phoenix
H2H Trends –
- Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
- OKC are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Oklahoma City | 22 | 17 | 14-6 | 8-11 |
Phoenix | 15 | 26 | 7-14 | 8-12 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Oklahoma City | 104.9 | 100.8 | +4.1 |
Phoenix | 105.5 | 112.4 | -6.9 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Oklahoma City | Over | Phoenix |
-8.5 | 219.5 | 114-100 |
OKC have finally found 4th gear over the last couple of weeks winning 8 of their last 10 games, and should have their way tonight against a Phoenix team who can’t win for love nor money.
The Thunder rank 4th in defensive efficiency and have scored 260 points in their last two games and the overs look okay tonight, albeit the high 219.5 line.
Best Bet = No Bet
San Antonio @ Portland
H2H Trends –
- Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Portland.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
San Antonio | 27 | 13 | 18-2 | 9-11 |
Portland | 20 | 18 | 9-10 | 11-8 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
San Antonio | 101.3 | 98.0 | +3.3 |
Portland | 102.7 | 101.6 | +1.1 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
San Antonio | Over | Portland |
+2.0 | 199.0 | 111-110 |
LaMarcus had some well deserved rest taking a night off against the Suns last out and at the same time, Kawhi saw some more minutes and moved further along in his recovery of form and fitness after a long injury layoff.
The Spurs start a 3 game road trip and rest seems likely for some along the way, however with all slated to play tonight we like the Spurs as +2.0 underdogs.
Best Bet = Spurs +2.0
Atlanta @ LA Lakers
H2H Trends –
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Atlanta are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
Win/Loss
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Atlanta | 103.5 | 107.9 | -4.4 |
LA Lakers
|
106.4 | 111.7 | -5.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
LA Lakers | Over | LA Lakers |
-2.5 | 217.5 | 132-113 |
The bottom teams in each conference square of tonight, which essentially means that this one is betting poison.
The Lakers should get the job done tonight and avoid their 10th straight loss, but the overs is the best take.
Or even better, stay away.
Best Bet = Over 217.5